Thursday, January 21, 2010

Australian High Speed Ship to Transport Haiti Aid

High speed catamaran Alakai sister ship to Huakai in HawaiiThe US government is deploying the Australian designed 113 metre high speed catamaran “Huakai” to assist with Haiti relief. Completed last year as a vehicle ferry for Hawaii, the ship can carry up to 800 tonnes at 40 knots. It has a shallow draft of 3.7 m, water jets and 20 metre ramp, allowing it to dock and unload without assictance. It is likely the ship will shuttle between Haiti, Guantanamo Bay and Miami.

A similar operation was carried out by the high speed catamaran HMAS Jervis Bay, operating between Darwin and East Timor from 1999 to 2001. Like Huakai, this was a surplus commercial ferry taken up for government use. The US military were impressed with this and leased a number of Australian designed catermarans.

The US Department of Defence has contracted Austal (who built the Huakai), to build up to ten similar "Joint High Speed Vessels" (JHSV) for military transport. The first named “Fortitude” (JHSV 1) is being constructed in the USA. Tjhis will be followed by Vigilant (JHSV 2) and Spearhead (JHSV 3).

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Monday, January 18, 2010

Haiti 2010 Sahana Disaster Response Portal

The Sahana Software Foundation have created the  Haiti 2010 Sahana Disaster Response Portal, with feeds from many relief agencies and software to coordinate the relief effort for the earthquake.





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Friday, January 08, 2010

Social Networking Technology for Emergencies

Cover of New Technologies in Emergencies and ConflictsThe United Nations Foundation has released "New Technologies in Emergencies and Conflicts: The Role of Information and Social Networks" (2009). The full report is available online, as one donw load and by chapter. The report recommends remove regulatory barriers for better early warning and emergency response and putting more resources into
local preparedness. The call for standardisation of communications is timely, including a global standard for cell broadcast technologies. Australia is entering another bushfire season with limited standardisation of systems at the national level. The report has received some criticism on the Humanitarian ICT discussion list for the breadth of coverage, but such a report can include online a limited amount of material.
  1. Foreword
  2. Acknowledgements
  3. Executive Summary
  4. Introduction
  5. Alerts: Early Warning And Communication Needs
  6. Preparedness: Building Communities’ Resilience
  7. Response: Coordination In Emergencies
  8. Rebuilding: Post-Crisis Services And Development
  9. Recommendations
  10. Endnotes
Executive Summary

Natural disasters and violent conflicts have always been part of human existence. But the number of humanitarian crises has been rising in recent years. Moreover, disasters strike
most frequently, and with the most devastating impact, in the least developed countries. These countries also have the weakest communications infrastructures, which poses a
particular challenge to governments, aid agencies, and the affected population at every stage of a crisis, from the runup to a disaster through to long-term reconstruction.

There have been dramatic advances in communications technology: in the number of new technologies, the mobility and range of functions available, and the spread of these technologies. Growth has been particularly strong in the penetration of mobile phones and more recently the uptake of social networking websites including Facebook and Twitter. One important change is a shift from one-to many forms of communication, such as television and radio, to many-to-many forms of communication, such as social
networking and crowdsourcing websites, that is changing the way in which information is delivered and exchanged.

Communications advances present an opportunity forhumanitarian organizations to harness modern technology to communicate more effectively with communities affected by disasters and to allow members of those communities to communicate with each other and with the outside world.

People in affected communities can recover faster if they can access and use information. A look at the use of communications technology during disasters in recent years shows
that while it has played a positive role, its full potential has not yet been realized.

Moreover, governments, humanitarian agencies, and local communities face challenges and risks associated with modern technological innovation. These include:

• Information flows must be two-way to be effective — from the external world to the affected community, but also from those affected to the agencies seeking to help
them in useful ways.
• Information will not be used unless it is trusted. The utility of any technologies will depend on the social context. People are a vital part of the communication system. ...

Recommendations ...

Remove regulatory barriers
Some regulatory barriers to effective early warning systems and emergency response remain, despite the great progress made in these aspects since the Indian Ocean tsunami. We identified:
• the need for further standardization of communications in emergency situations—such as a global standard for cell broadcast technologies, for example;
• the need to develop standards applicable to existing and future systems for delivery of early warnings or alerts;
• the need for inter-operability between public networks and networks dedicated to emergency communications; and
• a need for priority access by emergency services personnel to communications.

Furthermore, governments must extend the regulatory framework to new and emerging technologies. Regulation is lagging behind innovation. In particular:
• the international community needs to create a legal framework enabling the use of unmanned aerial vehicles, which hold great promise for collecting information for
use by humanitarian agencies but are currently unable to be deployed due to legal uncertainties.

Put more resources into local preparedness
People-centeredness has been one of the themes of this report. The people affected by an emergency are in the best position to know what is happening and what they need.

Preparedness requires long-term investment by humanitarian organizations, including investment in public education and capacity building in local media.

Information provision should be recognized as a standard part of both preparedness and aid delivery, and might include:
• preparation of off-the-shelf material agreed on between humanitarian and aid agencies (what to do in an earthquake, basic sanitation advice, for example);
• training humanitarian agencies in communication skills, including receiving and using feedback from communities; and
• the inclusion of a wind-up radio in aid packages.

Information needs to be collected and deployed to be effective. Often this will be done by official agencies, but their responsibilities may be overlapping and uncoordinated.
Preparedness also requires the international humanitarian community to be able to act themselves in a coordinated way on the information and analysis enabled by these emerging systems.

Agencies should share best practices with each other.
Agencies developing tools for use in disaster preparedness and emergency relief should also include consideration of their potential for communities’ post-disaster or postconflict needs, to leverage the investment of resources as effectively as possible.

Governments—especially in developing countries where access is not ubiquitous—also need to consider enhanced access to communications and investment in infrastructure, among all the competing demands for resources.

Leverage new media and crowdsourcing
Some of the most promising applications of new technology in emergencies use social media, often through crowdsourced applications.

As this report has shown, the issue of authentication is a key barrier to overcome. The development of methods and applications for verification of crowdsourced information
should be a priority. The humanitarian community can support the development of innovative platforms that addres the issue of verification as well as provision of information by users.

At the same time, it is important to ensure that communications technologies can offer their users a sufficient degree of anonymity and protection. This will depend on
technological solutions but also, importantly, the legal framework and public debate about the risks as well as benefits of anonymity. ...

From: New Technologies in Emergencies and Conflicts: The Role of Information and Social Networks, United Nations Foundation, December 2009

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Friday, December 18, 2009

Problems with ACT Emergency Services Agency web site

In response to my posting about accessibility problems with the Victorian Government Country Fire Authority Web Site, a commenter has noted similar problems with the ACT Government's bushfire web site. I was unable to access the ACT Emergency Services web site thismorning. However, I was able to see the Google cache copy from 17 Dec 2009 10:04:58 GMT.

An automated (TAW) accessibility test reported zero Priority one, 67 Priority Two and 13 Priority Three problems with the ceched page. The W3C Markup Validation Service reported 42 Errors and 57 warning with this page. The page failed the W3C mobileOK Checker test. Obviously some of these problems may be due to using the cache copy, which is slightly modified from the original. But given the real site is not avialable, this is a valid test.

I suggest the ACT Government fix their web site, before more lives are lost to bushfires in Canberra.

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Thursday, December 17, 2009

Cautionary Tales of Inaccessibility Not Learned by Victorian Government

The W3C Web Accessibility Initiative (W3C WAI)has released a set of "Cautionary Tales of Inaccessibility" to help promote good web design. I was contacted about details for "A Cautionary Tale of Inaccessibility: Sydney Olympics Website". Regrettably the Victorian Government Country Fire Authority Web Site may be added to this list. An automated test indicates that the CFA home page failed a W3C WAI Version 1 test, with 1 error at level 1, 36 at level 2, and 15 at level 3. The page also failed a W3C HTML Validation test, with 230 errors and 37 warnings. The page also failed the W3C mobileOK Checker tests.

The 2009 Victorian Bushfires Royal Commission identified deficiencies in the online distribution of bushfire information by the Victorian Government. Some media reports indicate that the CFA web site failed yesterday.

Any ICT professional involved with bushfire web sites must be aware that they have ethical as well as legal obligations to ensure that the systems they provide are operating correctly. Arguing that the web site is not essential and that citizens can get information from radio or other sources is not a valid defence, nor is arguing that they do not have sufficient resources, nor that they did not have the authority, or were ordered not to fix the flaws in the system. Professionals are required to act in the public interest, regardless.

The design of web sites for emergency use, including in bushfires is not a new field and there are some established approaches. I outlined some of these, along with methods of using the web for investigations, for the staff of the Victorian bushfire inquiry:

Role of ICT in Emergency Management

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Sunday, December 06, 2009

Hybrid Trucks for Local Council

Leichhardt Council in Sydney has purchased a Hino Hybrid Truck fromToyota's truck subsidary, which uses similar techology to Toyota's Prius hybrid car. In stop-start traffic, such a truck uses 20 l/100km, which is a considerable saving. Adapting this technology for trucks has taken a long time. The decision to purchase the truck was made in 2004 (Motion C465/04 by PARKER/HAMILTON, MINUTES of ORDINARY MEETING of Leichhardt Municipal Council , 23 November 2004), but it has taken until 2009 for the vehicles to be readily avialable.

In his 3 December Mayoral Column ("New Hybrid Truck Helps Cut CO2 Emissions in Leichhard"on page 12 of the Inner West Courier) , Mayor of Leichhardt, Counsellor Jamie Parker, reported on the purchase of the truck for garden maintenance.Unfortunately the Mayor's message contains a typographical error in that it refers to the truck reducing Carbon Monoxide emissions by 72%. This should read "Carbon Dioxide", as indicated by the chemical symbol in the report (CO2).

Also it is not clear that a hybrid truck is not particularly suited to garden maintenance, as the Mayor suggests. Hybrid vehicles achieve greatest savings when operating at low speed in stop start traffic. A good example of such an application are garbage trucks, which stop every few metres and rarely exceed a few kilometers an hour. Local busses are another example. In contrast a garden maintenace truck spends most of its time stationary with the engine turned off, while the garden work is being done. As a result little saving is made in fuel use.

This is a good initiative, but the council might like to consider other uses for it. These trucks have a useful role by providing electrical power. One use would be for powering the hot water weed killing unit often used for roadside weeds. These are usually powered by a diesel generator mounted on the truck. With a hybrid truck the generator could be eliminated.

The council could also use the truck as an emergency generator for its disaster response. . Usually diesel generators are used for this role which require ot be specially purchased, maintained, fuelled and tested, which is expensive and environmentally unfriendly. Instead the council could have the hybrid truck fitted with a socket to allow its generator and batter to supply electrical power. This could be used for extended and extensive blackouts at council premises. It could also be used to power a mobile emergency facility., such as those provided by Salvation Army Emergency Services (SAES). The truck could also be used for power at council work sites and at community functions in parks where mains power is not avialable. The Petersham Tafe are experienced in the development of alternative power systems and should be able to advice how to do this.

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Tuesday, December 01, 2009

Emergency Communications Conference Call for Papers

APCO Australasia have issued a call for papers for their 2010 conference on emergency communications , 14 – 17 March 2010 in Melbourne. The 2009 conference was held during the 2009 Victorian Bushfires (I presented on Community Warning Systems) and emergency communications for bushfires will again feature in the 2010 conference.

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Saturday, November 28, 2009

National Emergency Alert system from next week

The Victorian Premier has announced that the National Emergency Alert system had been tested and will be ready for use next week. Unfortunately there is no emergency information system to back this up with detailed information about the emergency. As a result the National Emergency Alert system is of little value and may cause more harm than good.

The system, developed by Telstra, was previously called the National Emergency Warning System, and can deliver 300 text messages per second and 1000 voice messages per minute.The initial system will use the registered address of the telephone or mobile service and so not be able to target travelling users.

A test recorded audio message was sent containing the Australian Standard Warning Signal. The test text message was:

+6144 444 444

EMERGENCY TEST MESSAGE from the Victorian Government to test the new telephone emergency warning system NO ACTION REQUIRED For more info www.oesc.vic.gov.au

In neither case was the recipient required to take any action. Reception was gauged by random phone poll afterwards. The Victorian government has not released the results of the test. The Victorian Premier should release the results of the test for independent and public review.

Unfortunately the web site people referred to is a policy and administrative one, and contains no useful information about actual emergencies. Having a system which can deliver an emergency message is of little value unless those warned can be referred to more detailed information relevant to the specific emergency. The Victorian government needs to follow the practice adopted by the ACT Government and have a web page specifically about current emergencies.

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Thursday, November 26, 2009

Emergency 2.0 Australia

Emergency 2.0 Australia, is part of the Australian Government 2.0 Taskforce looking at how Social Media can assist in Emergency Management. In my view Social Networking, the Internet and web, have a useful role in emergency communications. However, disaster management using IT needs to be carefully planned and tested.

The Emergency 2.0 Australia website is incorrect in suggesting that the February Victorian Bushfires saw the emergence of the use of social media and web2.0 technologies. The disaster just brought them to public prominence via the media. These were already being planned, tested and deployed elsewhere.

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Wednesday, November 11, 2009

Lack of Australian emergency warning standard risks lives

Australian Fire Danger Ratings chart with levels: Low-Moderate, High, Very High, Severe, Extreme and Catastrophic (Code Red).For this bushfire season a new Australian National Emergency Warning System has been introduced. Unfortunately there appears to be no standard issued for the formatting of the messages and no harmonisation with other warning messages. As a result this will make it difficult to relay the messages quickly and reliably via media such as SMS. This could result in delayed, misleading or lost messages, with loss of life, as happened in the Victorian Brushfires last year.

After last season when more than 100 lives were lost in Australia a new "Catastrophic (Code Red)" level has been added. There will be increased use on radio of the radio of the Australian Standard Emergency Warning Signal. There are now three Alert levels and warning messages: "Advice", "Watch and Act" and "Emergency Warning".

What is required is a precisely defined format for the messages to be issued. This format must be compatible with the systems which will be used to transmit the messages, including SMS. The message format and language must be consistent with that of other warning messages, including Tsunami warnings. Failure to do this risks lives.

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Wednesday, November 04, 2009

Hard Dry Cases for Mobile Phones

Witz Phone LockerAbout a year ago I was looking for a waterproof case for holding a mobile phone. The 50 Series Universal Hardcase from Tactical Tailor looked good, but is hard to get in Australia. Recently I came across the Witz Phone Locker, which appears similar. However, they do not appear to have as rugged clips as the TT. This size case would also be suitable for large MP3 players and smaller hand held GPS units . Most of the other Witz cases do not have belt clips (some are transparent, which would be useful). Also keep in mind that the dimensions given are of the outside of the case and what you can fit in them is considerably smaller.

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Wednesday, October 07, 2009

Emergency Operations Centre Specifications

The Nelson City and Tasman District Councils of New Zealand have issued a request for Expression of Interest for a Information and Communications System for a joint Emergency Operations Centre (EOC) (Reference: 27532). This is for emergency and disaster coordination.

The 23 pages of documentation (available to registered companies) includes a concise statement of requirements for such a system. Included is a photo of an EOC, equipped with about 13 computers and having about 20 people in it. In contrast to the usual publicity photos of such centres, this shows the messy reality. The requirements specification also shows a simialr grasp of the chaos which can occour in the early stages of an emergecy.

The documentation also specifies the current computer and telecommunications systems of the councils. These a re quite complex and the Councils might find it better to replace them with a more rationalised streamlined system, rather than try to make these systems suitable for emergency use. Recent advancements in thin client computers using VoIP allow low cost equipment to work at low power from low cost servers. This makes for a much simpler set-up than PCs and IP phones which will require more backup power, networking and servers.

Simple database applications with web based interfaces can be used. In many cases organisations spend considerable effort and money on systems to allow the emergency applications to run in standalone mode, in the event of server loss. In practice, most such systems will not work without the server and it is better to concentrate on a cheap, similar and reliable server system.

Also low power, low cost netbooks could be of use. These could replace more power hungry and expensive laptops. Smart phones with WiFi support may also be of use o supplement netbooks. These can form a useful transportable operations centre, with all the equipment needed for a dozen operators fitting in an airline carry-on size wheeled bag. A central server and WiFi base station would provide access for a dozen netbooks and smart phones. This could be used to supplement the fixed centre and the same location, be deployed nearer an emergency location or be used to replace the centre should it be disabled in the disaster.
Requirements

1.80. The EOC may need to operate under three general scenarios:
a. A local emergency with normal power and telecommunications
b. A local emergency with local interruptions to power and
telecommunications (in this scenario the EOC has its own power supply so ICT within the building can operate)
c. Significant emergency, could be Local, Regional or even a National Emergency with limited or no power supply or telecommunications, EOC could be running from one or two stand alone PCs or possibly have reverted to analogue (plus paper-based) systems 1.81. The EOC, when fully operational could be operating 24 hours a day for several days with 30-40 staff in three revolving eight hour shifts (see image below for an overall impression of what an EOC looks like).

1.82. The above image is of a mature EOC i.e. an EOC well into an emergency. When first activated, particularly in a declared emergency, the situation can be quite chaotic. EOC staff may start to arrive over the course of an hour or more and it might take some time for the EOC to reach ‘critical mass’.

Messaging

1.83. Once activated, several different personnel, though typically designated telephonists within the EOC will need to be able to simultaneously record incoming information. This will include messages from: members of the public phoning in, emergency services communications, reports via radio telephone and/or mobile phone from emergency management personnel on the
ground, emergency management personnel reporting face to face. The EOC personnel having those conversations need to be able to quickly record details of the conversation in a structured way.

1.84. Ideally the person taking the call will be able to choose from different situation choices based on what the caller is saying i.e. flooding, blocked road (and blocked by: slip, fallen tree, vehicle incident), call-taker is prompted by
the system about what questions to ask (possibly in a descending order of importance). Where applicable, responses can be tic-boxes.

1.85. Ideally the system will automatically assign metadata where appropriate i.e. date, time, user ID, machine ID

1.86. The use of geospatial aids (maps) is usual in EOC to aid visual representation of an emergency and as an aid to analysis of the situation. Emergency situations suit such analysis because typically incidents within a wider emergency occur at some location. To facilitate display and analysis within a
geographical information system (GIS) (during and subsequent to an emergency), in capturing those locations, the call-taker should be able to choose from managed lists the location that fits the description from the caller i.e. Address (18 Hampden Street, Murchison), Road Intersections (cnr Motueka Quay and Glenaven Drive, Motueka), Road (waimea Road, Nelson), Place or Places (Broadgreen House or Appleby School), River Segments (Washbourn Stream between Hill Street and Washbourn Drive or Motueka River between Woodstock and Stanleybrook).

1.87. Assigning criteria to calls: The person taking the call will need to be able to assign a range of different criteria to an individual message.
• Validation: Who was the caller? How reliable is their information? Was the caller ‘Joe Bloggs’, untrained and unqualified member of the public or a trained and experienced member of Emergency Services or an Emergency Management Field Operative? The information supplied by the latter would be rated higher than the former.
• Urgency: i.e. ‘routine’ through to ‘requires immediate attention’
• Importance: i.e. ‘routine’ through to ‘highest’
1.88. The system would be able to ‘flag’ or highlight individual messages based on a criteria i.e. ‘Red-Flag’ for urgent or important or ‘Blue-Flag’ for routine.
1.89. Have the capability to link or group one or more messages together.
1.90. Often in an emergency situation the EOC will receive multiple calls in a short span of times about the same situation. Rather than record this multiple times, it would be more efficient if you could record the same base information e.g. “Appleby Bridge approaches washed out”, then note the number of calls
received about that. Explain how the system might achieve this.
Request for Expressions of Interest to Supply

Workflow
1.91. Once the EOC call taker or team member has captured all the information regards a particular message, they need to be able to:
• Assign the message to an individual EOC team member
• Assign the message to an EOC team e.g. Planning and Intelligence
• Assign a message to multiple individuals and/or teams
1.92. The system routes a particular message via some form of workflow function to the assigned individual/s and/or team/s
1.93. In the event no individual/s or team/s are assigned to a particular message, the message can be configured to rout particular messages, based on a userdefined criteria to an individual or team based on one of the captured criteria
e.g. all messaged tagged ‘highest’ importance go to the Controller
1.94. Individuals and team can quickly and easily see/be alerted to/find messages assigned to them
1.95. Individuals and/or groups need to be able to add to a message. This may include adding additional information and/or comments. Assigning or reassigning status e.g. under action, closed, validation required, or assigning to an additional individual or team
1.96. Explain how the workflow function works.
1.97. Once messages have been processed have the ability to check or tag them in some way as ‘complete’ or ‘actioned’ etc. and they disappear from the ‘active’ list/screen but stay in the system.

Scalability/Portability
1.98. Could have the capability to be installed, stand alone within Councils smaller EOCs; Motueka, Takaka, Murchison but with the capability to communicate (integrate) with the main EOC
1.99. System can be scaled to monitor and/or manage the range response levels (from Introduction): Level 3 – Local Coordination; Level 4 – Regional Coordination i.e. the system may start off monitoring/managing a single incident which eventually escalates into a full emergency.
1.100. While for most emergencies it would be envisaged the system would operate within Councils existing ICT infrastructure (refer ‘Existing System & Environment section) because of the nature of emergencies it would also need the capability to run in a stand alone situation i.e. be network independent. How would that work?

Integration
1.101. External communication is an important component of an emergency response i.e. letting interested parties know about the status of the emergency; where evacuation points might be; what areas have been evacuated etc. The system would be able to communicate, preferably via standards-based protocols to external agencies/sites i.e. make available data/information feeds in standard formats e.g. Really Simple Syndication (RSS) or Extensible Mark-up Language (XML) or Keyhole Markup Language (KML). Consumers of such feeds could include: Nelson City and Tasman District Offices, Emergency Services (Fire, Police, Ambulance), National Crisis Management Centre,
National Health Coordination Centre. Explain capability for this.
1.102. The system might want the capability to utilise real-time data feeds using standard protocols from TDC and NCC core systems. How could that happen?
1.103. System would have the potential to integrate with Councils geographical information systems (GIS), specifically Environmental Systems Research Institute (ESRI) ArcGIS Server, through web services or other standardsbased integration methods.

How might that work?
Architecture
1.104. Please supply details of the systems architecture.
1.105. Explain how server/PC images, versions and upgrades could be managed particularly at satellite locations such as Murchison.
1.106. How is your system be licensed including those costs.
1.107. Would any changes be required to Councils existing architecture?
Setup and operation
1.108. The system would need to be relatively straightforward and quick to setup/activate/get going once the EOC is activated. Please explain how this might happen.
1.109. Any system should follow established keyboard quick-key functions e.g. Ctrl>C for copy etc.
1.110. Though some system training would be anticipated, graphical user interfaces (GUI) and functional methods would need to be intuitive. Give us some examples if available.
1.111. Please explain how your system creates and manages the message objects it creates?
1.112. In the event of a situation where power supply to the building is affected or the nature of the emergency requires the EOC to relocate, it may be required to fail-over to a manual system. How would/could the system report the current status of the emergency, elements of which the system manages such
that this could be replicated and then managed on-going in an analogue (hardcopy) environment.

Reporting/Display
1.113. The system will need to be able to report on of individual or groups or types of messages based on different user-defined criteria
• Status of messages tagged with a specific urgency rating
• Show messages not actions after a certain length of time
• Show all messages of a certain type e.g. flooding
• or number of messages logged over this time frame
• all messages to a specific user or group
• Please detail reporting functionality.

1.114. Describe any central administration tools you can offer or how you propose council would monitor and support the solution;
1.115. Is there any software that can automatically inform council of problems?
1.116. Is there a central management console and what functions does it support?
Status/Message Board
1.117. The system will need a ‘status board’ functionality to display the latest key data in relation to an emergency event the EOC is managing. This might be thought of as key performance indicator (KPI) reporting and be based on a number of ‘indicators’. The status board will give a ‘snapshot’ of the
situation.
1.118. The status board would also provide key information such as if a state of emergency is declared, and when.

Knowledge Base
1.119. Some kind of knowledgebase would be useful. This could include standard information generic to a general or type of emergency i.e. key contacts, designated assembly points etc. It could also include information about the specific emergency at hand i.e. evacuation centres established, status of individual towns etc. If a knowledgebase was to be utilised in this way it
would need the capability to evolve as the emergency evolved. ...

From: Request for Expressions of Interest to Supply
INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATIONS SYSTEMS FOR COUNCIL’S EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTRE (EOC), NELSON CITY COUNCIL and TASMAN DISTRICT COUNCIL, New Zealand, 14 September 2009.

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Thursday, October 01, 2009

Tsunami warning and response for Samoa

The Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre detected a magnitude 7.9 earthquake in the Samoa Islands region at 1748Z 29 September 2009. In response a Tsunami Warning and Watch was issued 16 minutes later at 1804Z (Bulletin 1). In all 11 messages were issued, the last being 0501Z 30 September 2009. The centre issued messages for both Hawaii and the Pacific.

Due to the closeness of the earthquake to Samoa and limitations in the technology available, the warning message was issued 5 minutes after the predicted arrival time of the Tsunami (1759Z) at the first population centre, Pago Pago in American Samoa.

The centre issues warnings to national authorities and there is then a delay while local authorities decide if, and how, to warn the public.
At best only 11 minutes warning could have been provided (assuming instantaneous detection, analysis and alert). Telecommunications systems can provide a warning within one minute.

The warning was also forwarded by email by UNESCO to the Interim Indian Ocean warning system mailing list. This message was dated Tue, 29 Sep 2009 18:04:43 GMT. It was received from UNESCO approximately three minutes later by the Fastmail.fm mail system and a summary by SMS via Vodafone Australia within one minute.

Samoa uses a system of sirens and church bells to the warn the population of Tsunami. The USA has a system of "NOAA Weather Radio" which issues automated warnings. There is a NOAA transmitter in American Samoa, located in Pago Pago.

During a visit to Samoa in 2005 to teach web design for UNESCO, I noticed that while a national digital telephone network had not yet been installed, there was a limited private GSM service (a similar service existed in Tonga). There were proposals for a GSM network in Samoa in 2007, but it is not clear how this has progressed. The significance of these networks is that they provide the SMS and SMS cell broadcast networks, which could be used to issue emergency warnings.

SequenceTimeType
129/09/09 18:03Expanding Regional Warning
229/09/09 18:05Watch Statement
329/09/09 18:54Expanding Regional Warning Supplement
429/09/09 18:57Watch Supplement Statement
529/09/09 20:21Expanding Regional Warning Supplement
629/09/09 20:23Watch Cancellation Statement
729/09/09 21:34Expanding Regional Warning Cancellation
830/09/09 01:58Advisory Statement
930/09/09 03:03Advisory Supplement Statement
1030/09/09 03:57Advisory Supplement Statement
1130/09/09 05:01Final Advisory Statement

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Thursday, September 24, 2009

Disaster Communications

Disaster Communications in a Changing Media World by Kim S Haddow and George Haddow (Butterworth-Heinemann, 2008) gives some useful general tips on media management for government and non-government disaster management organisations. This book is not about the technicalities of how to provide telecommunications during a disaster, it is about how to talk to the media, and through the media to the population. It also touches on the use of new media, email, SMS, the web and instant messaging. However, the bulk of the book is common-sense advice which applies to any media. The book suffers from a strong US bias, dealing the history of FEMA. There are a comical number of photos of public officials talking to journalists. There are some useful case studies. However, overall the book is disappointing, as the message seems to be than public communication is about a spokesman (yes, they are almost all male) standing up giving an interview to the TV and radio.

Some topics: incident command system, national response framework, social media, neighbourhood communications networks, mitigation messages, preparedness messages, first informers, changing media world, trusted community leaders, emergency management operations, next disaster strikes, disaster messages, emergency officials, emergency management organisations, cable news outlets, citizen journalists, media partnership, emergency managers, mitigation initiative, online news sites, traditional media outlets, citizen journalism, disaster information, participatory journalism, incident management system

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Friday, September 18, 2009

Holden Commodore US Police Cars

Prototype Pontiac G8 for LAPD According to media reports from the the Frankfurt motor show General Motors is planning to sell Australian made Commodore cars to US law enforcement agencies.

In March when speaking at a public safety communications conference in Sydney, I tried out several prototype police cars. One was a Los Angeles Police Department (LAPD) squad car (LAPD officers were speaking at the conference).

Touch screen in Prototype Pontiac G8 for LAPDThe vehicle was fitted with a large portrait format touch screen in the centre console, replacing the clutter of controls common in police vehicles. The Commodore is a large vehicle, allowing room for the equipment carried in police cars. There was also an upgraded electrical supply fitted.

While I only got to sit in the stationary LAPD car, I did have a ride in the back of one of the unmarked cars. This was fitted with discrete LED red and blue lights and also had recharging stations for police torches in the back. In place of the touch screen this car had a compact keyboard in a holster on the side of the transmission tunnel. The officer in the passenger seat could pull the keyboard out of the holster and put it on their lap, using the console mounted screen for looking up the police database.

The LAPD prototype was based on the US export version of the Holden commodore. The vehicle was branded as a GM Pontiac G8 for the US market. This was dropped after GM's financial difficulties. But the Commodore is still engineered for construction in left hand drive for the US market. As an example, the instrument cluster for the driver's side of the car is designed to be swapped with the glove box on the passenger's side. Also the handbrake on the driver's side of the transmission tunnel is swapped with a grab handle on the passenger's side. This would allow a small number to be made for US police use.

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Sunday, September 13, 2009

Victorian Government asking for mobile phone bushfire system

The Victorian Government has issued a Request for Information (RFI) for "Location Based Identification of Active Mobile Handsets for Emergency Notification Purposes (SS-06-2009, 6 August 2009, closing 28 October 2009). There is a four page document (pdf format, 572 kBytes). Appended is an excerpt from the Statement of Requirements in the document.

There some obvious flaws in the RFI. The first is that the RFI is assuming a particular technical solution to the problem of altering people to an emergency. Specifically the RFI refers to Location Based Identification of Active Mobile Handsets". This assumes it is feasible, legal, safe and necessary to identify where handsets are, in order to issue a localised bushfire warning. As I have discussed in a number of presentations this year, this is not necessary and may not be desirable. A further problem is the the time for the RFI, to which a decision is not expected until late February 2010.

Victoria has an urgent need for bushfire emergency warning systems. By selecting a solution which will involve complex technical and legal issues and by cutting off alternatives which may be better, even before an RFI is issued, the Victorian Government is delaying the implementation of a workable system and thus placing at further risk its citizens. There is a risk that a complex system will take longer to produce and will be less reliable. Also producing a system which too precisely tracks where citizens are will create privacy concerns and may also give a false sense of the precision of the information which citizens will receive. Victoria should aim to build a simple robust system first. In addition Victoria has to build and test a clear chain of command for who can decide to issue warnings using the system.

RFI Part B – Statement of Requirements

Department of Treasury and Finance – Government Services Group

Request for Information for Location Based Identification of Active Mobile Handsets for Emergency Notification purposes

1.OVERVIEW
COAG has agreed to take immediate steps to enhance Australia’s natural disaster arrangements through the development of a telephone-based emergency warning system that will enable the States and Territories (the States) to deliver warnings to landline and mobile telephones, based on the billing address of the subscriber, to be operational by October 2009 and to undertake further research into a capability to deliver warnings based on the location of a mobile telephone.
Communication with potentially affected individuals before, during and after emergencies is critical and it is an area where the States and the emergency service organisations can leverage telecommunications technology to greater advantage as the provision of information to individuals during emergencies can make a critical difference.

The delivery of emergency warnings to landline and mobile telephones, based on the billing address of the subscriber, component is being addressed through the NEWS (National Emergency Warning System) Request for Tender (RFT) for all States except Western Australia. Western Australia will deliver their emergency warning messages using WA StateAlert.

We recognize that individuals have become increasingly mobile and we acknowledge that location based identification of active mobile handsets within a geographically defined emergency area will provide an efficient and effective method to notify potentially affected individuals.

To further our research into the identification of location based active mobile handsets for the purpose of emergency warning notification, and to potentially supplement the NEWS, we are seeking an understanding of your wireless location based capability in this regard.

This document describes the background for seeking an understanding of location based identification of active mobile handsets, for the purpose of emergency warning notification, with a view to incorporating this technology within the NEWS.

2.Background

Both Federal and State government have undertaken research to determine the most effective method of notifying individuals of impending or existing emergency events that could have an impact on the welfare of individuals within the geographically defined emergency area.

Consumer trends reveal that the preferred method of communication with an individual is the mobile telephone.

Australia has a mobile telephone saturation point in excess of 100% and this is currently increasing.1

Australia: Population and Cellular Market Penetration ...


At the same time the domestic penetration of fixed line telephone is decreasing. ...

3.Requirements

It is our aim to understand current and future capability of mobile location based services that are able to be provided by a solution provider.
We would further like to understand your view of network or other component enhancements that may be necessary to enable the location based identification of active mobile handsets for the purpose of emergency warning notification.
We would also like to understand the current impediments that exist which may prevent location based technology from being utilised to identify active mobile handsets within a defined emergency area.

These expectations may vary based on locality of emergency event and the type of emergency event. These expectations will be further explored based on requirement for accuracy, speed of delivery, delivery indicator and network load. We aim to understand what degree of certainty and accuracy can be achieved through the different methods of targeting location based active handset messaging.

Emergency event types may dictate a requirement for outbound messages to be delivered to targeted active mobile handsets. This requirement may range from naturally occurring events, with an amount of lead time before the event is predicted to occur through to more urgent man-made, instantaneous emergency events concentrated in Capital city Central Business District precincts.

Examples of the message volumes for mass dissemination are in the range of 1,000 messages for specific public safety messages where precision of accuracy is required, 5,000 for town or shire type notification, 20,000 for metropolitan targeted warning, 50,000 for widespread urban events such as flooding through to 100,000 upwards for extreme and CBD centric events.

Emergency warning messages may be disseminated using either voice or text.
It will be essential to understand the capability and precision of location based identification of active mobile handsets across CBD, metropolitan, urban and rural localities.

This understanding of capability across different cell density and cell types will further allow emergency service organisations to structure their emergency warning processes and procedures appropriately and with a clear understanding of what the technology can provide based on locality and requirement of the emergency event type. This exercise may require a collaborative and open approach between government with

Respondents.
The table below illustrates various emergency event types and fundamental requirements to be met as part of delivering that type of emergency warning.

Table 1

Wireless Technology Characteristics ...

Response Required

As location based services mature, and for certain emergency event types, it would be envisaged that:

  • the technology will have the ability to receive notifications about any new mobile devices entering a previously specified emergency area to alert the user that, for example, an emergency services vehicle has arrived at a location, or a civilian has entered the area and may be unaware of the emergency
  • the technology will include the ability to receive notifications for any mobile devices exiting the defined emergency area. This could facilitate the creation of an evacuation list of people who are still remaining in the emergency area
  • the technology will be able to locate specific mobile devices in both 2G and 3G networks, and overlay their position onto a map.
  • the technology will have the ability to provide sufficient privacy and authentication checking mechanisms to ensure mobile location security

This understanding of a Respondent’s ability to identify location based active mobile handsets will enable governments to consider any future adoption of this capability ...


From: "Location Based Identification of Active Mobile Handsets for Emergency Notification Purposes, SS-06-2009, Request for Information (RFI), Department of Treasury and Finance, Victorian Government, 6 August 2009


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Tuesday, September 01, 2009

Telstra Global Operations Centre

Telstra's Global Operations Centre (GOG) in Melbourne appears to be too large to be effective. David Neiger's Article in August 2009 Australian Personal Computer magazine ("Telstra's massive nerve centre exposed") ,is accompanied by photos showing a conventional command centre room.

The GOC room is rectangular, with a wall of monitors at one end straight rows of operator stations. The room is divided into two halves with a walkway down the middle, which wastes the most valuable space of the room (the center). There are five operators in each row in half the room, with ten rows: one hundred operator stations in total.

Most operators have four large LCD screens in front of them. Because of the width of the screens, the operators appear to be more widely spaced than is needed, or useful, for effective work. The spacing could be reduced by one quarter, to allow them to work together more effectively. It is questionable if one operator could usefully observe four separate LCD screens around them. Removing one screen would likely improve the effectiveness of the station. A better option would be to replace all three monitors with one large wide screen monitor.

The desks also appear to be 50% deeper than needed, most likely due to having been designed for bulky obsolete CRT display screens.

There are supplementary monitors suspended from the ceiling along the sides of the room. These are likely needed as the operators at the back of the room would not be able to read what is on the board at the front.

Making the desks less deep, placing the operators closer together and removing the central walkway would allow the size of the room to be halved. This would increase the efficiency of the operation, as the operators would be able to more easily work as a team, as well as save very expensive floor space. Curving the row of desks slightly, would also allow the operators easily see each other, as is done in the NATO Combined Joint Operations Centre (CJOC) in Kabul.

Tesltra has a more modestly sized Managed Network Operations Centre in Sydney. The MNOC has a 16.7 metre video wall and provision for 42 operator stations.

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Friday, August 28, 2009

Location Based Services for Emergency Management

Today I was interviewed by Anas Aloudat at the University of Wollongong for new research on Location-Based Services for Emergency Management. This is very timely work, give the issue of alerting for bushfires.

Already published:
  1. "Location-Based Services for Emergency Management: A Multi-Stakeholder Perspective", Anas Aloudat, K. Michael, and Roba Abbas. The Eighth International Conference on Mobile Business (ICMB 2009). Dalian, China: IEEE Computer Society, 2009. 1-6.
  2. "The Current State of Commercial Location-based Service Offerings in Australia", Roba Abbas, K. Michael, M.G. Michael, and Anas Aloudat. The Eighth International Conference on Mobile Business (ICMB 2009). Dalian, China: IEEE Computer Society, 2009. 1-8.
  3. "Location-Based Services in Emergency Management- from Government to Citizens: Global Case Studies", A. Aloudat, K. Michael, and J. Yan.Recent Advances in Security Technology (1 ed). Ed. P. Mendis, J. Lai, E. Dawson and H. Abbass. Canberra, Australia: Australian Homeland Security Research Centre, 2007. 190-201.

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Monday, August 17, 2009

Victorian Bushfires Royal Commission Interim Report

The 2009 Victorian Bushfires Royal Commission Interim Report was released today. The recommendations relating to the use of ICT, the Internet and the web are well thought out. The report is in the form of a set of reasonably well formatted, efficiently web pages.

The report executive summary scored 32 out of 100 on the W3C mobileOK Checker, which is better than many web pages. One flaw is that images for the report have been marked with hyperlinks labelled "CLICK FOR IMAGE". It would have been better to include a small preview image or have a link on the caption of the image. The executive summary failed an automated web accessibility test (WCAG 2) with 517 problems, which are easily correctable.
ICT related recommendations:
  • RECOMMENDATION 4.5: The State ensure that the Standard Emergency Warning Signal (SEWS) be used in Victoria to precede each bushfire warning or group of warnings for bushfires that are dangerous or extremely dangerous, particularly for a fire that is burning out of control and poses a threat to human life, subject to appropriate limits on the maximum frequency of use.
  • RECOMMENDATION 4.8: The Australian Government, Council of Australian Governments and the State determine whether it is technically possible to implement the second phase of the national telephony-based warning system (that is, the delivery of warning messages to mobile phones based on the physical location of a handset at the time of the emergency) with a view to implementation for the 2009–10 bushfire season.
  • RECOMMENDATION 5.2: The Bureau of Meteorology include the Forest Fire Danger Index and the Grass Fire Danger Index in its fire weather warnings and general weather forecasts on its website and in material distributed to the media.
  • RECOMMENDATION 5.3: The State ensure that a single, multi-agency portal for bushfire information be established that uploads information simultaneously to both CFA and DSE websites.

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Wednesday, August 12, 2009

Warning Systems For University Campuses

"Deciphering the New Federal Integrated Public Alert and Warning System" by Dewitt Latimer provides a useful overview of issues with providing emergency warning messages on university campuses. It is written from the US point of view and uses terminology relating to US federal legisation for issueing energy wanrings to citizens (with the emphasis being on how to relay these to people on a campus, susally via SMS on a mobile phone). But the article will be of interst to those outside the USA.
"This research bulletin explores the history of nationwide notification leading up to the new federal government Integrated Public Alert and Warning System (IPAWS), as well as the Commercial Mobile Alert System (CMAS) delivery process and message format and content. It also examines the potential impact of IPAWS and CMAS on higher education and suggests actions that colleges and universities may wish to take."
Citation: Latimer, Dewitt. “Deciphering the New Federal Integrated Public Alert and Warning System” (Research Bulletin, Issue 16). Boulder, CO: EDUCAUSE Center for Applied Research, 2009, available from http://www.educause.edu/ecar.

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Tuesday, August 11, 2009

Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning Cancelled

The Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PTWC) issued a warning for the Indian Ocean at 2005 UTC (bulletin number 1). This followed a 7.7 earthquake near the Andaman Islands. A tsunami was predicted to arrive in towns in the islands within 15 minutes, and on the Indian mainland including KAKINADA within an hour, and later: MYANMAR, INDONESIA, THAILAND, BANGLADESH. The JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY (JMA) issued a similar bulletin at 2025. The PTWC issued a second bulletin at 2105Z saying a tsunami was generated, but a third bulletin at 2124Z corrected this saying no tsunami had been observed. At 2211Z PTWC cancelled the Tsunami watch. A problem with this process is the difference in times and details between the Japanese and US warnings. The JMA seems to issue fewer, later and less detailed bulletins.

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Thursday, July 16, 2009

Australian Tsunami Warning Issued

The Joint Australian Tsunami Warning Centre issued a Land Warning for Lord Howe Island at 10:45 PM EST on 15 July 2009 and a Marine Warning for much of south east Australia. This followed an earthquake off the south of New Zealand at 0923Z 15 JUL 2009. The media were requested to use the Standard Emergency Warning Signal (SEWS) for Lord Howe Island, but not mainland Australia.

At 12:14 AM EST on Thursday 16 July 2009 threat for Lord Howe Island was downgraded to a Marine Warning and use of the SEWS cancelled. One anomaly with this was that the message for Lord Howe Island (IDY68035) used different text to those for the mainland (IDY68028). The mainland messages said "Marine Warning", whereas the Lord Howe Island message did not contain that phrase. This may seem a minor point, but a lack of use of standard wording can cause dangerous misunderstandings.

Unlike the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center, the Australian Centre does not appear to provide a public archive of issued messages, so I have included two in this posting for research purposes.

For a discussion of warning systems see my "National Bushfire Warning System", Seminar, College of Engineering and Computer Science, ANU, Canberra, 16 April 2009.

** Land and Marine Threat Tsunami Warning is current for Lord Howe Island. **

THERE IS A LAND AND MARINE TSUNAMI WARNING CURRENT FOR LORD HOWE ISLAND.

IDY68034
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

MEDIA:
PLEASE USE STANDARD EMERGENCY WARNING SIGNAL (SEWS)
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE AND FREQUENT BROADCAST
********************************************************************************

TSUNAMI WARNING NUMBER 3 FOR LORD HOWE ISLAND
Issued by the Joint Australian Tsunami Warning Centre (JATWC) at
10:45 PM EST on Wednesday 15 July 2009

********************************************************************************

TSUNAMI THREAT TO LOW-LYING COASTAL AREAS AND THE MARINE ENVIRONMENT

********************************************************************************
SUMMARY:

Tsunami warning for LORD HOWE ISLAND.

An undersea earthquake of magnitude 7.9 (Latitude 45.960S Longitude 166.470E )
has occurred at 07:22 PM EST on Wednesday 15 July 2009 near OFF W. COAST OF
S. ISLAND, N.Z..

For low-lying coastal areas there is a threat of MAJOR LAND INUNDATION,
FLOODING, DANGEROUS WAVES AND STRONG OCEAN CURRENTS for several hours from
09:30 pm (EST) Wednesday.

People in affected areas are strongly advised by the NSW STATE EMERGENCY
SERVICE to go to higher ground or at least one kilometre inland.

For all threatened areas, people are advised to get out of the water and move
away from the immediate water’s edge.

Next update will be issued by 11:45 PM EST on Wednesday 15 July 2009

For latest and further information call 1300 TSUNAMI (1300 878 6264) or visit
www.bom.gov.au

********************************************************************************
DETAILS:

TSUNAMI THREAT TO LOW-LYING COASTAL AREAS
A threat of MAJOR LAND INUNDATION, FLOODING, DANGEROUS WAVES AND STRONG OCEAN
CURRENTS exists for several hours from 09:30 pm (EST) Wednesday.

COMMUNITY RESPONSE ADVICE FROM THE NSW STATE EMERGENCY SERVICE:

- The NSW STATE EMERGENCY SERVICE has ordered the evacuation of low-lying parts
of coastal towns and villages.

- People are strongly advised to go to higher ground, at least ten metres
above sea level, or if possible move at least one kilometre away from all
beaches and the water's edge of harbours and coastal estuaries.

- Take only essential items that you can carry including important papers,
family photographs and medical needs.

- It may be in your own interests to walk to safety if possible to avoid
traffic jams.

- If you cannot leave the area take shelter in the upper storey of a sturdy
brick or concrete multi-storey building.

- Boats in harbours, estuaries or shallow coastal water should return to
shore. Secure your boat and move away from the waterfront.

- Vessels already at sea should stay offshore in deep water until further
advised.

- Do not go to the coast to watch the tsunami, as there is the possibility of
dangerous, localised land inundation of the immediate foreshore.

- Check that your neighbours have received this advice.

CAUTION:
Tsunami waves are more powerful than the same size beach waves, with the first
wave not necessarily being the largest.

Low-level effects may be observed in neighbouring coastal areas. People are
advised to take care.

TSUNAMI SOURCE:
An undersea earthquake of magnitude 7.9 (Latitude 45.960S Longitude 166.470E )
has occurred at 07:22 PM EST on Wednesday 15 July 2009 off W. COAST OF S.
ISLAND, N.Z.

Sea level observations have confirmed a tsunami has been generated.

Tsunami has been observed at Spring Bay in TAS at 10:05pm and at Port Kembla in
NSW at 10:06pm.

The NEXT UPDATE will be issued by 11:45 PM EST on Wednesday 15 July 2009

FOR LATEST AND FURTHER INFORMATION:
Call 1300 TSUNAMI (1300 878 6264) or visit www.bom.gov.au

FOR EMERGENCY ASSISTANCE:
Call the NSW STATE EMERGENCY SERVICE on 132 500

********************************************************************************

EST = Eastern Standard Time
CST = Central Standard Time = EST - 30 minutes
WST = Western Standard Time = EST - 2 hours

The JATWC is operated by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology and Geoscience
Australia
********************************************************************************

** Marine Threat Tsunami Warning is current for Norfolk Island. **

THERE IS A MARINE TSUNAMI WARNING CURRENT FOR NORFOLK ISLAND.

IDY68035
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

MEDIA:
NO USE OF STANDARD EMERGENCY WARNING SIGNAL (SEWS)
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE AND FREQUENT BROADCAST
********************************************************************************

TSUNAMI WARNING NUMBER 3 FOR NORFOLK ISLAND
Issued by the Joint Australian Tsunami Warning Centre (JATWC) at
01:47 AM NFT on Thursday 16 July 2009

********************************************************************************

TSUNAMI THREAT TO THE MARINE ENVIRONMENT

********************************************************************************
SUMMARY:

Tsunami warning for the marine environment of NORFOLK ISLAND.

An undersea earthquake of magnitude 7.9 (Latitude 45.960S Longitude 166.470E )
has occurred at 07:22 PM EST on Wednesday 15 July 2009 off W. COAST OF S.
ISLAND, N.Z.

Possibility of DANGEROUS WAVES, STRONG OCEAN CURRENTS AND SOME LOCALISED
OVERFLOW ONTO THE IMMEDIATE FORESHORE from now until 2:30am local time
Thursday.

Although major evacuations are not required, people are advised to get out of
the water and move away from the immediate water's edge.

Next update will be issued by 02:47 AM NFT on Thursday 16 July 2009

For latest and further information call 1300 TSUNAMI (1300 878 6264) or visit
www.bom.gov.au

********************************************************************************
DETAILS:

A threat of DANGEROUS WAVES, STRONG OCEAN CURRENTS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME
LOCALISED OVERFLOW ONTO THE IMMEDIATE FORESHORE exists from now until 2:30am
local time Thursday.

COMMUNITY RESPONSE ADVICE FROM THE NORFOLK ISLAND POLICE :

- While major evacuations are not required, people are advised to get out of
the water and move away from the immediate water's edge of harbours, coastal
estuaries, rock platforms and beaches.

- Boats in harbours, estuaries or shallow coastal water should return to
shore. Secure your boat and move away from the waterfront.

- Vessels already at sea should stay offshore in deep water until further
advised.

- Do not go to the coast to watch the tsunami, as there is the possibility of
dangerous, localised flooding of the immediate foreshore.

- Check that your neighbours have received this advice.

CAUTION:
Tsunami waves are more powerful than the same size beach waves, with the first
wave not necessarily being the largest.

Low-level effects may be observed in neighbouring coastal areas. People are
advised to take care.

TSUNAMI SOURCE:
An undersea earthquake of magnitude 7.9 (Latitude 45.960S Longitude 166.470E )
has occurred at 07:22 PM EST on Wednesday 15 July 2009 near OFF W. COAST OF
S. ISLAND, N.Z..

Sea level observations have confirmed a tsunami has been generated.

Tsunami has been observed at Spring Bay in TAS at 10:05pm and at Port Kembla
in NSW at 10:06pm.

Tsunami threat levels are expected to gradually decrease from 2:30am local time
Thursday.

The NEXT UPDATE will be issued by 02:47 AM NFT on Thursday 16 July 2009

FOR LATEST AND FURTHER INFORMATION:
Call 1300 TSUNAMI (1300 878 6264) or visit www.bom.gov.au

FOR EMERGENCY ASSISTANCE:
Call the NORFOLK ISLAND POLICE on 977

********************************************************************************

EST = Eastern Standard Time
CST = Central Standard Time = EST - 30 minutes
WST = Western Standard Time = EST - 2 hours

The JATWC is operated by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology and Geoscience
Australia
********************************************************************************

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Wednesday, July 08, 2009

Victorian Internet Bushfire Warnings

A Proposed Interim Report of the 2009 Victorian Bushfires Royal Commission was presented by the Counsel Assisting on 2 July 2009. The draft report in a 63 page PDF document (536 kbytes). Several of the key findings and recommendations relate to the use of the Internet, the web and other ICT.

The commission has done a very thorough and thoughtful job in collecting, analysis and collation of a large amount of information and making sensible relevant recommendations. The recommendations for having a single bushfire emergency web site and using visual as well as text based information and to be designed to function during periods of extreme demand are key. For several years I have been teaching students of the Australian National University how to design emergency web sites.

One criticism I would have of the recommendations which relate to the use of ICT is that they are made peace meal, under the various topics. A key problem which this therefore does not address is the peace meal nature of the resulting systems. What is needed is one system which is used to prepare one consistent collection on bushfire which can be disseminated using different technology to different people.

As an example the commission recommends that warnings be read on air on the ABC, but I suggest that these warnings should also be available via the ABC's web site and particularly their mobile web site and via the RSS and other feed systems the ABC uses.

Also while the commission recommends one single, multi‐agency bushfire information website for Victoria, in my opinion, this does not go far enough. Bushfire is not the only form of emergency which Victoria is subject to. Therefore the Victorian government should provide one emergency information website for all forms of life threatening emergencies in Victoria, including bus fires.

One issued raised by a submission to the inquiry, but not taken up by the commission in its recommendations is the resilience of the proposed National Broadband Network in an emergency. As I have pointed out, the government has not set does not have use of the NBN in an emergency as a priority. If the NBN is not designed to operate during a power failure or in other emergencies, as it beings to replace conventional PSTN telephones, the risk to the public will increase as a result.
2.2. Construction, content of warnings
Key findings ...

(e) CFA bushfire warnings are assigned three “levels”: Awareness, Alert and Urgent Threat. Ideally, each such warning is posted (in a timely fashion) to the CFA website, read aloud on ABC radio and provided to the VBIL. The evidence before the Royal Commission is that on 7 February 2009 this did not always occur in a timely fashion. ...

2.3. Specific methods of delivering warnings.

2.3.1. Single, multi‐agency bushfire information website for Victoria.
Key findings

(a) The public rely on fire agency websites for accurate and up to date information about fires in their area. ...

(b) Currently CFA and DSE maintain separate websites. CFA and DSE are working to present bushfire information on a single website. ...

Proposed recommendations

(a) A single, multi‐agency bushfire information website for Victoria be established and operational for the 2009‐2010 fire season.
(b) The website must provide timely, accurate and up to date bushfire information posted by the fire agencies, that is consistent with the bushfire information being delivered through other modes, including the VBIL and ABC radio. The website must be designed to communicate information quickly and simply, using visual as well as text based information and have the capacity to function during periods of extreme demand.
(c) The website be designed to allow Incident Control Centres (ICCs) to post bushfire information directly to the website.

2.3.2. Standard Emergency Warning Signal
Key findings
(a) The Standard Emergency Warning Signal (SEWS) is not itself a ”warning”. Rather, it is a distinctive alert tone or signal broadcast prior to warnings for major emergencies. It is designed to “alert listeners/viewers of radio/television that an official emergency announcement is about to be made concerning an actual or potential emergency which has the potential to affect them”. ...

(b) The current protocol for the use of SEWS requires the control agency to request the police to authorise its use. Victoria Police (via the Divisional Emergency Response Coordinator) then sends an “Emergency Warning Notice” to the media. On receipt of that formal request to issue a warning, the media are expected to broadcast the warning message, preceded by the distinctive “SEWS tone” for 15 seconds.
(c) SEWS was not used on 7 February 2009 in Victoria. Its use is not referred to in the Emergency Management Manual. Indeed, SEWS has not been regularly used in Victoria, because of concerns that it can be overused and thereby become ineffective and the possibility that it might cause “confusion”. ...
(d) There is no research to suggest that use or “overuse” of SEWS has caused any significant confusion or inconvenience in the community. ...
(e) The Commonwealth has been considering a “relaunch” of SEWS, however it ceased that work in anticipation of the findings of this Royal Commission. ...
(f) SEWS is useful in alerting people to the content of a warning message to follow, and it has been used in South Australia (since 2005) for that very purpose. ...

Proposed recommendations

(a) The Standard Emergency Warning Signal (SEWS) must be used in Victoria to precede each Urgent Threat message in relation to a bushfire and in all circumstances where lives are at risk by reason of bushfire.
(b) The Emergency Management Manual Victoria should be amended to provide that:
(i) the use of SEWS is to precede each urgent threat message issued in relation to a bushfire;
(ii) the use of SEWS is required in all circumstances when lives are at risk; and
(iii) the use of SEWS may be authorised during bushfires by the Chief Officer of the CFA or the Chief Officer of DSE.
(c) The State Government to commence an intensive education campaign to inform the Victorian community that the distinctive SEWS signal will be used before each Urgent Threat message for bushfires and in all circumstances where lives are at risk by reason of bushfire.
(d) The ABC, CFA and DSE to implement a streamlined process for the use of SEWS on ABC radio and television.
(e) The CFA and DSE to invite commercial operators to enter into a Memoranda of Understanding in relation to the dissemination of bushfire warning messages and a process for the use of SEWS by those operators.

2.3.3. Community Information and Warning Systems and Dissemination of Warnings
Key findings

(a) In 2005, the Office of the Emergency Services Commissioner (OESC), in partnership with Telstra, ran a successful trial of an opt in land line telephony based community warning system in two communities in Victoria. ...

(b) Since the 2005 trial, Victoria’s position has been that a national community information and warning system should be implemented. Victoria has advocated this position forcefully at the highest levels, including in communications between the Premier and the Minister for Police and the Commonwealth. ...

(c) The use of a nationally consistent community information warning system drawing on such technology is supported in an AFAC Discussion Paper: “A National Systems Approach to Community Warnings”, 3 June 2009. ...

(d) On 2 October 2008, COAG formally noted that “A nationally – consistent community emergency warning system will enhance the current capability to provide timely and accurate warnings in the event of emergencies and provide useful information and advice on individual and community responses. COAG has requested that all remaining tasks, including a cost – benefit analysis, be completed by the end of 2008”. ...

(e) But the period between 2006 and 2009 was largely characterised by delay. There was extended debate between Commonwealth departments about the need for legislative amendment to facilitate access to the Integrated Public Numbers Database (IPND). ...

(f) On 3 December 2008, the Attorney General wrote to the Minister for Broadband, Communications and the Digital Economy stating: “As noted by COAG, a telephony based warning system has the potential to save lives”. ...

(g) During the period 2004 to 2009, the Department of Broadband Communications and the Digital Economy maintained the view that changes to the Telecommunications Act 1997 (Cth) were necessary to permit access by emergency services to the IPND. ...

(h) The delay was also in part due to the fact that until after the 2009 fires, the States and the Commonwealth had not agreed on the appropriate model for a national system. ...

(i) In March 2009, the necessary amendments to the Telecommunications Act 1997 (Cth) were made. ...

(j) On 2 March 2009, after the February 2009 fires, and before the Telecommunications Act 1997 (Cth) amendments were made, Victoria Police and the OESC determined to issue a mass warning message via SMS in order to warn of predicted severe weather.

Telstra was instrumental in the arrangements for the dissemination of the message. A review conducted in relation to this event revealed a high rate of recall by recipients and “success” in terms of the message delivery. ...

(k) The SMS message was able to be sent by Telstra because access to the IPND was not required, as Telstra simply sent the message to its customers using their billing addresses. Out of "an abundance of caution", Telstra was also supplied with a certificate from Victoria Police which stated that the message was necessary to be sent by reason of a "serious and imminent threat" to life. Although this certificate echoes the wording of the exception in s287 of the Telecommunications Act 1997 (Cth), Telstra did not in fact purport to rely on that section. Indeed, Mr Consolo accepted in evidence that Telstra has always possessed the capacity to send such an SMS message to its customers, though this message offers no "geo‐coding" function. Mr Esplin, in his evidence, noted that the agreement of carriers to take such a step was, in his view, unlikely to have been obtained prior to the events of 7 February 2009. ...

(l) On 30 April 2009, following a COAG meeting, the Commonwealth announced that COAG had agreed to implement a national telephone emergency warning system. The first stage (which COAG said would be in place by October 2009) will provide warnings in the form of recorded voice messages and SMS messages to the billing addresses of landline and mobile phones. A second stage of the system that would permit sending of
phone messages based on the location of the telephone handset is to be investigated. ...

(m) Despite the development of this new technology, it is clear that multiple methods of dissemination of warnings should continue to be used for the following reasons:

(i) members of the community may obtain information in a variety of ways including websites, telecommunications, radio and informal networks – and tend to like to confirm information received with other sources; and
(ii) it is advisable to preserve multiple modes of disseminating warnings (including old technology such as sirens, door to door visits, radio and new technology such as SMS, official websites, informal websites, Twitter, Facebook) to reach the broadest possible audience and to guard against failure of any single mode of communication. ...

(a) The Commonwealth and COAG should ensure that implementation of stage one of the new national emergency warning system prior to bushfire season 2009‐2010.
(b) The State of Victoria should be an active participant in the development, implementation and operation of the new national emergency warning system.
(c) The State of Victoria should immediately commence a program of community education in order to ensure that Victorians are well informed about the proper use of and response to the use of the new national emergency warning system, particularly in the event of bushfire, prior to the 2009‐2010 season. Such community education program to draw on the experiences of the “Community Information and Warning System: The Report of The Trial and Evaluation”, OESC (2006) ...
(d) If by September 2009, it appears unlikely that the first phase of the national system will be operational, the State of Victoria to make representations to the Commonwealth Government with a view to securing a commitment that the system will be available at least in Victoria’s Bushfire Risk Zones by bushfire season 2009‐2010.
(e) Multiple means of disseminating warning message should be retained including the continued use of ABC broadcasts, a single multi agency website (see proposed recommendation 2.3.1) and sirens where adopted by particular communities (see proposed recommendation 2.3.4).

2.3.5. Publication of Fire Danger Index forecasts
Key findings

(a) The Bureau of Meteorology routinely forecasts the Forest Fire Danger Index and the Grass Fire Danger Index (collectively the Fire Danger Index or FDI) and provides these forecasts to the fire agencies. ...
(b) The FDI forecasts are not included in the general weather forecasts posted on the Bureau’s website or distributed to the media. They are made available to the public only in the fire weather forecasts posted on the Bureau’s website on the afternoon before the day in question. ...
(c) A number of lay witnesses wanted to see the FDI forecasts published more widely. ...

Proposed recommendations
(a) The Bureau of Meteorology include the Forest Fire Danger Index and Grass Fire Danger Index in its fire weather warnings and general weather forecasts posted on its website and distributed to the media. ...

4.9. Application to those in places other than homes – e.g. schools, nursing homes, hospitals

Proposed Recommendations – stay or go (key findings 4.1‐4.9)

(ii) that before the commencement of the 2009 ‐ 2010 fire season they be revised and enhanced to clearly convey the following ...

(M) Advice about when to leave, incorporating a cascading series of triggers
(noting that a warning may not be received and should not be relied upon)
namely ...
• When you are advised to be on alert in relation to a fire that has
commenced. This requires that you pay attention to fire information sources (ABC, fire agency website) on days of total fire ban and extreme fire risk. ...

8. Detection of fires
8.1. Early detection, mapping and prediction of fire spread
Key findings ...

(n) Threat messages issued concerning the Kilmore East fire prior to 18.00 on 7 February 2009 made no reference to the anticipated frontal change. ...

(p) Kilmore ICC authorised at 16.10 on 7 February 2009 release of threat message warning communities from Kinglake to Strath Creek of fire. That message did not appear on the CFA website. ...

(r) Narbethong was the subject of a threat message on the DSE website at 16.45 on 7 February 2009 and Marysville was the subject of a threat message on the DSE website at 17.15 on 7 February 2009. ...

19.2. Communications infrastructure

Key findings

(a) Warnings, both formal and informal, are communicated by a range of means including mobile and fixed line telephones, radio, television and the internet. Members of the public need to be able to contact emergency services in an emergency.

Communications within and between emergency services agencies are vital to an effective and co‐ordinated emergency response. A reliable and robust communications infrastructure is therefore essential.

(b) The Commission has heard evidence that indicates that Victoria’s communications infrastructure was placed under great stress on 7 February, and that there were difficulties in communicating with and within emergency services, and generally. ...

(c) To date the Commission has heard evidence from the ABC, ACE Radio Broadcasters, Telstra, ESTA, DSE, CFA and Victoria Police in respect of public radio and television, fixed and mobile telephone networks, managed radio networks and the operation of emergency call services. Some of these communications media performed well on 7 February, others less so. ...

(d) The Commission has also heard evidence that indicates that communications in some parts of Victoria are less than optimal under normal conditions. ...

Proposed recommendations
(a) No further recommendation is proposed. Victoria’s communications infrastructure will be the subject of evidence in future hearings. ...

From: Proposed Interim Report of the 2009 Victorian Bushfires Royal Commission, Counsel Assisting, 2 July 2009.

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Monday, July 06, 2009

New Zealand Sahana Disaster Management System Cluster

Tim McNamara has called a meeting to form a New Zealand non-profit group to work with others around the world on the Sahana free open source disaster management system. The meeting is in Wellington, New Zealand, 30 July 2009:

Sahana Free and Open Source Disaster Management System | New Zealand Cluster

Have a Play

http://demo.sahana.lk/cvs/

Get Involved

http://tinyurl.com/nz-sahana-cluster

Turn Up

5:30pm, 30 July 2009, Level 6, Willis Street, Wellington, New Zealand

(RSVP via http://tinyurl.com/nz-sahana-cluster)

What is this anyway?

The New Zealand Sahana Cluster is being formed to bring together technology experts, translators, emergency managers, researchers to bring forward widespread adoption of Sahana in New Zealand.

Sahana is Sinhalese for 'Relief' and signifies the history of the project from its development to reconnect families displaced due to the Boxing Day Tsunami. The New Zealand Cluster seeks to have the same positive impact for Kiwi communities.

Some deployments:

  • Asian Tsunami in Sri Lanka (2005)
  • Kashmir Earthquake in Pakistan (2005)
  • Landslide disaster in Philippines (2005)
  • Sarvodaya and Terre des Hommes, Sri Lankan NGOs (2005-)
  • Yogjakarta Earthquake, Indonesia (2006)
  • Earthquake in Peru (2007)
  • Cyclone Sidr in Bangladesh (2007)
  • Coastal Storm Plan in New York City (2007-)
  • Ica Earthquake, Peru (2007)
  • Chendu-Sitzuan Earthquake, China (2008)
  • National Disaster Management Center &
  • Ministry of Resettlement & Disaster Relief Services, Sri Lanka (2009)

International Sponsors:

IBM Google NSF
Sida

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Sunday, June 21, 2009

Hand washing for swine flu

To wash your hands properly, first wet your hands, then apply soap.In my analysis of the Australian Government's Swine Flu web site I suggested the instructions for handwashing could be improved. The instructions are contained in a 24 kbyte GIF file on the "Individuals and households" page. Here I have separated the four steps into individual images, reduced to 32 colours, and removed text from the images. The result is four files, each of 4 kbytes.

To wash your hands properly:
  1. Wet your hands, then apply soap.

    To wash your hands properly, first wet your hands, then apply soap.
  2. Lather vigorously for 15 to 20 seconds.

    To wash your hands properly. Wet your hands, then apply soap. Lather vigorously for 15 to 20 seconds. Rinse with water. Dry your hands afterwards with a clean towel.
  3. Rinse with water.

    To wash your hands properly, third rinse with water.
  4. Dry your hands afterwards with a clean towel.

    To wash your hands properly, lastly dry your hands afterwards with a clean towel.
Some points to note: I replaced the dash in "15-20 seconds" with the word "to". This is more understandable if the text is converted to synthetic speech by an assisted technology device for the blind. Otherwise the text will be read as "fifteen dash twenty seconds".

Reducing the complexity of the images by removing the shading to make them pictograms would reduce them to 1 kbyte each and also make them easier to understand. A simple animation also could be made from the images.

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Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Community-based hazard information systems

Dr. Gordon A. GowThis evening I took part in a colloquium at LIRNEasia in Sri Lanka via Skype from Canberra on "The future of community-based hazard information systems: Insights from the Internet sharing economy" presented by Dr. Gordon A. Gow from University of Alberta:
The need for reliable early warning systems in countries around the world, including those in the Indian Ocean region, is well established.

Perhaps the most difficult challenge going forward is to find ways to sustain an acceptable level of emergency preparedness at the local community level.

The "public good" quality of early warning, however, presents a barrier to meeting that challenge.

Several design principles that support successful sharing economies on the Internet offer insight as to how we might overcome this barrier and develop innovative strategies to promote sustainable community-based hazard information systems.
Dr. Gow provided an excellent paper and set of slides and I will provide a link to these if they become available online.

He argued that we should look beyond early warning at preparedness. He suggested social media with Twitter type technology could be used, but has to be planned for, not used as a "heroic intervention". CAP was discussed. I note that Twitter for emergencies, CAP came up at the royal commission yesterday. The term "Crisis Informatics" was mentioned. The "last mile" is where the greatest challenge is. Dr. Gow argued that early warning should be linked to risk reduction.

Dr. Gow also suggested that social relationships could improve the quality of warning systems and social media could improve this. He asked what makes online communities successful, so this can be applied for emergencies.

There was some time spent defining terms like "hazard" and "disaster". My web page about "Emergency Web Page Design for Local Government" covers some of this. Also my "National Bushfire Warning System: Micro-blogging for emergencies"is relevant.

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Role of the web in bushfire warnings

The 2009 Victorian Brushfires Royal Commission is addressing the issue of the role of the web in providing warning to the public. Professor John Handmer, author of "Handbook of Disaster and Emergency Policies and Institutions", gave evidence on 16 June 2009. The statement is not yet online (the commission secretariat told me they have some "technological issues" with statements at present), but the Transcript of Proceedings is. Below are some excerpts dealing with the web and Internet. I agree with the general approach suggested by Professor Handmer, but would like to see simple efficient web mark-up used for warnings, rather than plain text.
You note in paragraph 16 that the audience for a warning may be hugely variable and towards the end of that paragraph you note that, "People go to different sources. Some community members may be habitual uses of the internet, others might be more likely to turn to the radio, others might use personal networks. There are different preferred modes of receiving information." How does that then impact on the way that one should take care to disseminate warnings?---Ideally - I mean the community at risk is infinitely diverse. Each individual, we could argue, has a unique preferred way of receiving a warning, but at some level we have to stop, I suppose. But ideally the modes that are the preferred ways for that community at risk to receive their information should be the modes that are used, given whatever is practical, and that means, almost always it means that there would be several modes.

So it would be preferable in your view to use the internet as well as ABC Radio and perhaps even give consideration to other modes like phone calls or Twitter sites?---Yes, that's right. They are all reasonably technological means. One could argue that in many communities to ensure that the more vulnerable people - it depends on the community - are reached, we would probably need to get into the local networks, the personal networks or the community networks to try to activate, if you like, the neighbourhood to make sure that people who may not receive warnings via those modes receive them either by direct personal contact or some other way, and that they make sure that they are in a position to take what sort of protective action is needed. But this is tapping into what we call the informal warning system. Is there another benefit to disseminating by more than one means, namely in case of failure of one means or imperfect delivery of one means during a crisis?---That's right. We would argue that reliance on any single mode of dissemination is pretty risky, partly because it is not going to get to everybody no matter what it is and, secondly, any single mode is subject to failure or congestion or interruption.

The next aspect you turn to in your statement is timeliness and you note in paragraph 17, "A warning should be delivered in a timely manner so as to allow people to confirm what they have to do and take action in time." Is that a feature you have noticed in your research, that people usually seek confirmation from further sources before they act?---There are two things that come out of the research, main things. One is what you have just said, that people will almost always seek confirmation. Officials will, too. But people at risk will seek confirmation usually by mobilising their personal networks or if they hear something, read something on the web, listen to the radio or TV or ring somebody or vice versa. This is pretty normal and we have found often people - they also might want to ascertain the location of other household members. There are a number of things go on typically before people take action. The other thing we have noticed is that very frequently people receive the warning or at least understand that the warning is important to them too late to do anything useful. ...

Websites. Can we go to question 5, which starts at page 0018, and you note in paragraph 67 that web-based material has really become the primary source of information in our society. In paragraph 69 you make some points about who uses the internet. You say that even though it seems ubiquitous, in 2006 about a quarter of Victorians didn't have internet access. So, although that is a declining proportion, that needs to be kept in mind. That comes from the census data, is that right?---That's right. So it remains the case that the web is not a fix all. One would need to keep in mind promoting messages through ABC Radio and other means?---That's right. The point there is that a proportion of households, and they are likely to be people who are more vulnerable, elderly people and so on, do not have web access. It is also an interesting thing that people who promote the web as a vehicle for warnings have an implicit assumption that people are out there actively seeking their warnings on the web. We don't have evidence for that.

That's an important point you make at point 3: "Websites offer a passive form of warning. That is, they don't alert you to come and read them, although you will find the message if you go and look for it"?---That's true. There are a variety of ways of overcoming that and making websites active through all kinds of tools that can send the messages to you now, Widgets, Twitter and so on. But, nevertheless, the basic principle is that a website is a passive form of warning.

It could be used in conjunction, though, couldn't it, with those other tools you mentioned. If there was a SEWS signal played on the radio or an automated phone call or a text message, part of which suggested looking at a website, that might combine the call to action with finding more information on the website?---It could, or it could simply be that the material on the website is sent to your mobile phone or whatever by one of these devices and there are several possibilities with that.

You note over the page on 0019 some issues about currency and reliability and the issues which may arise when a website is under heavy demand. We touched on this when you spoke of your own experience on 7 February. Is there a way to address the situation when websites are under heavy demand and therefore slow down or even become inaccessible?---They tend to slow right down, that's right. There are a number of ways of addressing it.

Probably the simplest way is for people to take the information off the site automatically and feed it onto other sites or other systems. In the fires on February 7th the material from the CFA site was re-posted, if you like, via Twitter. There was an unofficial site, CFA updates, which was a Twitter site, and that is still active, actually. That was one of a number of sites that on the day took material unofficially from the site. There is a way of doing it which is quite legitimate and CFA encourage it. So, that's one way. What that does is take the load off the site. Another way is to ask people not to use it or to restrict access, but that doesn't seem very promising to me, given that we actually want people to use it, but that's a standard response. Otherwise, there are a number of technical ways of doing this which I outline in the paper. They are basically about reducing the degree of interactivity with the site, so that when you go into the site you don't actually - what you get is just sitting there. The amount of processing power that site needs to use is limited one way or another. Things like graphics, logos and so on, which we have more and more of them on our sites, are pretty hungry for memory.

The idea is not to use them in these emergency situations. In one sense it is an argument for moving to a different website mode in a major emergency when you know the demand is going to be great. I don't know whether I mention it here, but after the tsunami the British Commonwealth and Foreign Office or Foreign and Commonwealth Office website on travel advisories and so on switched to a text only mode for precisely this reason.

And that reduces the memory use?---That's right. It can handle a lot more inquiries.

I note in paragraph 72 you suggest, if we just deal with websites bit by bit, you suggest first of all that it would be useful for there to be one website rather than the DSE and the CFA websites?---A lot of people are arguing this, that there should be one website, but it is a trade-off, I want to say, as well, because if there is one website, all the problems we are talking about in terms of website overload and so on are exacerbated. The solution of course is that there are two sites but they mirror each other's content.

So two sites with the same content or multiple sites with the same content may help?---Yes. I think a single site in terms of content is the ideal, but if we look at the practicalities and the reliability, we are much better off having a number of sites.

Is there also potential to enable information within a website to be hived off, namely to enable people to look at particular messages pertaining to particular parts of Victoria so that they are using different pages or different information at the one time?---Yes, there are a range of devices and so on that can be embedded in sites to do that, and even to send them to the people concerned. You set out all these matters working through to paragraph 80 in the statement. Paragraph 77 is where you deal with the RSS feed. This is the capacity you spoke of for the material on an internet site to be mirrored, if you like, over on a Twitter site?---Yes, but not quite. The RSS feeds really just take key information. They don't take the whole information of the site. That is one reason why they can actually feed information on to sites like

Twitter or even mobile phones if the system is enabled. They take headliners, basically.

Dealing with sirens, which is question 6 - - -

COMMISSIONER PASCOE: Before we leave the websites, a question about the Bureau of Meteorology site which had, we are told, 70 million hits on the day and is used to having a massive - - -?---It is the most popular in Australia, I think, the most popular government site.

I don't know whether you have looked at the features of that site and what enables that site to cope with the heavy demand vis-a-vis the sites that we have just been talking about and whether there are any lessons we can learn from the bureau website?---I'm sure there are, but I haven't personally investigated them, but a lot of the bureau's material is in very basic text form and I think that's probably one of the key features of enabling that site to handle such loads. But I think that would be a worthwhile. I think it is the fourth most popular site in the country. ...

Turning to new technology, question 7, this is a matter you discuss in paragraphs 91 onwards and you refer to the new technologies which have emerged. You make the point in paragraph 93 it is important not to overlook our longstanding communication technologies, including radio. In paragraph 95 you say that it is important to distinguish between new technologies that deal with the centralised systems, such as CAP, and those that relate to individualised information. I take it from what you say here there is certainly a role for new technologies to play and it is a field that continues to develop?---I think the new technologies, in terms of delivering a message, as we were discussing, to the people at risk, have only very recently started to play a major role, but it has been quite quick and now most people in our society, I would say the majority of people by far use either a mobile phone, text, are very familiar with texting and the internet as their normal means of gaining and sending information or whatever. So we have to use them if we want to reach particular audiences and there are many variations of those modes.

Because you mention in paragraph 98 Facebook sites that are mostly post-fire, but Facebook sites, MySpace sites and in paragraph 99 the Twitter site as new technologies being used by portions of the community that ought not be overlooked?---That's right. Some of these played a role, like Twitter sites, in warnings. There is anecdotal evidence that people got warnings on Facebook because they were looking at some aspect of Facebook and suddenly some message came across. But people weren't using Facebook, as far as I can see, for warning purposes but it fulfilled that role.

At paragraph 100 you refer to phones and mobile phones and you make the point obviously they are very familiar. For landline phones, about halfway through paragraph 100, you note the technology which enables locations connected to landlines to be selected which could be used to delimit areas. That might be useful, for example, in any automated phone warning system?---Yes. That's the idea, yes.

You point out the advantages, but also the disadvantages. There may be lack of mobile phone coverage, there may be issues with phone traffic?---And there is a privacy issue with unlisted numbers and so on. But, yes.

Are you familiar with the recent announcement by the Commonwealth government to now establish a national phone automated warning system?---Yes, I am familiar with that. You refer to the common alerting protocol. It, as you mention there, is really a mode of standardising the content of warnings to ensure that it is the same over different modes of dissemination?---Yes. The common alerting protocol relates to what we were discussing a while ago, the write-it-once concept. As you say, it is a standardised message, it has a standardised format and then the idea is that this message can then be disseminated over any number of digital modes. So it has that advantage of speed and also has advantages in being able to go on multiple modes that perhaps would have to be manually uploaded in the past. ...


From: Transcript of Proceedings , 2009 Victorian Brushfires Royal Commission , TUESDAY 16 JUNE 2009, 24th day of hearing

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Tuesday, June 16, 2009

Mobile phones for combating pandemics

Dr Robert Fitzgerald from University of Canberra talked about e-learning at ANU a few weeks ago. After that he invited me over to UoC to discuss the use of mobile phones in aid projects, before travelling to Cambodia to work on some. He has posted some messages on the projects. The on is SMS Monitoring Systems - Geochat from InSTEDD. In this he describes a Short Message System (SMS) based system called Geochat, used for tracking a pandemic. This takes information sent in an SMS message and maps it with Google Maps. This has been used for an Avian Influenza simulation exercise and has obvious application in Australia with the current swine flu pandemic.

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Monday, June 08, 2009

Australian Government Swine Flu Outbreak Web Information

Wash Hands signThere are some technical faults in the Australian Government's "Swine Flu Outbreak" web page. Below are some suggestions to fix the faults, improve the site and a general approach to improve the provision of such information online.

In a major emergency, such as a pandemic, all that the authorities can provide to the community is advice. There are not sufficient resources to provide each individual with material assistance. It is therefore important that useful advice is provided. The web would be a useful way to provide such advice, if we could to learn to use it effectively.

The Australian Government has provided some useful information online, but the formatting and arrangement of that information could be improved. Better use could be made of the web to distribute and present information. The PDF versions of information brochures could be replaced with easier to read web pages. Simple animations which demonstrate techniques such as hand washing could be created. These could be displayed on web pages and also be suitable for use on smart phones, iPods and on digital signage in schools, offices and workplaces.

The Australian Government home page provides a link for "Swine Flu Outbreak" as the second feature, after the Economic Stimulus Plan. This appears to be an appropriate level of priority. Unfortunately the link is to a web page with the vague title of "Heath Emergency" and subtitle of "H1N1 09 Outbreaks" <http://www.healthemergency.gov.au/>. Many readers are likely to stop at this point, think they are in the wrong place. The page should have a title like that of the home page "Swine Flu Outbreak".

The web address for the page is generic, referring to "Heath Emergency", however there appears to be no provision for more than one health emergency, nor of distinguishing between them. There is also no provision for government information on other forms of emergencies. The Australian Government should establish a web address for emergencies and include health under that.

The information on the "Heath Emergency" page is not intended for the general public and is not suitable for them. The page is intended for health professionals, school administrators and business people. The page lists information for individuals and households last in a menu of seven items. It is unlikely that many people will even notice this menu item. This should be changed to put the information for individuals on top of the home page.

The "Individuals and households" has a menu at the top which lists "Personal protective equipment" as he first item. However, this is not the most important way to combat flu, which is good personal hygiene, and so should be the first item. Many people will click on "Personal protective equipment" and thus miss the first section "Protecting yourself and others".

The web address for the page contains upper and lower case text. It works with all lower case text. The mixed case will cause confusion and should be replaced. The web address is too long and should be made one third the current length.

The page has been formatted to omit the left menu when printed and prints well. The bottom of the page contains details of where to get further information. However, there is no link to state and territory health departments. There should be a link to the corresponding health department pages.

The web page failed a TAW automated web accessibility test, TAW 3.0 (6/8/09 12:51 AM) Validation conform to WAI guidelines, W3C Recommendation 5 May: 1999. There was one Priority one problem, 12 priority two and 1 priority three problems. There is a ALT text tag missing from one image on the page, which should be added. It would also be useful to offer audio and video versions of the information and in other languages.

The page scored 79/100 with the W3C mobileOK Checker, which is a good result.

The page is 53KB, with 34KB for the images. The text of the page is 16 kbytes, indicating that there is not an excessive amount of formatting used. However, the page might usefully be split into two smaller pages.

The image providing advice on hand washing is relevant and useful but should be optimised for online use.

The image is a 24 kbyte GIF file. It contains text which makes the image file unnecessarily larger and is not accessible by those using assistive technology. The image contains 203 colours, which is more than needed for a simple line drawing. If reduced to 8 colors, the image size decreases to 6 kbytes. Consideration could be given to reducing the complexity of the images, making them simple pictograms.

The web page lacks keywords, description and other metadata in the HEAD. This should be added and the irrelevant "powered by IBM Lotus Workplace Web Content Management(r) 2.0" removed.

The web page failed validation, due to the missing "ALT" on an image.

The validation also noted that:
"The character encoding specified in the HTTP header (utf-8) is different from the value in the <meta> element (iso-8859-1). I will use the value from the HTTP header (utf-8) for this validation. "
The missing ALT should be added and the character set mismatch corrected. Consideration should be given for using a later version of HTML than HTML 4.01 Transitional, for the document.

The web page contains a link to flu posters and information brochures. However, most of these are not relevant for individuals and could cause confusion and panic, with mention of protective gloves, gowns and respirators. The items on this page should be reordered to place those relevant to the general public, such as how to wash and dry hands, first and the ones for professionals lower down.

To assist the community, I had the Australian National University COMP2410 students undertake their web design assignment on a swine flu advice web site for Australia. That experience is now available, if needed.

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Friday, May 29, 2009

Dealing with a pandemic in an educational institution

An international conference was run from Hong Kong in 2003 on how to deal with the SARS outbreak in university and other educational institutions ("Educational Narratives and Reflections in the time of SARS"). The papers from the conference are available online and would be of value for schools, vocational institutions and universities now considering how to deal with a flu pandemic. Assuming institutions will simply shut down is a dangerous assumption to make.
Paper TitleDescriptionSent in byDate
VITLE classes: HKBU library supporting e-learning during SARS outbreakOn how the VITLE system at HK Baptist University was used to deliver general courses to schools and the public and on a library-run course on searching. (Ref: 76)SOUL System Admin30-MAY-2003 10:15:29
IT Learning meeting notes of 16 April 2003Notes of a meeting of a small group of senior staff commenting on how HKU coped with teaching during SARS. (Ref: 74)SOUL System Admin30-MAY-2003 10:12:56
Does your library disaster preparedness plan have a section on epidemics?
A revised draft written for a library magazine (Ref: 73)SOUL System Admin30-MAY-2003 10:11:48
"Mind the Gap"
A school principal's frustrations. How have others felt? (Ref: 72)McNaught, Carmel26-MAY-2003 13:27:47
From: Educational Nattitives and Reflections in the time of SARS, Hong Kong Web Symposium Consortium, 19-31 May 2003.

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Wednesday, May 27, 2009

Influenza Pandemic Business Continuity Guide

The Australian Government released a Influenza Pandemic Business Continuity Guide for Australian Businesses in July 2006. This is available as a 340 KByte, 68 page PDF file. Unfortunately the document is not available as an easy to read and download web pages. It suggests use the telephone, video conferencing and the internet to conduct business as as a way to avoid meeting people face to face, even when participants are in the same building. However, it points out that demand for services may be impacted by a pandemic, for example demand for internet access may increase. It suggests checking the business has an adequate infrastructure, including computer networks and internet presence.

Unfortunately the guide does not explicitly mention teleworking as a strategy, even though the same government department which produced the guide also funds Telework Australia to promote online working.

Also available is an Influenza Pandemic Kit for Small Businesses withm materials both as web pages and downloadable in PDF:
  1. Booklet: Being prepared for an influenza pandemic:
    1. Help Protect Your Staff And Customers From Getting Sick
    2. Plan Now To Keep Your Business In Business
    3. Ten Steps You Can Take To Be Better Prepared For A Pandemic
    4. What Is A Human Influenza Pandemic?
    5. Where Can I Find More Information?
  2. Reference sheets
    1. Pandemic Phases
    2. Workplace Cleaning Products
    3. What if employees become ill at work during a pandemic?
    4. Pandemic planning checklist for small businesses
  3. Health posters:
    1. COUGH ETIQUETTE AND RESPIRATORY HYGIENE
    2. HOW TO CLEAN HANDS USING AN ALCOHOL-BASED LIQUID OR HAND RUB
    3. HOW TO FIT AND REMOVE A P2 RESPIRATOR
    4. HOW TO FIT AND REMOVE A PROTECTIVE GOWN
    5. HOW TO FIT AND REMOVE A SURGICAL MASK
    6. HOW TO FIT AND REMOVE PERSONAL PROTECTIVE EQUIPMENT IN THE CORRECT ORDER
    7. HOW TO FIT AND REMOVE PROTECTIVE EYEWEAR
    8. HOW TO FIT AND REMOVE PROTECTIVE GLOVES
    9. HOW TO WASH AND DRY HANDS
    10. STAFF INFLUENZA NOTICE
    11. TRAVEL HEALTH
Table of Contents
1. Introduction and purpose of this guide 1
2. What is avian influenza and pandemic influenza? 3
H5N1 (avian influenza or bird flu) 4
Human Influenza 5
Prevention and Treatment 6
3. What is the Government doing? 9
Government Support 10
Australian Health Management Plan 10
Containment 12
Maintaining society’s functions 13
National Action Plan for Human Influenza Pandemic 13
State and territory government activities 13
4. How might pandemic influenza affect my business? 15
Characteristics of a pandemic 16
Staff absenteeism 16
Other immediate effects 17
Financial implications 17
5. How can I minimise the impact of a pandemic on my business? 21
Preparation 22
Business continuity planning 23
Step 1: Identify your business’ core people and skills 23
Step 2: Establish a pandemic planning team 23
Step 3: Plan for staff absences 24
Step 4: Consider the effects of supply shortages on operations 25
Step 5: Establish and maintain two-way communication 25
Step 6: Consider human resource issues 26
Step 7: Test your plan and know when to activate it 29
6. How can we help protect staff from getting sick? 31
Basic precautions 32
Practice good personal hygiene 32
Workplace cleaning 33
Air conditioning 34
Personal protective equipment 35
Social distancing—reducing contact with others 35
Restricting staff travel 36
Restricting workplace entry 37
Annual influenza injections 37
Screening workers and managing staff who become ill at work 37
iv
7. How do I manage my customers and stakeholders? 39
Communication 40
Duty of care to your customers 40
8. What other tools are available? (Appendices A–D) 41
Online Resources 42
Hotline 42
A. Pandemic planning checklist 43
B. Planning scenarios 50
C. Background on previous pandemics 54
D. Frequently Asked Questions 56
Health information posters are located inside the back pocket of this guide

From: Influenza Pandemic Business Continuity Guide for Australian Businesses, Department of Innovation, Industry, Science and Research, July 2006

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Maintaining services online during a flu pandemic

The Australian National University has released a revised ANU Pandemic Response Plan. Like many such plans, this envisages a progressive reduction of organisation activities with all but essential activities being stopped. However, this is based on the assumption that educational activities require gatherings of people. Instead, education and many administrative services, can be maintained using telecommunications, while avoiding face-to-face gatherings of people. Most staff and students can stay at home, but maintain many educational and research activities online.

Some simple steps would be required, such as checking that procedures allow for distribution of electronic documents in place of paper ones. Some procedures for example may refer to requiring "signatures". This requirement can usually be met with an email message with the person's name typed on it, but where a higher level of authentication is required, submission via a password protected system might be needed . Staff may need to be issued with additional equipment at home and trained in its use. Students may need advice on what to get. Online courses would need to be checked to make sure they work on slower home links and ones overseas. Servers would need to be checked for capacity.

In addition to telephone and Internet services, educators can make use of broadcast and cable TV services, including in Canberra Transact, to provide content. In the event of a pandemic, is likely that a significant proportion of the Canberra population will be at home and looking for something to keep them stimulated. The universities and schools might make some materials available for this purpose.

ps: The ANU COMP2410 students have completed their assignment on designing a swine flu advice web site for Australia. This expertise is now available, if needed.

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Twitter-like applications for humanitarian relief operations

In "Humanitarian Twittermifan" (May 26th 2009) the Sahana Disaster Management System blog discusses the use of Twitter-like microblogs for humanitarian relief. The particular application mentioned is for the World Food Program internal communication. This is implemented using open source microblogging package Laconica for the server and Twhirl for the client.

ps: In "National Bushfire Warning System: Micro-blogging for emergencies" I suggested the use of Twitter-like systems for use in bushfires.

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Saturday, May 23, 2009

Bushfire Resistant Windows and Glass Doors

Trend was showing its Xtreme Bushfire resistant Windows and Doors at the DesignBUILD 2009 exhibition. In addition to special glass, these have high temperature rubber seals (similar to the material used on ovens) and aluminium frames (it is not good if the glass can survive a bushfire but the rubber seal melts). While these may meet standards, established after research such as the Bushfire CRC Report - Windows & Glazing, it doesn't seem a good idea to rely on glazing for bushfire protection on its own. It would make sense to use a metal mesh outside to protect these windows. While the glass might survive the heat of a fire, it could still break due to flying debris, or if doused with water during fire fighting.

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Tuesday, May 12, 2009

2009 Victorian Bushfires Royal Commission

The 2009 Victorian Bushfires Royal Commission commenced public hearings 11 May 2009, in Melbourne. The Commission is streaming video and audio of the hearings via the Internet (but no online archive of the video), with written transcripts to be available later. The commission has an online "Make a Submission" form. Practice Notes for those appearing are also available.

The transcript of Monday, 20 April 2009 is available. This is a 226kbyte PDF document. For 57 pages of double spaced A4 text, this is a very compact file. The commission staff seem to have gone to some trouble to make sure the documents are easy to download.

The commission web home page passed an automated accessibility test at levels 1 and 2 (TAW). There was only one Priority 3 problem:
Missing lang attribute: The primary language of this document has not been set (1)
  • Line 5: <html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
The page also scored a reasonable 73/100 on the W3C mobileOK Checker.

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Friday, May 01, 2009

Designing an influenza pandemic web site for Australia

Students of "Networked Information Systems" (COMP2410/6340) at the ANU have been set the task to design a influenza pandemic web site for the Australian public. In previous years they have been set the task to design a site for bird flu so this seemed a logical and timely topic.
Australian National University

Department of Computer Science

Networked Information Systems

COMP2410/6340

Assignment 2

Website Accessibility

Introduction

On 29 April 2009 the Director-General of the World Health Organization (WHO), raised the level of influenza pandemic alert from phase 4 to phase 5. All countries were advised to immediately activate their pandemic preparedness plans to combat Swine influenza.

In this assignment you will examine web sites used for providing advice to the public about influenza and design a prototype web site using the techniques learnt in the course. ...

Deadline: 6pm Friday 22 May 2008.

The Task

The Australian Government Department of Health and Ageing (DHA) has provided a web page with links to detailed information about Swine Influenza Outbreaks. However, that information may be difficult to understand for the average member of the general public. Imagine you work for the Australian Government and your task is to design an easier to read web site based on the DHA page as it was at 30 Apr 2009 07:09:19 GMT.

The web site will need to meet accessibility and mobile device standards. The web site will be read by large numbers of people at once and so will need to use the minimum of bandwidth. It will be read by people under stress and so be easy to read.

In addition to the information in the copy of the DHA web site, you can use text and media files (images, audio and video) from International (.int), Australian Government (.gov.au) and US Government (.gov) web sites in designing your prototype.

Creating the webpage

You must:

  • Convert the HTML of the content from the existing web page to valid XHTML Basic 1.1 which achieves at least 80/100 on Mobile OK tests and passes Level Double A of the W3C - Web Content Accessibility Guidelines 1.0 (WCAG 1.0) as tested by the TAW (Web Accessibility Test)
  • Convert all presentation elements and in-line styles to appropriate rules in a new valid external style sheet called access.css
  • Remove any tables in the webpages which are not used for displaying tabular data, and replace them with CSS rules
  • Remove or replace excessively large or irrelevant images. You are encouraged to consider the use of Pictograms, as well as links to audio, video and other multimedia content.
  • Make any changes to the XHTML code which you consider to either: enhance the accessibility of the page, or improve the compliance of the page with web standards
  • Discuss your design decisions in a report
  • Estimate the download time of your page (using the access.css stylesheet) using a 28.8 kbit/s Iridium satellite modem (as used by the Australian Department of Defence). Suggest ways in which you might reduce the download time. These question must be answered in the form of an additional section in your report.
Your resulting page need not be identical in appearance to the web pages the source material was prepared from. You need only create the home page, but can create dummy links to other pages (which you need not create). The emphasis should be on a simple and efficient design. The page should be designed to display both on a smart phone and a desktop computer. Design decisions about the way the page looks must be discussed in your report.

Writing the report

You are also required to write a report which presents and justifies your design decisions. The report should be between 600-1000 words long (the word length is not assessable, but a report which falls outside these limits may impact on your ability to complete all assessable tasks). The report should include (but is not restricted to) discussions of the following topics:

• Any design decisions you made which significantly alter the appearance of the webpage. These must be justified by an appeal to accessibility, web standards, or best practice coding guidelines.
• Changes you have made to the code which you consider to have enhanced the accessibility of the webpage.
• Alternative design decisions which you considered implementing, along with a discussion of the advantages and disadvantages of these.
• Any accessibility issues, or areas of non-compliance with web standards, which are still present in your completed page.

Your report must be valid XHTML-Basic 1.1. The formatting must be clear, and include headers and paragraphs. Citations are not needed. ...

Resources

For examples of government swine flu web sites, see Tom Worthington's posting: Lack of useful Swine Influenza Information online from Australian Government, Thursday, April 30, 2009. ...

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Thursday, April 30, 2009

Lack of useful Swine Influenza Information online from Australian Government

Senator Lundy posted an item to her new web site on 29 April, pointing out that the Department of Health and Ageing (DHA) established a website to provide information on Swine Influenza. That got me thinking about what information was available for the public. I was unable to find any clear and coordinated information for the public from Australian Governments. Instead there are an assortment of web reference to detailed information to officials and cross references which will lead the reader around in circles.

The DHA appears to be for medical practitioners, not the general public. It refers people to DHA's "Health Emergency" web page. This has a paragraph about swine flu and then a link to "Swine Influenza Outbreaks", which contains the equivalent of five pages of text and then links to detailed documents about the number of cases reported so far. All this material appears to be intended for officials, not the public:

National tally of people being tested for Swine Influenza as at 6 am,
30th April 2009

Australia
AUS Phase DELAY

Table 1: Current Australian Cases Under Investigation
0600 AEST 30/04/2009
JurisdictionsSuspect CasesProbableConfirmed
ACT100
NSW5100
Vic2400
Tas100
Qld2700
SA1100
NT100
WA1200
Total12800

Source: CDNA

From: Swine Influenza Update Bulletin,Department of Health and Ageing, 6am, 30 April 2009
The World Health Organization (WHO) has a Swine influenza - Epidemic and Pandemic Alert and Response (EPR) but this is intended for national public health officials. The Australian Capital Territory Department of Health has a Swine Influenza page, but this refers to the DHA and WHO pages.

healthdirect Australia, a joint initiative of the Australian, ACT, NSW, NT, Tasmania, SA and WA governments has a "health alert" on its home page, but this just links to DHA.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)has videos on YouTube, showing the correct way to wear a face mask.

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Thursday, April 16, 2009

Emergency Management Australia web site okay

During my talk today on using the Internet for emergency warning, one of the audience suggested looking at the Emergency Management Australia (EMA) web site. This seems to have had a makeover from its previous design. The new design scores 88/100 on the W3C mobileOK Checker, but still has 2 validation errors and one warning on the Markup Validation Service.

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Sunday, April 12, 2009

Documentary of Newcastle 2007 Floods

MV Pasha Bulker aground June 2007 on Nobbys Beach, NSWThe multimedia documentary "A June to Remember" was produced by

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SEWS Guidelines

The Victorian State Emergency Service has SEWS Guidelines on who can issue an emergency announcement using the Standard Emergency Warning Signal (SEWS) and when. Unfortunately what is lacking is detail of how the message is sent. However, the inclusion of a pro-forma facsimile form suggests that fax is used.
  1. The decision to request the use of the Standard Emergency Warning Signal is made by the Incident Controller (or his representative). This is the person who has the responsibility for dealing with the emergency. For example, in a wildfire it would be the CFA or the Department of Natural Resources and Environment; in a wind storm, it would be the State Emergency Service; for a structure fire, it would be the MFB or the CFA; etc.
  2. The request is made to the Police Divisional Emergency Response Coordinator, who will issue the Emergency Warning Notice to media organisations. ...
From: SEWS Guidelines, Victorian State Emergency Service (28 November 2006)
See also: SEWS Demo (Audio) from BoM.

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Tuesday, April 07, 2009

NBN needed in emergencies

ABC Radio called at 8:10am asking for comment on the National Broadband Network (NBN). They wanted me to say that Australia was well behind the UK with broadband. I declined to say this, pointing out that if everyone in Australia agreed to live in Sydney, we would then have a similar population density to the UK and it would be easy to get them broadband.

One thing the NBN needs is a battery backup lasting at least 4 hours, so the system keeps running in an emergency. Failing to design the system for this would be unethical for ICT professionals involved in the project. The responsible decision makers involved, from the minister down would have to answer to a court if deaths result during a disaster.

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Wednesday, March 25, 2009

Masterclass on National Bushfire Warning System

Apart from "Green ITSM" I have offered draft material on how to build a National Bushfire Warning System for Australia as part of a masterclass. on technical writing at ANU. So I need to write something on the topic. As a starting point, I have the abstract in the seminar announcement , a conference talk on "Community Warning Systems" and an "Australian Community Warning System Proposal" submitted to the Council of Australian Governments. Since then I have looked at "Obligation for Australian broadcasters to provide emergency warnings ", "Fault in Pacific Tsunami Warning System", "Mobile beep for emergency Cell Broadcast" and "Australian Emergency Alert System". My conclusion from this is:
  1. SMS is not suitable for large scale use in a community warning system. SMS is too slow (taking around an hour to send 1M messages) and addressing information is lacking.
  2. Cell Broadcast (SMS-CB) is technically suitable (able to send millions of messages in a few seconds to all mobile phones in a specific location), but not currently sufficiently supported by the mobile phone industry to be usable for warnings to the general public.
  3. SMS and Cell Broadcast would be suitable as part of a system for relaying emergency messages from emergency services to the public via the broadcast media. This would improve on current methods using faxes and phone calls.
  4. Short text messages could reference detailed web based information.
  5. Standardised, efficient formats are required for web based emergency information. Accessibility and mobile guidelines can be used for designing an efficient readable format, as well as specialised guidelines for emergency information.
Given I now have my conclusion, I need to find some references to support it. ;-)

More seriously, the problem is to define the topic sufficiently to be able to find relevant work. Emergency management is a very wide topic, and even communication for emergencies has a large literature. One good place to start is the recent work on XML based formats for emergency messages, being pioneered by the
OASIS Emergency Management Adoption Technical Committee and members such as Renato Iannella at at NICTA.

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Monday, March 23, 2009

Obligation for Australian broadcasters to provide emergency warnings

In "ABC Mobile Web Site Failed Accessibility Test" I criticised the ABC for not providing a more planned emergency warning service to the public. As far as I can see, there is no legislation specifically requiring the ABC to provide emergency warnings (there is for commercial broadcasters) but they did volunteer for the job.

The ABC has used slogans such as: "ABC Local Radio, your emergency services broadcaster":
  • "During the Bushfire season, for regular fire updates, tune into ABC Local Radio, your emergency services broadcaster. ..." ABC Goulburn Murray, 16 October 2008
  • "ABC Adelaide is your Emergency Services Broadcaster. Stay listening on air and online for the latest information. ...", From: Index of Emergency Incidents Stories, ABC, 14/03/2008
  • "For more information contact your local CFA Branch and keep listening to ABC Radio, your emergency services broadcaster....", From: Fire Ready Victoria Meetings, ABC Goulburn Murray, 22 January 2008
This role seems to have been endorsed by the state governments, with their emergency web pages advising the public to listen to ABC local radio for emergency information:
  • "As part of an on-going partnership, 774 ABC Melbourne and the Country Fire Authority (CFA) provide listeners with quick, free access to the most up-to-date information and advice available during fire emergencies. ... Link to website: ABC Local Radio ..." From: "ABC Local Radio", Office of the Emergency Services Commissioner (OESC), Victoria, 15 November 2008
  • "During a serious emergency where life or property may be at risk, you can also obtain information by: Listening to your local ABC Radio station at 15 minutes past the hour and 15 minutes to the hour. ...", From: "Emergency Alerts", Fire & Emergency Services Authority of Western Australia (FESA), 2008

More formally there are Memorandums of Understanding between the ABC and the Victorian Emergency Services Organisations (4 February 2004) and the Queensland Department of Emergency Services (6 September 2005) for the ABC to broadcast emergency messages. While the MoUs are non-legally binding arrangements, it would seem to be a formal commitment by the ABC to provide an emergency service.

Emergency warnings are not mentioned in the ABC Charter. This is a curious anomaly, as it is a requirement for commercial broadcasters, under the BROADCASTING SERVICES ACT 1992 - SECT 61CE. However, under the ABC's ACT the Minister can direct the ABC to broadcast a "particular matter" in the national interest. An emergency warning would seem to be in the national interest.

The federal government is building a system to provide state governments with access to the phone directory for emergency calls. This is to cost $11.3M. It would seem prudent to spend a small amount on communicating the emergency warning to the broadcasters in a coordinated and reliable way.

While the carriers and broadcasters should be consulted about how an emergency warning is communicated, they should not be able to impede the work. Under the ABC, Broadcasting and Telecommunications Acts the Commonwealth Government has the authority to direct carriers and broadcasters to provide emergency warnings.

Apart from the Broadcasting Act, the Telecommunications Act 1997 - SECT 335 contains provision for the government to require service providers to supply specific services for the management of natural disasters. In 1999, at the Defence Department, I got this ready to use, in case Y2K caused chaos.

The Emergency Management Agency moved from Defence to Attorney General's in 2001, but someone seems to have forgotten to change the Telecommunications Act to transfer the natural disasters authority from the Defence minister to the Attorney General.

The current ad-hoc arrangement of phones and fax machines for communication between the states, commonwealth and broadcasters is not a satisfactory "system".

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Saturday, March 21, 2009

Turkish undersea railway earthquake warning system

According to International Railway Gazette, the control centre for the new Marmaray rail tunnel linking the European and Asian part of Istanbul will receive earthquake information from the Kandilli Early Warning System. The railway runs under the Bosphorus in a very earthquake prone region. The trains will be automatically stopped by the control centre when an earthquake warning is received. The tunnel is equipped with flexible joints and flood gates to protect against earthquakes. Last year I visited the Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, at Bogazici University who run the earthquake warning system for Turkey and looked at their warning system and discussed how to use new technology to get emergency information out quickly. The Institute provides a very valuable service.

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Friday, March 20, 2009

Fault in Pacific Tsunami Warning System

The Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PTWC) issued a warning 19 March 2009 after a magnitude 7.7 earthquake near Tonga. A small tsunami of 0.04 m was later reported and in all six messages were issued, before the warning was cancelled. While the text based warning messages worked as planned (I received trimmed versions by mobile phone SMS as well), there appear to be continuing problems with the HTML versions on the NOAA web site. The PTWC needs to review its web design to ensure poor formatting is not impeding this important service.

When I attempted to access the PTWC web site at 8:10am this morning the system reported:"Information Alert - Status : 504 Gateway Time-Out -
Description : Lost connection to origin server". The site worked on a second attempt. While the text versions of the warning messages were readable, the HTML versions were blank, with the PTWC page header and side menu, but no warning message. On examining the HTML source code I found a large amount of formatting information and text about last year's tsunami exercise and awareness month commented out, but no current tsunami warning. It is not clear if this excessive formatting and redundant information caused the problem with displaying the message, but it would place an additional and unnecessary load on the system. This problem was previously identified 9 January 2009.

I will be discussing this issue at a seminar on a "National Bushfire Warning System" at The Australian National University in Canberra on 16 April 2009.

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Thursday, March 19, 2009

CSS 3 on the way for mobile and gaming web

John Allsopp gave an impassioned talk about CSS 3 at the March Canberra WSG meeting at the National Library of Australia. This talk, the approach John suggests and the technology it was about , could change the way the Australian Government does web pages and save lives.

This was impromptu talk due to the unavailability of the planned speaker. It had never occurred to me that anyone could be that passionate about Cascading Style Sheets (CSS), a highly complex and frustrating piece of web technology (the CSS standards are much bigger than the HTML one). CSS 3 is the newest and least supported of the CSS standards. Until this talk I had dismissed CSS 3 as something which would be good to have, but so little supported by web browsers that it was not worth looking at, and may never be supported.

John argued that new versions of browsers, particularly Firefox, Safari and Opera, had some useful CSS 3 features. The not so subtle subtext of his presentation was that web designers should give up trying to make web pages look identical on every web browser. Even if this were possible on desktop versions of browsers, it will make less and less sense as the web is accessed on hand held devices (such as the iPhone and Google Andriod smart phones) and games machines (such as the Wii). New devices will have very different size screens and user interfaces, so the desktop metaphor will not suit these.

John argued for designing web sites which will use advanced features on advanced browsers but still be compatible with old browsers. He argued that with new CSS features this can be done without lots of Javascript and CSS hacks, as used in the past.

All of that would have made an interesting academic argument, with a little more passion than usual, but hardly significant for day to day web design. However, John then went on to demonstrate some CSS features available now on newer browsers which can be used to create very elegant Apple Mac and iPhone type effects. The point he emphasised was these techniques were available now, did not require a large amount of code and were backward compatible.

What particularly struck me was how these features could be used for efficient hand held appliciaitons. CSS can be used to create elegantly shaded and curved buttons, without the use of any images. Such buttons will suit smart phones, without the need for large image downloads. Also animation techniques where the item selected changes size and colour can make maximum use of a small screen. At the same time the application will still be compatible with a desktop computer.

A few days ago I criticised the ABC for launching their "ABC Mobile" service with an interface which did not meet accessibility standards. Chris Winter, from ABC Innovation, responded to say they had fixed that problem. The ABC might like to direct their innovation at using some of these new CSS features. It should be kept in mind that the ABC provides information, not just entertainment and in particular the ABC provides emergency information during natural disasters. The techniques John was showing with CSS3 promise a way to provide visually appealing interfaces which are efficient and so would suit web pages designed for emergencies. I will be talking about this at a seminar on a "National Bushfire Warning System" in Canberra, 16 April 2009.

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Thursday, March 12, 2009

Mobile beep for emergency Cell Broadcast

Can you set a mobile phone to beep when an emergency "Cell Broadcast" is received? I will be presenting a seminar on a "National Bushfire Warning System" in Canberra, 16 April 2009. One option I discuss in this will be to use "Cell Broadcast" to mobile phones for an Australian Community Warning System. This would have the advantage that a short text message could be set to all the phones in a small area or the whole country in a few seconds.

Last week the Victorian Government tried to send an SMS message about bush-fires to all mobile phone users in the state. The message was sent 2 Mar 2009 14:30:10. It took approximately one hour to send. Also some people in Victoria did not get the message and some not in Victoria did.

Cell Broadcast is designed for simultaneous delivery of messages to multiple users in a specified area. It is more formally known as "Short Message Service - Cell Broadcast" (SMS-CB) to distinguish it from the popular SMS, more formally: Short Message Service - Point to Point (SMS-PP). Use of cell broadcast would overcome the problem of the speed of dispatch of messages and misdirection. Cell Broadcast messages are designed to send to all handsets in one or more cells at once. This speeds up transmission and removes the need to have a list of the phones to send to.

However, one problem with Cell Broadcasts is that mobile phones usually have the alert (tone or vibration) turned off. Some phones may have no way to turn on alert for Cell Broadcasts and others may have no way to turn it on just for emergency messages. Does anyone have experience with using Cell Broadcast with particular model phones?

The details of cell broadcast for emergencies is discussed in "Support for Cell Broadcast as Global Emergency Alert System" by Karin Axelsson and Cynthia Novak (Linköpings University, 2007). The authors point out that different phones handle Cell Broadcast differently and the phone makers call the service by different names.

The Cell Broadcast Forum have a Handset Requirements Specification (October 2006). This has a section on "Requirements on Handling of Emergency Messages" which requires the phone to alert for an emergency message, even if the user has switched off alerts for messages. However, this requirement does not seem to be followed by manufacturers:
2.10 Requirements on Handling of Emergency Messages

This section deals with the handling by the ME when an emergency warning message is received. This section does not so much provide the Cell Broadcast forum’s view on handling of Emergency Warning Messages, but the requirements of the Dutch government, that may become applicable throughout the EU in due time.

2.10.1 Mandatory Requirements

58. Factory setting: In a country where a public warning service over Cell Broadcast is operational, the government, or the operators may require that the default Factory Setting be set to active, i.e. CB messages can be received and the Message Identifier that has been assigned to the public warning service be selected.

59. Reception tone: The ME shall indicate the reception of an
emergency message by playing a ring tone that is specific for
emergency messages and cannot be allocated to other services on the ME. This ringtone shall be activated even if the ME setting is set to silent mode, meeting mode, buzzing mode, etc., and also regardless of the Display Mode (Normal or Direct).

60. Storage: Emergency messages shall always be stored, unless or until the user decides to delete the message.

2.10.2 Other Requirements

61. The WARN Act that was effectuated in the US in October 2006 states that it shall be impossible to opt-out of a presidential level message. Further recommendations or legislation were not available at the time of writing of this section and will be included at a later stage (2007). ...

From: Handset Requirements Specification , The Cell Broadcast Forum, October 2006
David Crowe gives a good overview of Cell Broadcast for Emergency Alerts in Wireless Telecom Magazine Q3‘2006. He points out limitations, including messages being even shorter than SMS (in 88 character segments), no verification a message was received and no standard categories to identify emergency messages and standard no user interface. One issue he raises is the detrimental impact of cell broadcast on battery life. However, Axelsson and Novak's research indicates this is not a problem. As Crowenotes, a conservative approach would be to use this for single segment (88 characters) short messages, as was used with SMS in Victoria. The message would just advise of the emergency andto check with other services, such as ABC Radio.

Nokia's Extended User Guide for the N85 phone gives Cell broadcast settings. It is likely that newer large screen "smart phones" will better support cell broadcast. As an example Blackberry provide details on how to Turn on cell broadcasting. It should also be possible to add this feature to later model phones with a software upgrade over the air.

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Tuesday, March 10, 2009

National Bushfire Warning System, Seminar, Canberra, 16 April 2009

I will be presenting a seminar on a "National Bushfire Warning System" at The Australian National University in Canberra on 16 April 2009. In this I will expand on my talk at the APCO 2009 Conference on "Community Warning Systems" and an "Australian Community Warning System Proposal" submitted to the Council of Australian Governments. All welcome, no need to book, just turn up.
Seminar Announcement
School of Computer Science, CECS
The Australian National University

Date: Thursday, 16 April 2009
Time: 4:00 pm to 5:00 pm
Venue: Room N101, CSIT Building [108], North Road, Canberra

Speaker: Tom Worthington
Title: National Bushfire Warning System

Abstract:

Recent bushfires in Victoria and floods in Queensland have brought the issue of warning systems for the public to prominence. Modern digital communications, the Internet and web, have a useful role in emergency communications. However,some technologies such as VoIP may make Australia more vulnerable. An alternative national system using Cell Broadcast technology via mobile phones is proposed. The potential for Social Networking to be used for emergencies will also be discussed.

Biography:

Tom Worthington is an IT consultant and Adjunct Senior Lecturer in Computer Science at the Australian National University, where he teaches the design on Internet, web and mobile phone systems, including for emergency management.

He is a former IT adviser at Headquarters Australian Defence Force. Tom is a member of the Project Management Committee of Sahana open source disaster management system, used for the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami. He was elected a Fellow of the ACS for his work on Internet policy for Australia.

URL: http://cs.anu.edu.au/lib/seminars/seminars09/dept20090416
Seminars homepage: http://cs.anu.edu.au/seminars/

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Monday, March 09, 2009

Touch screen in Prototype Pontiac G8 for LAPD

Touch screen in Prototype Pontiac G8 for LAPD
This is a photo of me operating the large portrait format touch screen in the centre console of the prototype Pontiac G8 Los Angeles Police Department (LAPD) squad car. The screen replaces the clutter of controls common in police vehicles.

The car was unveiled at the APOCA 2009 Conference in Sydney, 2 March 2009. It was developed by National Safety Agency and is based on the US export version of the Australian made Holden commodore.

Photo by John Weippert, NT Police Fire and Emergency Services.

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Prototype Pontiac G8 for LAPD

This is a prototype Pontiac G8 Los Angeles Police Department (LAPD) squad car. It is based on the US export version of the Australian made Holden commodore. The vehicle is fitted with a large portrait format touch screen in the centre console, replacing the clutter of controls common in police vehicles. The car was unveiled at the APOCA 2009 Conference in Sydney, 2 March 2009. It was developed by National Safety Agency.

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Sunday, March 08, 2009

Australian Emergency Alert System

The proposal that Australian governments build a national community warning system to be ready for the 2009/2010 bush-fire season appears to have been reasonably well received. Several people pointed out similar proposals and the difficulties they faced with inter-state rivalry. These problems can be addressed by quickly building a small simple and cheap system, which states can interface to. Those states with existing sophisticated systems can interface to the national system simply. Those states which lack an effective system of their own can use the national system directly, with no need to buy any additional equipment.

The system could be named the Australian Emergency Alert System (AEAS) and modelled on the USA's Emergency Alert System (EAS). The AEAS would be conceptually similar to the EAS but take advantage of advances in digital technology to deliver a more functional system at a lower cost.

US Emergency Alert System

The US Emergency Alert System (EAS) is a national warning system introduced in 1994, as an upgrade of a cold war era emergency broadcast system. The system was designed to enable the US President to address the nation with 10 minutes warning, but that function has never been used. Commercial broadcast radio and TV services, as well pay cable and satellite services are required to interface to the EAS. While interfacing to TV, the EAS is designed to only deliver a spoken message, with no graphics. Newer devices, such as weather radios can detect a more advanced digital signal using Specific Area Message Encoding (SAME), which allows for filtering messages for specific regions and types. The system is used for tsunami and warnings.

Common Alerting Protocol

The EAS is essentially analog technology to which some digital enhancements have been added (such as SAME). The USA is considering upgrading parts of the system with the Common Alerting Protocol (CAP), an XML-based data format for exchanging public warnings and emergency information. CAP is a web based technology which is therefore much simpler to implement on digital devices.

Australian Implementation of CAP for a National Warning System

Australia has no EAS infrastructure to upgrade and no stock of weather radios to maintain compatibility with, so it can implement CAP more simply and directly than the using a network of purely digital devices. In addition, as Australia has a national, government owned broadcaster, with a national digital infrastructure, CAP can be interfaced to national radio and TV networks simply and at low cost. In addition the availability of the Internet and the web allows for much more detailed information to be provided to supplement the short emergency messages.

Levels of Detail of Information

One flaw in the design of proposed Australian emergency warning systems is a lack of depth in the information provided. Emergency messages for the community are brief. However, there needs to be more detailed information made available through other channels, typically standard information prepared in advance, not specific to the current emergency. It can be difficult for the public to obtain this information and also for the media to find it to provide to the public. The result can be that while the public may get the brief emergency message they have little idea what to do in response.

The current practice in Australia is to ask the public to tune to local ABC Radio. This can now be supplemented by asking them, where Internet access is available, to read a specific web page. Templates of information can be prepared in advance, so only the details of the current event needed be added. The web pages can be carefully designed using well established principles for efficient and rapid communication of information. The web pages can be made compatible with assistive technology for the disabled, with mobile phones and with TV screens, so the media can relay the information.

The AEAS can provide brief messages, suitable for transmission to mobile phones as a text message, displayed on a TV screen and read out on radio. Those messages can then refer to more detailed information available via the web. Broadcasters can read the web pages and convey the information to the public via audio and visual means.

Web Interface for the AEAS

The assumption in the US and current Australian warning systems is that after the brief emergency warning is issued, some other system will be used to send detailed information. No coordinated system exists in Australia to relay such information to the public. During the Canberra 2003 and Victorian 2008 brush fires, web based systems of the state governments were unable to provide effective information due to poor design of the web sites and a lack of planning.

It is proposed that the AEAS include a national emergency web site, to provide coordinated information to the public. Links to specific national and state systems can be made from here. The web site will also provide an interface for officials at the national, state and local levels to issue AEAS information, where those officials do not have access to specialised CAP interfaces. The officials will be able to upload a bulletin about the emergency as well as the brief text message.

Emergency agencies which have preformed templates for emergency bulletins will be able to use these with the AEAS. Agencies which have automated systems to fill in the templates will be able to use these to speed the process. While messages would normally be originated from a national and state emergency headquaters, the system would allow an authorised fire-fighter, using a smart phone, to issue a warning for their local area from the field.

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Wednesday, March 04, 2009

International Emergency Management Society 2009 Conference

The International Emergency Management Society 2009 Conference is being held in Istanbul, Turkey 9 to 11 June 2009. This is an appropriate location, given Turkey's experience in emergency management. Last year I visited the Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, to talk about Wireless Internet for Emergencies for use in Tsunami warning. If visiting Istanbul, also take some time to see the city.

Unfortunately, the conference web site has not been optimised for fast download or easy viewing, the web designers need to apply the lessons of emergency web design to their own site. The web site has an animated flash header, which takes a long time to load and then distracts the viewer from the content. The main menu items scroll partly off the screen when selected.

The conference call for papers, at 3.8 Mbytes of PDF for a 2 page phamplet is excessively large. The document appears to have been provided as an image with no text, so that in addition to being a large file, taking a long time to download, it cannot be copied, indexed, searched or translated by web software. But then the call for papers is now closed.

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Tuesday, March 03, 2009

Australian Community Warning System Proposal

My talk on Community Warning Systems at the APCO Communications Conference was reasonably well received. So I have proposed Australian Governments build such a national CSW system before the next fire season:
To: Council of Australian Governments (c/o COAG Secretariat, COAG Unit, Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet)

This is to propose that Australian governments build a national community warning system. Such a system can be in place for the 2009/2010 bush-fire season at a cost of less than $10M. The system would be used for fires, tsunami, terrorist incidents and other emergencies. It would be capable of delivering a warning message in less than a minute to most of the Australian population, or a specific geographic area.

At the APCOA emergency communications conference today, I gave a brief outline of problems with the current proposals for the use of telephone based warnings and SMS messages. The alternative proposed is the use of "Cell Broadcast" text messages for alerts. The Internet, with specially designed web pages, can be used to provide preparatory information to the community before an emergency and information to help with recovery afterwards.

The technology for issuing text warnings is built into the mobile telephone network in Australia. A small amount of work will be required to make this system available for emergency personnel to issue warnings. The more difficult task is to educate the emergency personnel and the public as to what the system is for and how to use it.

See: Community Warning Systems - Balancing Technology and Reliability, Tom Worthington FACS HLM, for the APCO Australasia Annual Conference, Australian Technology Park, Sydney, 10am, 3 March 2009.

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Day two of the APCO Public Safety Communications Conference

My pick for the best equipment display at the APCO Public Safety Communications Conference in Sydney is the NSW Rural Fire Service Sutherland Incident Command Vehicle. This did not have the touch screen displays and some of the advanced technology of some other displays. However, that was a deliberate decision of the designers to avoid technology which if it broke would stop the functioning of the unit. Instead there are relatively old fashioned consoles with buttons and switches and , in case that fails, two way radio handsets on the back wall of the vehicle. I suggested adding several 3G wireless data modems, allowing the use of multiple data networks. Use of the Internet allows data to be routed over multiple networks to increase speed. If one or two networks are unavailable the Internet protocol will automatically route the data over the available channel. Also I suggested seeing if a fax service is still available over the 3G system when in GSM compatibility mode.

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Monday, March 02, 2009

Ruggedised cellular wireless routers

http://www.call-direct.com.au/CDR-780seu.phpOne of the exhibitors at APCOA 2009 is CallDirect with ruggedised cellular wireless routers. These do much the same thing as the Huawei 3G Router I have to connect to the Internet via a 3G mobile phone network. But the CallDirect equipment is designed for use in harsh environments.

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Emergency Conference Open in Sydney

Greetings from the opening the APCO Public Safety Communications Conference in Sydney (I am Twitering). This is is the second time the event has been held in Sydney (also was 2004). Of note is a prototype LAPD police vehicle which is the US export version of the Australian made Holden commodore.

This event reminded me of some of the military conference I have attended. There were quite a few uniformed delegates (mostly senior fire-fighters). The conference opened with us standard for the national anthem and there are flags of nations represented on the stage. The APCO representative opening the event was overcome with emotion when mentioning colleagues killed recently in the Victorian bush fires.

The keynote speaker is the head of Emergency Management Australia and is talking about the role of his newly restructured organisation. He is arguing that new new unified response to emergencies of different types makes sense. However, I have some doubts about this as EMA has previously mostly been a training and policy organisation. EMA does not have a lot of experience in operationally dealing with emergencies, which are mostly dealt with at the state level. Services such as the Tsunami warning systems are run by agencies such as the Bureau of Metrology who have operational expertise. EMA need to learn the ropes from these more experienced people. Of course my experience with EMA is limited (they used to be part of DoD when I was responsible for the Defence web sites, inclduing EMA).

I am talking tomorrow on
Community Warning Systems. Media reports indicate that mobile phone carriers sent a bushfire message to all Victorian subscribers today. The reports say this was SMS, but I wonder if it was actually a "Cell Broadcast".

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Saturday, February 28, 2009

Public Safety Communications Conference Program

Tuesday I will talking on "Community Warning Systems - Balancing Technology and Reliability" at the Association of Public-Safety Communications Officials Australia 2009 Conference in Sydney. The conference topics have been changed at short notice to address some early lessons learnt from the recent and ongoing Victorian bushfires. The Conference & Exhibition program was supplied in hard to read PDF, so here it is converted to HTML:

2009 Conference Workshops

Leadership in Public Safety

when every second counts”

Time

CONFERENCE FORUM/WORKSHOPS SUMMARY

Sunday 1 March 2009

1400 - 1600

International - Global Alliance

Location: Star City Casino, Sydney

Monday 2 March 2009

0930 - 1230

National Fleet Forum

Location: VIP Room - Level 1, Australian Technology Park

Tuesday 3 March 2009

1100 - 1330

Expert Advisory Panel

Location: VIP Room - Level 1, Australian Technology Park

Tuesday 3 March 2009

1430 - 1700

Future Surveillance and Intelligence Gathering Forum

Location: VIP Room - Level 1, Australian Technology Park

Wednesday 4 March 2009

1130 - 1320

Chief Information Officers Forum

Location: VIP Room - Level 1, Australian Technology Park

Wednesday 4 March 2009

1430 - 1700

Local Government Emergency Response & Enforcement Forum

Location: VIP Room - Level 1, Australian Technology Park

Wednesday 4 March 2009

1600 - 1700

Commercial Advisory Group

Location: VIP Room - Level 1, Australian Technology Park

TBA

Transitions in Leadership: New Heights - New Challenges - See Registration desk for details

For enquiries regarding any of the forums or workshops please call APCO Australasia on 1300 796 668.

By Invitation Only

By Invitation Only

Booking Essential

Booking Essential

Booking Essential

It may be necessary for reasons beyond the control of the organisers to alter the content of the programme schedule - Please see Information & Registration for further details.

Transportation buses will be provided to and from selected hotels at specified times

2009 Programme Schedule

Leadership in Public Safety

when every second counts”

Monday 2 March 2009

Time

National Fleet Workshop

0800

0930 - 1230

For Today’s Conference Forums and Workshops, Please refer to page 1 of the Conference Programme Schedule

Registration & Information Booth Open (situated outside entrance to Exhibition Area)

National Fleet Managers’ Vehicle Technology & Safety Workshop (Session 1) - Bookings Essential (Meeting Rooms 1 & 2): Click Here for further details

Opening Address: Deputy Chief Charles Beck — Los Angeles Police Department

OFFICIAL CONFERENCE OPENING CEREMONY & KEYNOTE PRESENTATIONS - ATP Theatre

1400

1500 - 1700

Welcome to the 2009 APCO Australasia Conference: - Event MC - Mr Peter Morris

Welcome address:

Des Bahr - Chief Executive Officer, APCO Australasia

Gary Starr - Managing Director - Government & Public Safety, Motorola Australia (2009 Event Partner)

Official Opening of Conference: Tony Pearce, Director General - Emergency Management Australia

Keynote Panel Presentation – Australia’s Worst Natural Disaster

A Panel presentation about Australia’s multi-agency response to the worst Natural Disaster

in Australia’s history - Victoria’s Bushfires 2009

Those who were there give a first hand account of how they managed this unparalleled firestorm.

Senior Emergency Services experts will take an in-depth look at these unprecedented events.

Panel members include;

Tony Pearce, Director General, Emergency Management Australia

Superintendent Rod Collins, State Emergency Planning & Response Division, Victoria Police

Chief Superintendent Grant Pitman, Past District Disaster Coordinator, QLD Police Service

Craig Lapsley, Director Emergency Management Branch, Department of Human Services

Trevor White, Director – Operations, SES Victoria

Paul Holman, Operations Manager - Emergency Management, Ambulance Victoria

Geoff Conway, Deputy Chief Officer, CFA Operations Directorate

Kevin Brame, Deputy Fire Chief, City of North Las Vegas

Jessica Block, Research Associate, San Diego State University

EXHIBITION OPENING / VIP RECEPTION - Main Exhibition Hall

1700

1730

2000

Exhibition Viewing area open

VIP Reception and Official Opening of the Exhibition

Welcome Address: Des Bahr - Chief Executive Officer, APCO Australasia

Barry Borzillo - CEO, Tenix Solutions - 2009 VIP Reception Sponsor

Official Opening of Exhibition: Commissioner Andrew Scipione APM - NSW Police Force

Exhibition Viewing & Reception area closed

It may be necessary for reasons beyond the control of the organisers to alter the content of the programme schedule - Please see Information & Registration for further details.

Transportation buses will be provided to and from selected hotels at specified times

Tuesday 3 March 2009

Time

0730

0830

For Today’s Conference Forums and Workshops, Please refer to page 1 of the Conference Programme Schedule

Registration & Information Booth Open

Exhibition Area Open

0830 - 0930

Keynote Presentation - New skills required for today’s policing

Detective Chief Superintendent Michael Hallowes — Head of Strategic Operations, UK Police

Hall 1

Hall 2

Hall 3

Workshops/Forums

0930 - 1000

The use of technology to assist Bush Fire Management, including GIO Spatial Visualization

(Emergency Management)

Jessica Block, Research Associate -

San Diego State University

Command Support Approach - Achieving a common operational picture across single / Multi Agencies (Information Management)

Jeremy Azis, Managing Director - Vector Command / Roy Thompson - Commander, Metropolitan Fire Service

South Australia

The 2007 Surrey Fire, Canada - Dynamic resource relocations for balancing emergency coverage throughout service area.

(Emergency Management)

Chief Eric Dutton (Ret.)

1000 - 1030

Field testing Police Technology for the future

(Critical Infrastructure)

Grant Pitman (Acting Chief Superintendent), QLD Police Service

Intergrated Command & Control Communications System

(Information Management)

Ranjan Bhagat — General Manager - Zetron

Emergency Warning Systems – Balancing technology with Practicality

(Emergency Management)

Tom Worthington - Adjunct Senior Lecture, Australian National University

1030 - 1100

Morning Tea (Served in Exhibition area)

1100 - 1130

National approaches to information sharing solutions for law enforcement agencies, for a safer Australia

(Information Management)

Ben McDevitt — Chief Executive Officer, CrimTrac

Connecting first responders - Satellite Technology - East Coast launch

(Telecommunications)

Michael Butler - President, Inmarsat

Ensuring Reliability and Accuracy of Technology used by Police

(Information Management)

Inspector Ron Phillips — NZ Police Callibration Services

Expert Advisory Panel

By Invitation Only

Time - 1100 - 1330

Location - VIP Room - Level 1, Australian Technology Park

Note - Lunch Provided

1130 - 1200

Towards a National Emergency Warning Framework

(Future Technologies)

Dr Renato Iannella , Principal Scientist, National ICT Australia (NICTA)

Communication, Localisation and Risk Management Systems for Mining and Remote Operations - A Resource for Emergency Response

(Mining)

Dr Eleonora Widzyk-Capehart - CSIRO

Making First Responder Interoperability a Priority

(Interoperability)

Inspector Lance Valcour —

Canadian Police Research Centre


It may be necessary for reasons beyond the control of the organisers to alter the content of the programme schedule - Please see Information & Registration for further details.

Transportation buses will be provided to and from selected hotels at specified times

Tuesday 3 March 2009

For Today’s Conference Forums and Workshops, Please refer to page 1 of the Conference Programme Schedule

Time

Hall 1

Hall 2

Hall 3

Workshops/Forums

1200 - 1230

Resourcing volunteers - is technology a help or hindrance ?

(Essential Services)

Trevor White - Director - Operations, Victoria State Emergency Service

Bush / forest fire fighting – international research project in germany

(Future Technologies)

Steffen Minolts - GSW- Consulting

2006 Australian Police Deployment to East Timor

(Interoperability)

Inspector Ged Griffin - Victoria Police

Continued-

Expert Advisory Panel

By Invitation Only

Time - 1100 - 1330

Location - VIP Room - Level 1, Australian Technology Park

Note - Lunch Provided

1230 - 1320

Lunch (Served in Exhibition area)


1320 - 1400

Keynote Presentation - The Next Generation Wireless Broadband Network and its application to Public Safety in Australia

Mike Wright — Executive Director - Wireless Engineering & Operations, Telstra Corporation

1400 - 1430

Strategic direction of NSW Fire Brigades

(Emergency Management)

Commissioner Greg Mullins — New South Wales Fire Brigades

Network Centric Emergency Operations - The Application of Defence Network Centric Warfare Research to Emergency Services

(Telecommunications)

Craig Phasey - Auspace Business Development Manager

Situation and Threat Assessments & Early Warning Systems

(Community Safety)

Professor Subash Challa - Melbourne University

1430 - 1500

Ambulance/Pre Hospital response to Australia’s worst natural disaster - Victorian Bushfire ‘09

(Emergency Management)

Paul Holman - Operations Manager (Emergency Management), Ambulance Victoria

Sea Piracy - Current trends & issues

Dr. Sam Bateman — Maritime Policy Centre, Wollongong University

Enhancing Coverage via Rebroadcast Repeaters

(Telecommunications)

Leo Doherty — RF Industries

Future Surveillance and Intellegence Gathering Forum

Time - 1430 - 1700

Location - VIP Room - Level 1, Australian Technology Park

Note - Afternoon Tea Provided

1500 - 1530

Afternoon Tea (Served in Exhibition area)


1530 - 1600

Community Resilience in Health and Recovery Operation during the Victorian 2009 bushfires - Are we prepared for the future?

(Emergency Management)

Craig Lapsley — Director - Emergency Management Branch, DHS Victoria


The use of Biometrics to assist the fight against crime

(Future Technologies)

Professor Subash Challa - Melbourne University

Radio over IP: Applications and trends

(Telecommunications)

John Florenca - CEO, Omnitronics

It may be necessary for reasons beyond the control of the organisers to alter the content of the programme schedule - Please see Information & Registration for further details.

Transportation buses will be provided to and from selected hotels at specified times

Tuesday 3 March 2009

For Today’s Conference Forums and Workshops, Please refer to page 1 of the Conference Programme Schedule

Time

Hall 1

Hall 2

Hall 3

Workshops/Forums

1600 - 1630

Health Emergency Management Communications

(Chemical)

Dr. John Moloney — Manager, Field Emergency Management Program, DHS Victoria

Real Time Video over narrow band channels - case studies

(Information Management)

Stephen Ayres — Lockheed Martin

Advances in public safety in-Vehicle computing technology

(Telecommunications)

Rob Thompkins - Vice President, Data911 - St. Louis USA

Continued -

Future Surveillance and Intelligence Gathering Forum

Time - 1430 - 1700

Location - VIP Room - Level 1, Australian Technology Park

1630 - 1700

Remote Video Surveillance on 3G, What Works, What’s Promising

(Telecommunications)

Dan McLeod — President, CrimePoint

Mobile Personal Communications - The State of the Art

(Future Technologies)

Alan Whitehead — Research In motion

Future integrated communications despatch systems

(Emergency Management)

Richard Stacey — Gibson Quai (UK)


Time

2009 APCO Australasia Gala Dinner - Grand Harbour Ballroom, Star City

1800 - 1830

1830 - 2330

Pre-Dinner Drinks

2009 APCO Australasia Gala Dinner

Located at the Grand Harbour Ballroom,

Star City - 80 Pyrmont St, Pyrmont, NSW, Australia

Prime Minister Kevin Rudd will be represented at the Gala Dinner

by The Hon. Bob Debus, Minister for Home Affairs.

Gala Dinner MC - Mr Peter Morris

Entertainment - Matt Hollywood - Comedian Magician - Vegas Show

It may be necessary for reasons beyond the control of the organisers to alter the content of the programme schedule - Please see Information & Registration for further details.

Transportation buses will be provided to and from selected hotels at specified times

Wednesday 4 March 2009

For Today’s Conference Forums and Workshops, Please refer to page 1 of the Conference Programme Schedule

Time

Hall 1

Hall 2

Hall 3

Workshops/Forums

0830 - 0900

Operational Command - Major Deployment Exercise

(Border Security)

Roger Batch — Manager, Operational Readiness - Australian Customs Service

CyberTerrorism & CyberSecurity, Table Top Exercises

(Training)

James Cavanagh - Knowledge Transfer Agent, The Consulant Registry

The development of an Electronic MECC system to support local government disaster management

(Emergency Management)

Jan Wandek, Managing Director of Aussoft

0900 - 0930

Terrorism & Counter Terrorism Trends in the Region

(Counter Terrorism)

Commander Wayne Buchhorn — Australian Federal Police

Spatial industry trends and the im­pact of new CRC research initiatives on ESO’s

(Spatial Information)

Graeme Kernich — CRC Spatial Info

Remote Area Mass Casualty Incident

(Emergency Management)

Dr Rob Visser — Royal Flying Doctor Service

0930 - 1000

Italian Interpolice Tetra Project (PIT)

(Information Management)

Captain Mario Bianco

Use of Location Intelligence by ESOs

(Spatial Information)

Michelle Martin - Manager Business Development (NSW) - ESRI Australia

Firefighting at the Coalface - CFA response to Morwell Open Cut Fire- September 2008

(Mining)

Greg Flynn - Operations Manager, Region 10, Country Fire Authority

1000 - 1030

Morning Tea (Served in Exhibition area)

1030 - 1130

Keynote Presentation - Utilising Technology in LA Policing - The LAPD Strategic Plan

Deputy Chief Charles Beck — Los Angeles Police Department

1130 - 1200

Lifelong learning for ESOs

(Training)

Dep. Fire Chief Kevin Brame — City of North Las Vegas Fire Department (USA)

Global Trends in Public Safety Spectrum Standards

(Telecommunications)

David Lum - Director, Asia\Pacific Product & Support Operations, Motorola

Hand Held Mobile Satelite Broadband Technology

(Spatial Information)

Henrik Jacobsen — Managing Director, Applied Satellite Technology Australia

Chief Information Officers Forum

By Invitation Only

Time - 1130 - 1320

Location - VIP Room - Level 1, Australian Technology Park

Note - Lunch Provided

1200 - 1230

Lessons for Australia from Mumbai Terrorist Attack

(Counter Terrorism)

Dr Greg Barton - Herb Feith Research Professor for the Study of Indonesia, Monash University

Challenges when combating natural disasters, ie floods, storms and tsunami

(Emergency Management)

Steve Opper - Director, Emergency Risk Management, New South Wales State Emergency Service

Smart Applications for Emergencies (SAFE) strategic project

(CCTV)

Professor Chris Scott — National ICT Australia (NICTA) Queensland Research Lab.


It may be necessary for reasons beyond the control of the organisers to alter the content of the programme schedule - Please see Information & Registration for further details.

Transportation buses will be provided to and from selected hotels at specified times

Wednesday 4 March 2009

For Today’s Conference Forums and Workshops, Please refer to page 1 of the Conference Programme Schedule

Time

Hall 1

Hall 2

Hall 3

Workshops/Forums

1230 - 1320

Lunch (Served in Exhibition area)

Forum Continued - See Above

1320 - 1400

Keynote Presentation - The role of user-centered design in developing technologies for public safety

Bruce Claxton - Senior Director, Design Integration, Motorola

1400 - 1430

Using Police Information In the Mobile Environment

(Future Technologies)

Ian Readhead — Director of Information, ACPO Criminal Records Office (ACRO) - UK Police

National-level Best Practice for Emergency Management

(Information Management)

Mr Ron Bender - Director of Strategic Solutions - Tyco Electronics Wireless Systems

Fighting Fires with Military Hardware

(Future Technologies)

Oliver Hanfelder — Airmatic (Germany)

1430 - 1500

Capture and Visualisation of Fire Ground Intelligence in the NSW RFS

(Critical Infrastructure)

Gareth Carter - Manager GIS, NSW Rural Fire Service

Public Safety Technologies in public transport

(Community Safety)

Evan Craig - Manager, Control Systems Architecture, Systems & Information Services Division - Department of Transport

Mobile Phone GPS tracking of personnel

(Future Technologies)

Michael Robson - Managing Director, Mapmates

Local Government Emergency Response & Enforcement Forum

Time - 1430 - 1700

Location - VIP Room - Level 1, Australian Technology Park

Note - Afternoon Tea Provided

1500 - 1530

Afternoon Tea (Served in Exhibition area)


1530 - 1600

Operational and Planning Challenges during APEC 2007

(Emergency Management)

Commander Peter Lennon — New South Wales Police


P25 Encryption Management - Improving radio communications security

(Information Management)

Simon Britten — Tait Electronics

Early warning systems for Major Climate Events

(Emergency Management)

John Hadnmer - RMIT

1600 - 1630

Challenge of managing a remote event - Kargaroo Island Fires

(Emergency Management)

Deputy Fire Chief Andrew Lawson — Country Fire Service, South Australia


The Future Direction of Project 25

(Information Management)

Robert Barden — Aeroflex Incorp.

Impact of VoIP on Community Safety

(Telecommunications)

James Cavanagh — Knowledge Transfer Agent, The Consulant Registry

The speakers, topics and times are correct at the time of publishing and in the event of unforeseen circumstances, Australasia APCO Ltd. reserves the right to alter or delete items from the Conference Programme. All opinions expressed by presenters at the 2009 APCO Australasia Conference & Exhibition are those of the individual, and Australasia APCO Ltd. accepts no liability from any contractual, tortious or other form of liability for loss or damage suffered by the delegate or their later substitute relying on any statement, representative advice or opinion (whether true or otherwise, written or oral).

It may be necessary for reasons beyond the control of the organisers to alter the content of the programme schedule - Please see Information & Registration for further details.

Transportation buses will be provided to and from selected hotels at specified times

2009 Vehicle Displays

Leadership in Public Safety

when every second counts”

A selection of some of the Emergency Vehicles on display

Holden Commodore - Emergency Services Concept Vehicle (ESCV)

This project was developed based on concerns from ESO’s regarding the effect of heat, power overload and increased equipment levels and their impact on Emergency Services vehicles and occupant comfort/safety. The purpose of SAFE was to gain an understanding of the emergency driver user-interface requirements and safety issues, and develop a standard interface platform for addressing ergonomic design and safety.

Holden Commodore - LAPD Prototype Patrol Vehicle

The National Safety Agency (NSA) with the LAPD’s Deputy Chief Charles Beck will be launching the LAPDs jointly developed high-tech emergency response prototype vehicle of the future.

Holden Commodore - MFB Operational Concept Vehicle

The MFB operational concept vehicle was designed by the National Safety Agency in accordance with research conducted from the ESCV project.

Mitsubishi Pajero - Forward Command Vehicle

With communication in the field so crucial to optimise emergency management & response, NSA teamed up with several vendors to create a concept command vehicle for the Fire and Emergency Services sector. With Mitsubishi as the vehicle sponsor, a Pajero was chosen as the preferred vehicle in this project.

Where possible, NSA works with the vehicle manufacturer to leverage off a lot of the technology already within modern vehicles, including the CANBUS and GPRS to maximise the differentiation of each integration solution; however, to maximise battery life and enable non-vehicle related systems to be operational 24/7 for immediate use, this vehicle was integrated with an environmentally friendly solar power solution.

Technology was utilised from a number of vendors, encompassing areas such as communications, Intelematics, vehicle tracking, lights and warning systems, mobile data and the aforementioned power management.

AirServices Australia Aviation Fire Rescue Vehicle

The Ultra Large Fire Vehicles Mk7 are deployed across Melbourne, Sydney and Brisbane airports. The Vehicle is a 6x6 wheel drive, fully automatic, 33 tonne foam,water and dry chemical fire rescue tender,holding 10,200lt’s of water 1,300lt’s of foam and 225kg of dry chemical powder discharging its payload at a rate of 4,750lt’s per minute and a throw distance of 75 metres. The Mk 7 is capable of holding a crew of 5.

Holden Commodore - Unmarked Enforcement Vehicle

Developed as an ANPR unmarked enforcement vehicle by the National Safety Agency, this vehicle is currently being tested for traffic enforcement purposes.

A number of additional Emergency Vehicles and First Responders will also be on display in the Exhibition area during this event, including the latest Mining Rescue Vehicle, Parking Enforcement Vehicle, a range of Fire Appliances, Communications and Command Vehicles and a Large Urban Search and Rescue Unit.

It may be necessary for reasons beyond the control of the organisers to alter the content of the programme schedule - Please see Information & Registration for further details.

Transportation buses will be provided to and from selected hotels at specified times


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Tuesday, February 24, 2009

Community Warning Systems - Balancing Technology and Reliability

Next Tuesday I will talking on "Community Warning Systems - Balancing Technology and Reliability" at the Association of Public-Safety Communications Officials Australia 2009 Conference in Sydney. The conference topics have been changed at short notice to address some early lessons learnt from the recent and ongoing Victorian bushfires. I was asked today to speak. So my presentation has been prepared in the last three hours. Comments, corrections and suggested additions are welcome:
The Internet and web have a useful role in emergency communications, provided the use is planned. However, VOIP communications and the Government's National Boradband Network will may make Australia more vulnerable, unless the system is built to a higher standard. The an ad-hoc arrangement of state based telephone-based emergency warning systems is no substitute for a nationally coordinated system. Digital technologies such as Cell Broadcast provide a better alternative. Emergency officials need to listen to what the ICT professionals tell them is possible and not just try and build digital versions of old analog and teletype systems. Both professions need to take the public into their confidence and treat the community as partners, not as victims. Current warning formats, such as used by Tsunami Warning Centers, do not make good use of Internet technology and there is the potential for Social Networking to be used for emergencies

Summary from "Community Warning Systems - Balancing Technology and Reliability", Tom Worthington, For the APCO Australasia Annual Conference, Australian Technology Park, Sydney, 10am, 3 March 2009

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Lack of an Australian emergency warning systems risking lives and wasting money

The Attorney-General and the Minister for Broadband have announced legislation to enable states to implement telephone-based emergency warning systems. This ad-hoc arrangement is no substitute for a nationally coordinated system. The decision by the federal government not to build a national system risks lives and wastes resources. Any ICT professional involved in policy, planning or implementation of such systems needs to consider if they are acting ethically and lawfully. The "Nuremberg Defense" has limited applicability to professionals, who are required to act in the public interest, regardless of the instructions they are given by their superiors.

Joint Media Release

Attorney-General
The Hon Robert McClelland MP

Minister for Broadband, Communications and the Digital Economy
Senator the Hon Stephen Conroy

23 February 2009

RUDD GOVERNMENT IMPLEMENTS COAG AGREEMENT ON TELEPHONE-BASED EMERGENCY WARNING SYSTEMS

The Rudd Government will today introduce into Parliament amendments to the Telecommunications Act 1997 to enable access to the Integrated Public Number Database (IPND) for telephone-based emergency warning systems established by the States and Territories.

Access to the IPND will be provided through a new secure database which provides real-time access to up-to-date telephone numbers while protecting the identity of individuals. The Government will provide $11.3 million for this purpose. A request for tender to build the database will be issued shortly.

Telephone-based emergency warning systems have been the subject of discussions between the Commonwealth, States and Territories since 2004. Until 2008, no agreement was reached.

In 2008, the Rudd Government placed the issue on the COAG agenda. COAG agreed it was a priority and commissioned the work necessary to reach agreement by the end of 2008. This work was completed, and agreement was achieved in November 2008.

This agreement was necessary to address important concerns such as ensuring telephone-based emergency warning systems do not overload and disable the telecommunications network (including access to the 000 emergency hotline) and the security of individuals’ personal information.

In accordance with the agreement, the Government immediately commenced drafting legislation to authorise access to the IPND. The necessary legislation and database the Government is putting in place will enable the States and Territories to access the data needed to develop their own warning systems as soon as possible.

The historical advice to the Commonwealth has been that any plan to allow the States and Territories access to the IPND as part of any emergency warning system would be best secured by a legislative amendment. Nevertheless, in light of the bushfire emergency in Victoria the Government has also sought advice from the Solicitor-General on an interim measure to allow access.

Based on this advice, the Government will today also make a regulation under the Telecommunications Act 1997 enabling interim access to the IPND.

This will enable immediate access to the IPND by individual States and Territories who wish to implement a more limited system as soon as possible. It should be emphasized that this is not a long-term solution and not a substitute for amendments to the Telecommunications Act 1997 and the planned future access arrangements for the IPND.

Under the COAG agreement, States and Territories retain autonomy about the warning systems they choose to implement.

The Commonwealth has today written to the States and Territories advising that if they are able to agree to a national system at the next possible COAG meeting the Commonwealth will make a further financial contribution to establish such a system, to be owned and operated by the States and Territories.

Whether or not a national system is established, there remain technological challenges to overcome to enable any system to communicate with all telephones in a threatened area. Advice to the Government is that current technology is limited to communicating with fixed landlines, and mobile telephones on the basis of billing address only (rather than the location of the handset). This can mean individuals in a threatened area do not receive a warning on their phones, and individuals outside a threatened area receive irrelevant warnings.

To help address this gap, at the next COAG meeting the Commonwealth will offer the States and Territories financial assistance for them to conduct collaborative research on the viability of a location-based emergency warning system.

It should also be remembered that telephone-based emergency warning systems are only a supplement to, and not a replacement for, the range of measures currently used to warn the public of emergencies, such as television and radio, public address systems, doorknocking, sirens, signage and the internet.

The steps announced by the Rudd Government today will help make telephone-based emergency warning systems one part of Australia’s disaster response capability. ...

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Friday, February 13, 2009

Bushfire warning systems

According to media reports the Prime Minister has committed the Australian Government to implementing a bushfire warning system rapidly across Australia. A system using voice messages was trialled in Victoria and SMS messages are used in the Sydney CBD. However, in my view the use of cell broadcast to mobile phones would be the fastest and most reliable to implement. This technology is built into the mobile phone standards and can transmit a message to all phones in an area in a few seconds.

It should be noted that the proposed National Broadband Network also has implications for emergency communicators. It is likely the NBN, if implemented, will accelerate the trend away from use of the public switched telephone network. More people will be using VoIP and its reliability needs to be considered in an emergency. What level of standby power be required in the network and for consumer devices? As I noted in a talk to Turkey's earthquake warning centre in 2008, the Request for Proposals to Roll-out and Operate a National Broadband Network for Australia, asks about provision of battery backup of the equipment and mentions emergency calls, but this is priority 16 out of 18.

Unfortunately building an emergency warning system is not an easy task. The first problem is to have enough information to be able to issue timely warnings and the second to be able to transmit them. The Victorian Government successfully trialled a Community Information and Warning System in 2005. The system calls all phones in an area with a voice message and also makes a not of those phones which received and did not receive the message. There is a 118 page "The Report of the Trial and Evaluation" available from the Victorian Department of Justice (2006).

It should be noted that the NSW government installed an Emergency Warning and Intercommunication System (EWIS), but only for the Sydney CBD. The NSW Government could have chosen to install a less elaborate system covering the whole state at the same cost.

The Sydney CBD also as an opt in SMS emergency service for building managers. Unfortunately SMS systems have problems. In 2007 I discussed the use of SMS with the staff of Turkey's tsunami warning centre.
Executive Summary

The CIWS Trial has been the first opportunity in Victoria to comprehensively evaluate the responses and behaviour of communities to
a public emergency warning system which integrates innovative telecommunication and data transfer technology with the public warning procedures and GIS mapping operations of Victoria’s emergency services.

The findings of the evaluation concluded that for community warning systems such as the CIWS to be effective, the following elements were required:

• Telecommunication and geo-spatial technology needs to be seamlessly integrated within the operations of emergency service organisations and to be incorporated as a component of state and national emergency management arrangements.
• The emergency services’ knowledge of community engagement, culture and demographics and public safety principles needs to be included within their community warning communication procedures and decision making.
• The development and delivery of a public safety awareness campaign must enable individuals and communities to understand the purpose of community warning and information procedures and the means to access emergency and safety information.

This will reinforce the public safety messages advocated by Victoria’ emergency services.

The CIWS Trial – partnerships and process The Offi ce of the Emergency Services Commissioner (OESC), in partnership with Telstra, ABC Radio, DSE, Victoria’s emergency services and the Shires of Yarra Ranges and Northern Grampians and their respective communities, trialled and evaluated the effectiveness of innovative spatial and telecommunications technology.

The trial was designed to incorporate Victoria’s emergency management arrangements and to deliver timely public warning information simultaneously to large numbers of households and businesses.

This spatial and telecommunications technology became known and referred to as the Community Information and Warning System (CIWS).

The CIWS Trial and Evaluation project commenced in October 2004, with the establishment of the steering group and the development of the trial’s parameters and proof of concept technology. As the project gained momentum, the Victorian emergency services including the Country Fire Authority, Victoria State Emergency Service, Metropolitan Fire and
Emergency Services Board and the Department of Human Services were requested by the steering group to form a Data Transfer Sub-Group. This sub-group worked to enable the trial to set-up and test enhanced data transfer capability for downloading images and mapping. It was intended that this data could be transmitted between notional in-field Incident Controllers and an Emergency Operations Centre.

The trial and evaluation developed over the following six months with the project being officially launched in May 2005 and monthly ‘emergency’ telephone messages being delivered to the 664 participating residents of Mount Evelyn, Stawell and Halls Gap, from May through to September 2005.

The evaluation process continued throughout the trial, with all data collected by November 2005.

It is important to note that the CIWS Trial and Evaluation was completed prior to the Mount Lubra wildfi re which occurred in January 2006 and which directly threatened residents from both Halls Gap and Stawell.

CIWS Trial and Evaluation Goals

The key goals for this CIWS Trial and Evaluation were

• to confirm the knowledge about the effectiveness of public warning information technology and its links to public safety and
• to integrate the ABC Radio network as the trial’s major secondary information source in order to exercise Victoria’s ABC Radio and Emergency Services Memorandum of Understanding developed in 2005.

CIWS evaluation methodology

The research findings from the community components of the evaluation methodology, the semi-structured interviews with the emergency services and the observations of the trial provided a robust base of evidence for the design of a Program Logic Model and the conclusions drawn from the evaluation’s findings. The Program Logic Model has
been an innovative and major output of the project’s evaluation and was developed to map the application of the CIWS technology and to integrate this map with operational response decisions about risk communication and community behaviour.

The conclusions from the evaluation findings discuss public safety decisions and behaviour and the CIWS activation. The findings have identified a combination of elements which are likely to contribute to the effectiveness of a telecommunication system of public warning communication.

The influence of CIWS on public safety

The CIWS evaluation findings concluded that:
• When people have a level of planning and preparedness knowledge about emergency events, combined with a realistic perception of their risk and a multi-faceted communication network, then a telephone emergency warning message is more likely to trigger appropriate decisions and behaviours, the results of which are likely to increase their safety and confirm their self reliance to be prepared.
• If a telephone ‘warning’ message is only partially heard, its value for an informed and prepared community would still be high because it represented only one source of trusted information and planning within that community’s total approach to information and community safety preparedness.
• People with limited understanding and awareness of their emergency risk and community safety, and who had not considered preparation and planning for emergency events, were consequently more likely to be wholly dependent on a telephone emergency warning message to determine their subsequent responses and behaviours.
• Consequently, in these situations, rather than triggering increased self reliance and informed decision making, the telephone message is more likely to become a source of information which could increase their uncertainty, lack of preparedness and reduce their ability to contribute to having a shared responsibility of safety with the emergency service organisations.

The CIWS, IPND and community privacy

The CIWS Proof of Concept model was set up to enable development of the telephone and property database from IPND (Integrated Public Number Database) data. Currently however, the IPND licensing agreement on data security prohibits the implementation of this component and consequently Telstra was not permitted to use the IPND database for the trial. Instead the CIWS Trial sought the participating residents’ permission to use their telephone numbers and property addresses for the development of the CIWS Trial database.

The participating residents’ expectation about the protection of personal information by government and organisations was based on trust and agreed rules about how their personal information would beaccessed and used.

If the CIWS were to operate as a national or statewide system using the IPND rather than asking residents to opt-in to supply their names and addresses, then the development of such a system would require security and privacy protocols, the ability for emergency service agencies to identify
themselves as part of these protocols and the support of a public awareness and education program.


Incorporating the ABC Radio network as the CIWS secondary information source

The ABC Radio network was successfully used as the major secondary information source which participating residents were encouraged to access following delivery of the CIWS trial’s automated telephone messages. The progressive development of public emergency warning information systems and, in particular, the use of Victoria’s ABC Radio and
Emergency Services Memorandum of Understanding will continue to develop the predictability of a communication system which people will expect in order to access emergency information and to make decisions about their safety.

The CIWS and the communication needs
of marginalised communities

The analysis of the information gained from the consultation and workshops with both cultural and linguistically diverse communities (CALD) and hearing impaired people from a Vic Deaf social group provided the CIWS Trial and Evaluation with a set of provisional principles which could be incorporated into the future development and implementation of public warning communication systems.

• The delivery of automated telephone messaging to communities which include hearing impaired and CALD groups must provide for their ability to receive and understand the message communicated by the telephone call.
• The secondary information sources incorporated into a CIWS communication process need to be diverse in order to address the communication requirements of marginalised and special needs sectors of the community.
• The evaluation of the CIWS Trial established the importance of further consultation and research to confirm the communication and information needs of culturally and linguistically diverse communities and of people who have impaired hearing.

The CIWS as a combination of technology organisational and social factors

The CIWS evaluation findings and the conclusions have demonstrated the relationship between the CIWS technology and human factors. The Program Logic Model has highlighted the importance of emergency services’ decision-making processes to activate the CIWS in order to disseminate telephone messages to the public. The introduction of the Program Logic Model has, for the first time, identified the procedures, decisions and context necessary for the design and implementation of a technologically based and integrated public emergency information and warning system.

The evaluation’s conclusions clearly found that the effectiveness (perceptions of increased public safety) of public information and warning system design and delivery is linked to the incorporation of knowledge by emergency services personnel about a community’s culture and their level of risk awareness and preparedness. This knowledge needs to become an essential component within the organisational processes of public risk communication.

The CIWS Trial and Evaluation has made an important contribution to the importance of risk communication, public warning technology design and future decisions about the incorporation of such technology systems into state and national emergency management arrangements.

The rigorous implementation of the CIWS Trial and Evaluation can provide the emergency management sector with the confidence to continue developing integrated public warning systems which incorporate telecommunication technology, public safety and public risk communication procedures. ...

From: "The Report of the Trial and Evaluation", Victorian Department of Justice (2006).

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Thursday, February 12, 2009

Free computers for bushfire victims

The Australian Information Industry Association (AIIA), with Computers Off Australia and the Australian Computer Society are coordinating the provision of free computers to Victorian bushfire areas. ICT companies have been asked to register support the AIIA website.

Unfortunately when I went to register my company, the site returned "404 Not Found". So one service I could provide is web site testing. I designed the AIIA's first web site, while I was on a course at the Melbourne Business School in 1995.

More seriously I would like to offer the people of Victoria what assistance I can with dealing with this and future emergencies:
There may also be some scope for modular computer equipped classrooms to be deployed to replace burnt out schools, libraries and other facilities.

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ICT at Victorian February 2009 Bushfire Royal Commission

On 9 February the Premier of Victorian announced a Royal Commission into the weekend bushfires. The inquiry will be a large undertaking. As with the ACT Coroner's investigation into the 2003 Canberra Firestorm, computer based systems are likely to be extensively used in the investigation.

ACT Coroner's court bushfire setup

The ACT Coroner's court was equipped with about fifteen large LCD screens, on the desks for the legal teams, for the Coroner and for the witness. The screens display electronic documents in evidence and a continuous transcript of what is being said. There was an operator at the front controlled what documents were displayed and had an electronic document camera to scan new documents.

While most screens were displaying the same evidence, individuals could use a web browser to view other documents and carry out searches. Large wall mounted flat screens displaying the same electronic documents as on the LCD screens. A video monitor showed what cameras were recording of the Coroner, the witness, the general room and the document display. At the back of the room were two people monitoring the video, audio and text recording.

There were problems with the room layout. The large LCD screens blocked sightlines to the bench and witness. The wall mounted screens were not readable from the back of the room.

There were microphones at each position. However, a witness reported having difficulty hearing what was being asked, as did the observers. The screen on the witness stand was at the side, so when asked to examine a document the witness had to turn away from the room and towards the side wall. In this position they could not see the person asking the question, nor could the microphone pick up their answer.

It appears that documents were scanned in from paper originals. This worked well for text, but not maps (important for an inquiry about where the fire and the firefighters were). There was a paper colour map at the back of the room, but the electronic one used appeared to be a monochrome scan of an A4 page. The maps had been scanned at too low resolution, so they could not be digitally enlarged.

The process for calling up documents was cumbersome: the person asking the questions was working from paper notes and had to ask for a particular document to be displayed on screen. This involved reading out a long reference number to be transcribed by the operator at the front of the room. So there were delays in getting the right document up.

The adversarial nature of the inquiry process also resulted in the technology not being able to be used fully. The evidence had to wait for a verbal question and answer process. Legal objections result in a delay in the process while the possible consequences of a question yet to be asked might be. An online system could be used to greatly speed the inquiry by allowing much of the process to be carried out without the parties being physically present in one room or at the same time.

Where the hearing room is still used, the process might benefit from the use of an interactive electronic whiteboard. This could be used to display and directly interact with the evidence, particularly maps. Witnesses could point to locations on the map and where they were pointing electronically recorded. This would cut out the time wasting process of someone verbally describing a map location, them responding and then the questioner trying to interpret what they said verbally for the record.

UN Oil For Food Program Inquiry

The computerised hearing room used for the 2005 inquiry into the UN Oil For Food Program also provides some lessons. The inquiry used a similar hearing room arrangement to the ACT bushfire inquiry. There were approximately 20 desktop computers and laptops in the room. Two wall mounted projection screens (with projectors ceiling mounted) were used to display evidence to the observers.

The commissioner has three screens on his bench: one at the front and one on each side. This maked it convenient to see a screen, but resulted in the lawyers and observers in the body of the room being unable to see the commissioner much of the time. Similarly it must have been difficult for the commissioner to see the lawyers and observers. Screens placed lower could be used. Also Teleprompter screens, as used for speeches, may be useful in this application. These would have an LCD display flat on the desk, with a transparent screen reflecting the image to the user. The room would be able to see the commissioner through the screen.

The witness had a screen in front of them, overcoming the problem which the ACT Coroner's Bushfire Inquiry had where the witness had to turn away from the screen displaying the evidence in order to answer questions from the Coroner.

Exhibits from the inquiry are available in electronic format via the inquiry's web site. This included printed paper documents, handwritten notes and drawings which have been scanned, as well as email messages. Much of the inquiry depended on this information, with witnesses being asked "Did you read this email or not?" and "You were provided with the web address were you not?".

Each exhibit appears was in the form of a single PDF file. Documents scanned from paper have a barcode sticker on them with a reference number and a barcode. Email messages, such as EXH_0305 AWB.5020.0262 have a reference number in the header and footer. Some email messages have been scanned from paper, as indicated by the bit mapped text of hand written notations, binder holes and skewed text. However, most are from a digital source, as indicated by character encoding (rather than bit mapped image). The PDF document properties indicate that Acrobat Distiller (6.0.1) was used to create the email files.

The email documents are inefficiently encoded. As an example a 3kbyte email message is stored as a 12 kbyte PDF document, with most space taken up by embedded fonts. No embedded fonts should be needed, as the text of the email messages could be displayed using the inbuilt Courier font in PDF.

In some ways the storage of the email messages is too good. The PDF is hyperlinked with email addresses. Placing the cursor over an email address in a document and clicking will result in a mail message being created addressed to that person. This could cause inconvenience and embarrassment to both the sender and the recipient and would be better if this was disabled.

While digital copies of mail messages are provided, they appear to have been edited. Only the From, Sent, To and Subject header fields of the message are provided. Other fields normally included with a message, particularly Message-ID, References and Received, are not provided. These could be useful in checking the authenticity of the messages and how complete the set of messages is provided. As an example the Reference field could be used to help verify that one mail message is actually a reply to another.

The scanned documents are relatively efficiently encoded as black and white (two color) bitmaps at 300 DPI. However, some cases there are coloured covers on documents where text is barely discernible.

Volume of Evidence

One issue which should inquiry brings out is the volume of material which someone may receive in a working day and how much they can reasonably read. At such an inquiry a witness may be asked if they had read an email message addressed to them. Given the volume of messages someone would receive in a day, it would be reasonable to say that you were not sure you had read the whole of a message, if if the system indicated you had opened it. But this sounds evasive in a court-like setting. Perhaps future email systems will record what parts of a message the user accessed and how long for.

Role of ICT in Emergency Management

One topic for the inquiry will be how effectively was ICT used and could be used in the future. Of relevance may be:

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Tuesday, February 10, 2009

Handbook of Disaster and Emergency Policies and Institutions

The "Handbook of Disaster and Emergency Policies and Institutions" by John Handmer of RMIT is a timely book. One limitation is that it too briefly covers the role of modern communications. There is only one mention of the web and four of the Internet. It is likely communications will receive significant attention from the Royal Commission into the Victorian Bush fires. This was an issue in the ACT Coroner's investigation into the 2003 Canberra Firestorm.

Web:

1. on Page 141:
"... for strategic policy tasks often find that appropriate training support is not readily available. Through dedicated journals, newsletters, reference libraries, web portals and training material, much research and experience are documented and made available. ..."

Internet:

1. on Page 75:
"... Similarly, the choice of communication media may exclude those who do not or cannot access that media (e.g. the internet). Inadvertent exclusion by government will most likely occur at local scales or with specific programmes, whereas intentional exclusion is more ..."
2. on Page 78:
"... Certainly, the internet has made it easy to have documents and other material readily available at low cost and to have interactive discussion ..."
3. on Page 136:
"... with context and capacity. At the other end of the warning system, modern information and communication technologies such as the internet and mobile phone have been enthusiastically adopted by people almost everywhere. ..."
4. on Page 139:
"... after a disaster for response and recovery, and is required in advance for all types of planning and awareness. The internet is rapidly becoming the tool for universal access to disaster information (e.g. ..."

Contents

  • Introduction
  • Part I: Constructing the Problem
  • The Nature of Emergencies and Disasters
  • The Nature of Policy and Institutions
  • Part II: Constructing the Response
  • A Policy and Institutional Framework for Emergencies and Disasters
  • Owning the Problem: Politics, Participation and Communication
  • Framing the Problem: Identifying and Analysing Risk
  • Responding to the Problem: Policy Formulation and Implementation
  • Not Forgetting: Monitoring, Evaluation and Learning
  • Institutional Settings for Emergencies and Disasters: Form, Function and Coordination
  • Part III: Constructing the Future
  • Future Prospects
  • Index

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Victorian Bushfire Maps

Google have provided a Flash Map, using information from the Victorian Country Fire Authority (CFA) RSS Feed. The intention is to provide a better visual representation of the information and take the load off other web based information services. One of the services which was overloaded over the weekend was Geoscience Australia's national bushfire monitoring system "Sentinel". This was reporting "Service Temporarily Unavailable". This is the public version of the service and hopefully the separate password protected service provided to firefighters was operating. Even so it is unfortunate the public service was not able to cope with demand when needed.

The problem is that Sentinel tries to provide a very interactive and customized service to each user. As a result the system can become overloaded in periods of high demand. The web has features built in to reduce the load, but this would require a comprise of the interactive design.

In 2003 I suggested some changes to allow the Sentinel system to cope better with high demand. CSIRO, who at that time were maintaining the system, adopted some of the suggestions.

As an example, I suggested providing canned maps of major events, so that the general public would not need to use the interactive application. In the current version this is implemented as "Current Overview". The usefulness of this feature could be improved by moving the link up from tenth place in the menu to a more prominent position. Also the paragraph about it on the bottom of the page could be moved to the top of the page. More people would be likely to use the feature.

In addition the "Cache-Control" of "no-cache" could be removed from the maps provided in the overview. Maps at fixed points in time on unchanging web pages would then be created. When there was a new map, it would be placed on a newly created page. To get the latest map the user would be directed to the latest page, rather than refreshing the same page. This would allow caching of the maps and reduce the workload to the server. While this may made for a less interactive design, it would allow the system to cope with much higher loads.

Another option would be to supply the data to another system, such as that by Google. However, local network limitations could also hamper access, even if the server can cope with the load, so a more streamlined designed would still be a worthwhile improvement.

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Monday, February 02, 2009

Google Detecting influenza epidemics

Staff of Google in collaboration with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, have published a letter in Letter in the prestigious scientific journal Nature on "Detecting influenza epidemics using search engine query data". The idea is that people with the flu will do web searches about it, thus alerting authorities to an outbreak. This is a cleaver idea, but not the one I had in mind when I proposed using the web for an combating avian influenza epidemic.

Seasonal influenza epidemics are a major public health concern, causing tens of millions of respiratory illnesses and 250,000 to 500,000 deaths worldwide each year1. In addition to seasonal influenza, a new strain of influenza virus against which no previous immunity exists and that demonstrates human-to-human transmission could result in a pandemic with millions of fatalities2. Early detection of disease activity, when followed by a rapid response, can reduce the impact of both seasonal and pandemic influenza3, 4. One way to improve early detection is to monitor health-seeking behaviour in the form of queries to online search engines, which are submitted by millions of users around the world each day. Here we present a method of analysing large numbers of Google search queries to track influenza-like illness in a population. Because the relative frequency of certain queries is highly correlated with the percentage of physician visits in which a patient presents with influenza-like symptoms, we can accurately estimate the current level of weekly influenza activity in each region of the United States, with a reporting lag of about one day. This approach may make it possible to use search queries to detect influenza epidemics in areas with a large population of web search users. ...

From: Detecting influenza epidemics using search engine query data, Jeremy Ginsberg, Matthew H. Mohebbi, Rajan S. Patel, Lynnette Brammer, Mark S. Smolinski & Larry Brilliant, Nature , doi:10.1038/nature07634; Received 14 August 2008; Accepted 13 November 2008; Published online 19 November 2008



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Wednesday, November 12, 2008

Detect Influenza outbreaks with web searches

Graph of five years of flu estimates for US Mid-Atlantic region compared with CDC dataGoogle have created a service to "Explore flu trends across the U.S.". The system tracks the use of search terms which indicate that people have influenza and plots this on a graph over time and a map of the USA. According to "Google Uses Searches to Track Flu’s Spread" (By MIGUEL HELFT, The New York Times, November 11, 200), a paper on this will be published in Nature.The idea of using web searches to detect natural phenomena is not a new one, with previous proposals to use internet traffic to detect earthquakes. The technique might be used as part of an ICT system to deal with an Avian Influenza Pandemic.

Each week, millions of users around the world search for online health information. As you might expect, there are more flu-related searches during flu season, more allergy-related searches during allergy season, and more sunburn-related searches during the summer. You can explore all of these phenomena using Google Trends. But can search query trends provide an accurate, reliable model of real-world phenomena?

We have found a close relationship between how many people search for flu-related topics and how many people actually have flu symptoms. Of course, not every person who searches for "flu" is actually sick, but a pattern emerges when all the flu-related search queries from each state and region are added together. We compared our query counts with data from a surveillance system managed by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and discovered that some search queries tend to be popular exactly when flu season is happening. By counting how often we see these search queries, we can estimate how much flu is circulating in various regions of the United States. ...

From: How does this work?, Google Flu Trends, Google, 2008

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Wednesday, October 29, 2008

International Tsunami Warning Excercise Pacific Wave 2008

An international exercise to test tsunami warning systems is currently taking place across the Pacific. Exercise Pacific Wave 08 is testing the distribution of tsunami advisories (bulletins, watches and warnings), by the international and national centres, including the Joint Australian Tsunami Warning Centre (JATWC).

The exercise scenario uses a fictional Tsunami from a magnitude 9.2 earthquake near Japan on October 29, 2008 at 0000UTC. There is a carefully scripted list of events scheduled at specific times in a detailed 132 page Exercise Pacific Wave 08 Technical Bulletin. The exercise materials are supposed to be marked "For Exercise Purposes Only" to distinguish them from real messages and if there is a major real event the exercise will be cancelled.

Pacific countries are being encouraged to exercise their own internal tsunami warning and emergency response procedures. While messages are issued by the international warning centres, it can take a long time for them to reach the population.

Dangerous Lack of Standardisation in Tsunami Message Format

While the exercise has been carefully planned, one problem with the warning systems remain: there is no standard international format for tsunami warning messages. The formats used for tsunami warnings predate the Internet and were designed for devices such as Teletype machines. As a result there are incompatibilities between the formats and Internet technology which could cause dangerous miscommunication. In addition there is no rigorously defined format for messages.

As an example the exercise document states that "All documentation and correspondence relating to this exercise is to be clearly identified as Exercise Pacific Wave 08 and For Exercise Purposes Only." However, only the first two of the supplied exercise messages include the text "Exercise Pacific Wave 08" and none of the messages include "For Exercise Purposes Only". Such imprecision can cause dangerous confusion, with the exercise messages being mistaken for real ones and real messages for exercises.

International tsunami authorities need to agree one standard format for tsunami messages which has a precisely defined format and wording and is compatible both with the Internet and backward compatible with older communication devices. Failure to do so could result in the loss of hundreds of thousands of lives.
The initial bulletin will be issued by the NWPTAC because the earthquake is located in the immediate vicinity of Japan. Initial bulletins from PTWC and WC/ATWC will follow, initially using the earthquake parameters from the NWPTAC. To avoid any possible misinterpretation, bulletins issued by the warning centers will be in a “dummy” exercise message format (Appendix I) that will refer participants to a specific scenario bulletin number in this exercise manual (in Appendices II – IV). Dummy messages will be issued for each simulated real message at the beginning of the exercise, but later PTWC and WC/ATWC dummy messages will be issued only once every four hours until the simulated tsunami has crossed the entire Pacific and the exercise concludes. ...

TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 0010Z 29 OCT 2008
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... A TSUNAMI WARNING AND WATCH ARE IN EFFECT ...
A TSUNAMI WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
JAPAN / RUSSIA / MARCUS IS.
A TSUNAMI WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
N. MARIANAS / GUAM / WAKE IS. / CHINESE TAIPEI / TAIWAN / YAP /
PHILIPPINES / MARSHALL IS. / CHUUK / MIDWAY IS. / POHNPEI /
BELAU / KOSRAE / INDONESIA / PAPUA NEW GUINEA / HAWAII
FOR ALL OTHER AREAS COVERED BY THIS BULLETIN... IT IS FOR
INFORMATION ONLY AT THIS TIME.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 0000Z 29 OCT 2008
COORDINATES - 40.0 NORTH 143.0 EAST
DEPTH - 33 KM
LOCATION - OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU JAPAN
MAGNITUDE - 8.5
EVALUATION
IT IS NOT KNOWN THAT A TSUNAMI WAS GENERATED. THIS WARNING IS
BASED ONLY ON THE EARTHQUAKE EVALUATION. AN EARTHQUAKE OF THIS
SIZE HAS THE POTENTIAL TO GENERATE A DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI THAT CAN
STRIKE COASTLINES NEAR THE EPICENTER WITHIN MINUTES AND MORE
DISTANT COASTLINES WITHIN HOURS. AUTHORITIES SHOULD TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTION IN RESPONSE TO THIS POSSIBILITY. THIS CENTER
WILL MONITOR SEA LEVEL DATA FROM GAUGES NEAR THE EARTHQUAKE TO
DETERMINE IF A TSUNAMI WAS GENERATED AND ESTIMATE THE SEVERITY OF
THE THREAT.
ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES AT FORECAST POINTS
WITHIN THE WARNING AND WATCH AREAS ARE GIVEN BELOW. ACTUAL
ARRIVAL TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE
LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN
SUCCESSIVE WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.
LOCATION FORECAST POINT COORDINATES ARRIVAL TIME
-------------------------------- ------------ ------------
JAPAN HACHINOHE 40.5N 141.7E 0033Z 29 OCT
IOC Technical Series No. 82 Appendix II
page 12
KUSHIRO 42.9N 144.3E 0043Z 29 OCT
KATSUURA 35.0N 140.3E 0102Z 29 OCT
SHIMIZU 32.8N 133.0E 0225Z 29 OCT
OKINAWA 26.2N 127.8E 0319Z 29 OCT
RUSSIA URUP IS 46.1N 150.5E 0118Z 29 OCT
PETROPAVLOVSK K 53.2N 159.6E 0226Z 29 OCT
SEVERO KURILSK 50.8N 156.1E 0229Z 29 OCT
UST KAMCHATSK 56.1N 162.6E 0248Z 29 OCT
MEDNNY IS 54.7N 167.4E 0249Z 29 OCT
MARCUS IS. MARCUS IS. 24.3N 154.0E 0225Z 29 OCT
N. MARIANAS SAIPAN 15.3N 145.8E 0326Z 29 OCT
GUAM GUAM 13.4N 144.7E 0342Z 29 OCT
WAKE IS. WAKE IS. 19.3N 166.6E 0350Z 29 OCT
CHINESE TAIPEI HUALIEN 24.0N 121.7E 0403Z 29 OCT
TAITUNG 22.7N 121.2E 0407Z 29 OCT
CHILUNG 25.2N 121.8E 0430Z 29 OCT
KAOHSIUNG 22.5N 120.3E 0442Z 29 OCT
TAIWAN HUALIEN 24.0N 121.6E 0404Z 29 OCT
YAP YAP IS. 9.5N 138.1E 0417Z 29 OCT
PHILIPPINES PALANAN 17.1N 122.6E 0425Z 29 OCT
LAOAG 18.2N 120.5E 0445Z 29 OCT
SAN FERNANDO 16.7N 120.2E 0504Z 29 OCT
LEGASPI 13.2N 123.8E 0507Z 29 OCT
DAVAO 6.8N 125.7E 0521Z 29 OCT
ZAMBOANGA 6.9N 122.1E 0605Z 29 OCT
MARSHALL IS. ENIWETOK 11.4N 162.3E 0428Z 29 OCT
KWAJALEIN 8.7N 167.7E 0511Z 29 OCT
MAJURO 7.1N 171.4E 0540Z 29 OCT
CHUUK CHUUK IS. 7.4N 151.8E 0432Z 29 OCT
MIDWAY IS. MIDWAY IS. 28.2N 177.4W 0443Z 29 OCT
POHNPEI POHNPEI IS. 7.0N 158.2E 0444Z 29 OCT
BELAU MALAKAL 7.3N 134.5E 0446Z 29 OCT
KOSRAE KOSRAE IS. 5.5N 163.0E 0511Z 29 OCT
INDONESIA GEME 4.6N 126.8E 0519Z 29 OCT
BEREBERE 2.5N 128.7E 0529Z 29 OCT
WARSA 0.6S 135.8E 0545Z 29 OCT
MANOKWARI 0.8S 134.2E 0552Z 29 OCT
PATANI 0.4N 128.8E 0554Z 29 OCT
MANADO 1.6N 124.9E 0601Z 29 OCT
SORONG 0.8S 131.1E 0604Z 29 OCT
JAYAPURA 2.4S 140.8E 0607Z 29 OCT
PAPUA NEW GUINE KAVIENG 2.5S 150.7E 0556Z 29 OCT
MANUS IS. 2.0S 147.5E 0556Z 29 OCT
VANIMO 2.6S 141.3E 0607Z 29 OCT
BULLETINS WILL BE ISSUED HOURLY OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
THE TSUNAMI WARNING AND WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL
FURTHER NOTICE.
THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ALSO ISSUE TSUNAMI MESSAGES
FOR THIS EVENT TO COUNTRIES IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND SOUTH
CHINA SEA REGION. IN CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION... THE
MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA. ...

From: Exercise Pacific Wave 08 Technical Bulliten, Commission océanographique intergouvernementale. Exercise Pacific Wave 08. A Pacific-wide Tsunami Warning and Communication Exercise Pacific, 28–30 October 2008. IOC Technical Series No. 82. Paris, UNESCO, 2008. (English)

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Thursday, October 23, 2008

Preparing for the Next Tsunami

Communicable CrisesThe book "Communicable Crises: Prevention, Response, and Recovery in the Global Arena" (edited by Deborah; E Gibbons), presents analysis of disaster response to a number of recent events, including for the avian flu, Asian Tsunami, World Trade Centre attack (911).

Editorial Reviews

Product Description
This volume makes a significant contribution to the crisis management literature. It also adds to our inchoate understanding of network governance: temporary teams and task forces, communities of practice, alliances, and virtual organizations. It hints that the distinction between networks and organizations may be somewhat spurious, a matter of degree rather than kind. Indeed, it seems that this distinction may derive more from mental models in which we consistently reify organizations than anything else. Finally, the volume emphasizes the functional importance of leadership in network governance and puzzles over its provision in the absence of hierarchy. As such, it adds to the contributions made by Marc Granovetter (1973), John Seeley Brown and Paul Duguid (1991), Bart Nooteboom (2000), Paul J. DiMaggio (2001), John Arquilla and David Ronfeldt (2001), Laurence O Toole and Ken Meier (2004), and others, as well as Nancy Roberts seminal work on wicked problems and hastily formed teams. The result is a product the editor and the contributors can be proud of. Overall, it is one that will edify, surprise, and delight its readers.

Product Details

  • Paperback: 396 pages
  • Publisher: Information Age Publishing (March 7, 2007)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 1593116071
  • ISBN-13: 978-1593116071
From: Amazon.com entry for "Communicable Crises: Prevention, Response, and Recovery in the Global Arena"

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Monday, October 20, 2008

Standard format needed for tsunami warning messages

This is to suggest that one global format is needed for messages issued by tsunami warning systems, along with a specific set of words to be used in them. The Pacific and Interim Indian Ocean systems use slightly different formats and words for their warning messages. These differences could result in dangerous misunderstandings by computer software and human readers.

As an example, Pacific warnings use dashes "-" to separate parameters, whereas Indian Ocean warnings use colons ":". Also the Pacific warnings say: "NO DESTRUCTIVE PACIFIC-WIDE TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA", whereas the equivalent Indian Ocean message is "THERE IS A VERY SMALL POSSIBILITY OF A DESTRUCTIVE LOCAL TSUNAMI ".

From Tsunami bulletin number 001, issued by the Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre/NOAA/NWS at 0628Z 17 JUN 2005:
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS

ORIGIN TIME - 0622Z 17 JUN 2005
COORDINATES - 40.6 NORTH 126.3 WEST
LOCATION - OFF COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
MAGNITUDE - 6.9

EVALUATION

NO DESTRUCTIVE PACIFIC-WIDE TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA. ...
From Tsunami bulletin number 001, issued by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) at 1550 16 MAY 2006 (UTC):
1.EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION
ORIGIN TIME : 1528 16 MAY 2006 (UTC)
COORDINATES : 0.1 NORTH 97.0 EAST
LOCATION : NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA
MAGNITUDE : 6.9

2.EVALUATION
THERE IS A VERY SMALL POSSIBILITY OF A DESTRUCTIVE LOCAL
TSUNAMI IN THE INDIAN OCEAN. ...
I noticed the differences when attempting to forward the messages to a mobile telephone using SMS. The SMS system can only send short messages. So I had my mail system search for a key phrase in the message. This worked with "LOCATION", as this is common to Pacific and Indian ocean messages. However, if I attempted to have the system look for the punctuation after the word "LOCATION" the problem becomes much more difficult, as it has to allow for either a dash or a colon.

Also there does not appear an easy way for a computer program, or a human reader, to look at a message and quickly determine if it is for a destructive tsunami, or not. All the messages use the word "destructive". It would seem preferable to phrase the messages so they indicate what is predicted to happen, not what is predicted to not happen.

It would aid reading by both human operators and machines interpreting the information if the same format and wording was used by all international tsunami warning centres. This could be done by agreeing a specification for the format of the warning message and a controlled vocabulary to be used in the messages.

It might be argued that in the long term the messages should be formatted in a precise computer readable format, such as Common Alerting Protocol, or that the tsunami warnings are only intended for trained emergency staff not the general public. However, for the foreseeable future there will be a need to communicate tsunami warnings in natural language and so it would be desirable if that language was as precise and standardised as possible.

It should be noted that SMS is not necessarily the best technology for emergency communication and there are other options for Wireless Internet for Emergencies.

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Friday, October 03, 2008

Australian Emergency Warning System

The Council of Australian Governments (COAG) has "noted" a report on developing a nationally-consistent, telephone-based community emergency warning system. Unfortunately the report does not appear to have been made public and there appears to be no plan to implement a system, just do a cost-benefit analysis. Australian state and federal governments have an ad-hoc collection of emergency communications which have been shown to be ineffective in emergencies. There are some alternatives, which I discussed with Turkey's earthquake centre. The Prime Minister and other COAG members need to keep in mind that in the event of a major disaster they can be held criminally liable for deaths resulting from their failure to implement a warning system.
COAG noted the Ministerial Council on Police and Emergency Management – Emergency Management report on the progress of developing a nationally-consistent, telephone-based community emergency warning system. A nationally-consistent community emergency warning system will enhance the current capability to provide timely and accurate warnings in the event of emergencies, and provide useful information and advice on individual and community responses. COAG has requested that all remaining tasks, including a cost-benefit analysis, be completed by the end of 2008.

From: Communiqué, COAG, 2 October 2008

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Friday, September 19, 2008

SMS not suitable for emergency messages

It is obvious to telecommunications experts why SMS is not suitable for sending out emergency messages to the general public. But it is useful to have the report "Characterizing the Limitations of Third-Party EAS Over Cellular Text Messaging Services" (Patrick Traynor, School of Computer Science at the Georgia Institute of Technology, September 2008) setting it down in scholarly detail.

In essence SMS doesn't work for sending messages to everyone at once; the system will become overloaded. As the paper says, some mobile phone standards have a "Cell Broadcast" facility built in for delivering messages quickly to all users, which is what is needed for emergency broadcasts. SMS is useful for delivering emergency messages to select groups of relevant personnel. That is used in Sydney and for places such as university campuses.

I discussed the issue with the staff of the tsunami watch center for the Eastern Mediterranean region, when I visited in May to give a seminar. For them warning of events like Tsunami was far less demanding than for earthquakes, where there is only 5 to 20 seconds warning.
Cellular networks have fundamentally changed the way in which our society communicates. Instead of calling a static location such as a home or office, we now call individuals and can reach them at nearly any time. Such “always on” connectivity may one day create new opportunities for the dissemination of critical information during an emergency. However, as demonstrated in this study, modern cellular networks are simply not capable of providing such a service, whether through voice calls or text messages. Through a series of experiments, we have shown that even under optimal conditions, these networks cannot meet the 10 minute alert goal set forth by the public EAS charter. Moreover, we have demonstrated that the extra text messaging traffic generated by third party EAS will cause congestion in the network and may potentially block the delivery of critical
information, such as calls between emergency responders or the public to 9-1-1 services. Accordingly, it is critical that legislators, technologists and the general public understand the current limitations of these systems.

Efforts undertaken by the CMSAAC will allow cellular networks to take an
active role during emergencies. Through the creation of new standards such as Cell Broadcast, many of the problems created by the current “point to point” architecture can be avoided. In particular, by allowing each base station to act as a virtual megaphone, cellular networks will be able to rapidly distribute up to the moment emergency messages to all phones. While nearly all major cellular providers are actively working to design, test and deploy such systems, it will taketime before this piece of our critical infrastructure can perform such tasks.

From: "Characterizing the Limitations of Third-Party EAS Over Cellular Text Messaging Services" (Patrick Traynor, School of Computer Science at the Georgia Institute of Technology, September 2008)

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Thursday, September 18, 2008

Emergency management on a smart phone

Ajay Kumar, a Sahana Summer of Code 2008 Student, is working on a project to get Sahana on a smart phone. Sahana is an open source emergency management system. He is going to try to get it working on an Open Moko open source phone (no Google Android ones will be available in time to try). I am sure he would welcome advice and assistance from the open source community. More on these issues in the Humanitarian ICT Mailing list.
I am also in a process of acquiring the phones for the development
purpose and have contacted FOSS supportive companies in India. Any
support in that area is also appreciable.

But since the project is something new, I will be basing my
development so has to have something that "just works" and then
iterating it over time.

My primary reasons of choosing the Openmoko phone is:
1. FOSS - matches with the Sahana ideology.
2. Larger & active developer community - it has its own benefit in
terms of contributions to maintain the project in future.

For your reference, my academic project duration is:
1. Mid term - End of Research & Analysis Phase: October 27 2008.
2. Final deadline & Presentation: Mid April 2009.

My proposal @ college has been approved last week and I am working
ahead on this project.

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Friday, August 22, 2008

Australian Open Source Disaster Management Software Released

Renato Iannella from NICTA has announced that they have released open source software for disaster management: Cooperative Alert Information and Resource Notification System (CAIRNS). This is intended to demonstrate interoperability of Crisis Information Management Systems (CIMS). It uses XML standards: Emergency Data Exchange Language Distribution Element (EDXL-DE), Emergency Data Exchange Language Resource Messaging (EDXL-RM) and Common Alerting Protocol (CAP).

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Monday, June 09, 2008

Wobbling cyber chair only earthquake warning

While I had given a talk to a earthquake warning center a few days ago, the only warning that an earthquake was happening here in Greece was when the chair I was sitting on started to wobble. At the time I was in Athens, using a computer in the cyber-cafe of the hotel I am staying at.

The chair I was sitting on seemed to be wobbling from side to side. Given it was made of solid steel, after a few seconds I realised we must be having an earthquake. This lasted a few seconds and as there was no damage, I thought no more about it. It was only later that I saw media reports of the earthquake killing two south west of Athens.

In my seminar to the Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, Turkey, on Internet based systems for emergency warning.I warned that t6he region is at risk as the Mediterranean and connected Seas Tsunami Warning System is still under construction. It is fortunate that the Greek earthquake did not involve a tsunami.

It is actually possible to issue a warning of earthquakes, but only a few seconds in advance. Such warnings are still useful, sent out electronically to switch off equipment automatically, which might otherwise be damaged or cause injury.
ATHENS: An earthquake with a preliminary magnitude of 6.5 rattled southern Greece on Sunday, killing two people, injuring dozens more and damaging scores of homes, officials said.

The earthquake, which struck at 3:25 p.m., was centered near the northern Peloponnesian city of Patras, about 120 miles west of Athens, officials said. Much of the damage occurred around Andravida, about 40 miles southwest of Patras.

The Greek interior minister, Prokopis Pavlopoulos, said a 43-year-old man was killed by a falling roof in a village near Andravida. Another man died of a heart attack while being taken to a hospital for treatment of injuries, Pavlopoulos said.

At least four people were treated for leg injuries after leaping from the upper floors of their shaking homes, said Panayiotis Efstathiou, a regional health official. ...

From: Earthquake kills 2 in southern Greece, International Herald Tribune, June 9, 2008

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Friday, May 23, 2008

Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute

Greetings from the Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, Turkey, I am here to give a Seminar on Internet based systems for emergency warning. The institute is the tsunami watch center for the Eastern Mediterranean region, as a part of ICG/North East Atlantic and connecting seas tsunami warning system.

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Monday, May 19, 2008

Wireless Internet for Emergencies

I will be talking on Wireless Internet for Emergencies at the Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, Bogazici University, Turkey, 15:30 23 May 2008, with a preview at MobileMonday Global Summit, 17:00 19 May 2008, WCIT2008, Kuala Lumpur:

Wireless Internet for Emergencies

Tom Worthington FACS HLM

Adjunct Senior Lecturer, Computer Science, Australian National University and Director of Professional Development, Australian Computer Society

For the Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, Bogazici University, Turkey, 15:30 23 May 2008
Preview at MobileMonday Global Summit, 17:00 19 May 2008, WCIT2008, Kuala Lumpur

This seminar will discuss the role of the Internet and the web in emergency warning systems, particularly for Tsunami and for disaster recovery. It looks at the optimization of the design of web based systems for emergencies, including compatibility with mobile telephones. The speaker argues that Internet and web technologies can be used for communication of emergency information to the public, but will require a change in message formats previously intended for emergency workers.

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Saturday, May 17, 2008

Internet based systems for emergency warning, Seminar, Turkey, 23 May 2008

I will be giving a seminar on Internet based systems, for emergency warning and disaster recovery, at Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, Bogazici University, Turkey on 23 May 2008. The institute is the tsunami watch center for the Eastern Mediterranean region, as a part of ICG/North East Atlantic and connecting seas tsunami warning system. Visitors are welcome to attend the seminar:

Seminar

Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, Bogazici University, Turkey

Friday, 23rd of May 2008 at 15:30

Topic: Internet based systems, for emergency warning and disaster recovery

Speaker: Tom Worthington FACS HLM, Australian National University and the Australian Computer Society

This seminar will discuss the role of the Internet and the web in emergency warning systems, particularly for Tsunami and for disaster recovery. It looks at the optimization of the design of web based systems for emergencies, including compatibility with mobile telephones. The speaker argues that Internet and web technologies can be used for communication of emergency information to the public, but will require a change in message formats previously intended for emergency workers.

About the speaker:

Tom Worthington is a member of the Project Management Committee of Sahana open source disaster management system used for the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami. At the Australian National University he teaches the design of web based systems. As Director of Professional Development of the Australian Computer Society, responsible for our e-learning programs.

See:

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Friday, May 16, 2008

Emergency Management Mapping and Information Portal Feasibility Study

The Hawkes Bay Regional Council, New Zealand, have issued a Request for Proposal for a Feasibility Study for a Emergency Management Mapping and Information Portal. There is a nine page document describing the requirements, available to registered companies:
The Hawke’s Bay Civil Defence Emergency Management Group (Hawke’s Bay Region CDEM Group) is a partnership between all local authorities in Hawke’s Bay (being Central Hawke’s Bay, Hastings, and Wairoa District Councils, Napier City Council, and Hawke’s Bay Regional Council).

The Hawke’s Bay CDEM Group are looking to explore opportunities for providing a shared mapping and spatial information portal which will assist the comprehensive emergency Management activities of the Hawke’s Bay CDEM Co-ordinating Executive Group (CEG), Hawke’s Bay Engineering Lifelines Group (HBELG), Hawke’s Bay Emergency Services Co-ordinating Committee (ESCC), Eastern Regional Rural Fire Committee, Civil Defence Emergency Managers and other bodies to fulfill their planning and emergency response obligations.

The objective is to have a common permanent system displaying information from utility operators and information about health and emergency service(s) sites and significant fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) locations so that:
effective and timely access to quality information is available during an emergency in the Hawkes Bay.

the HB CDEM Group Controller can quickly establish the extent and seriousness of the impact of a disaster throughout the region and monitor progress with recovery.
an Incident Controller or emergency service providers can establish the extent and seriousness of issues and determine their priorities and how they can gain access to affected areas or identify potentially at risk communities.
Utility operators can determine impact on the other utilities, upon which they rely, so that they are better able to co-ordinate recovery operations. ...

From: Hawke's Bay Civil Defence and Emergency Management Mapping and Information Portal - Feasibility Study, Request for Proposal, GETS Reference: 21878, Hawkes Bay Regional Council











HAWKES BAY
CIVIL DEFENCE AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
MAPPING AND INFORMATION PORTAL

FEASIBILITY STUDY
CONTENTS
Page
1. Introduction 3
2. Objective of Study 3
3. Scope of Work 4
4. Methodology 5
5. Responsibilities and Commitments 6
6. Submissions 6
7. Start and Completion Dates 7
8. Appendix 1 8

1. INTRODUCTION

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Monday, April 14, 2008

Humanitarian Early Warning Service

Major Flooding Currently UnderwayThe World Food Program set up the IASC Humanitarian Early Warning Service (HEWSweb). This provides a web site reporting storms and natural hazards around the world. They provide world maps of Storms, Floods and Earthquakes. Unfortunately many of their news services say "not available at this time". In any case this is a service for slowly developing events effecting food crops and the like, not for rapidly developing events, such as Tsunami.

The IASC Humanitarian Early Warning Service (HEWSweb) is an inter-agency partnership project aimed at establishing a common platform for humanitarian early warnings and forecasts for natural hazards. The main objective of HEWSweb is to bring together and make accessible in a simple manner the most credible early warning information available at the global level from multiple specialized institutions.

The HEWSweb concept has been initially proposed by a subsidiary body of the Inter-Agency Standing Committee (the IASC Sub-Working Group on Preparedness and Contingency Planning) and endorsed by the IASC-WG in September 2004. The service has been developed by the World Food Programme and its technical staff on behalf of the IASC, building on inputs from all IASC partners. The IASC Sub-Working Group on Preparedness and Contingency Planning is co-chaired by WFP and UNICEF.

From: About Us - IASC Humanitarian Early Warning Service, IASC SWG on Preparedness and Contingency Planning, World Food Programme, 2007

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Tuesday, April 08, 2008

IBM Disaster Management Patent

IBM have applied for a patent on "System and method for optimizing the selection, verification, and deployment of expert resources in a time of chaos ". Essentially this is a generic description of how to allocate people to tasks. It really has nothing to do with disasters or with computer implementation (the same thing is applied to organizing a children's birthday party). It is unfortunate that organizations which otherwise try to present themselves as having corporate social responsibility and technological expertise would risk their reputations with such patents.
A computer implemented method, apparatus, and computer usable program code for finding skills and resources for a chaotic event. Skills data for the chaotic event are organized. A determination is made whether the skills and the resources are available in response to a receiving an identification of the skills and the resources that are required to manage the chaotic event. The skills and the resources are optimized based on requirements and constraints, potential skills, and enabling resources to determine optimized skills and optimized resources. The availability of the optimized skills and the optimized resources are verified. The optimized skills and the optimized resources are reoptimized in response to a determination that the optimized skills and the optimized resources are unavailable. ...

From: System and method for optimizing the selection, verification, and deployment of expert resources in a time of chaos, United States Patent Application, 20080077463 , Friedlander; Robert R. ; et al., International Business Machines Corporation, March 27, 2008

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Notifiable Avian Influenza Surveillance

The New Zealand government has issued a request for tender for "Notifiable Avian Influenza Surveillance". The results will be entered in the IRS database (Sahana is also expanding its open source software to record such diseases in humans):
i. Defining New Zealand’s status for notifiable avian influenza viruses of concern (manage biosecurity risks);

ii. Defining baseline information about potentially zoonotic avian influenza viruses (protect human health);

iii. Fulfilling international certification requirements for trade in birds and avian products (protect trade).

From: Notifiable Avian Influenza Surveillance, Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, GETS Reference: 21468, 2008

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Thursday, March 13, 2008

Guide for environmental health in disasters

The World Health Organization provide a very useful book free online: "Environmental health in emergencies and disasters: a practical guide" (B. Wisner and J. Adams, 2003 ISBN 92 4 154541 0 272 pages). Chapter 11 covers Control of communicable diseases and prevention of epidemics. The Sahana open source disaster software is being expanded to support disease surveillance and also for use in disease related emergencies, such as bird flu, where Public-health surveillance is important to detecting and dealing with the emergency:
Public-health surveillance is the collection, analysis and dissemination of health information to enable appropriate action to be taken. This is particularly important in disasters and emergencies because of the particular vulnerability of the affected population, the sudden changes that can occur in health due to the unstable nature of the situation,
and the need to share quantitative data rapidly with a range of partners to enable rapid and effective action to be taken (Médecins Sans Frontières, 1997a).

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Monday, March 10, 2008

Mediterranean Tsunami Warning System Needed

After the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami the United Nations coordinated the establishment of an Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System. Less well known (and less well established) is the North Eastern Atlantic, the Mediterranean and connected Seas Tsunami Warning System (NEAMTWS). The need for such a facility became more urgent with recent research from the University of Cambridge showing that Tsunami in the Mediterranean of the magnitude of the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami are far more frequent than previously thought.

The NEAMTWS is intended to alert Europe, North African and Middle Eastern countries. As with the Indian Ocean system, there is an email list provided by UNESCO which can be subscribed to for receiving warnings. However, given the small size of areas such as the Mediterranean, the warning time for a Tsunami could be very short and faster means of communication should be used by government and official emergency management organizations.

There appears to be a dangerious lack of progress with the NEAMTWS . The latest meeting was 21 – 23 November 2007. The meeting was to consider Version 3.2 of the implementation plan (summary appended). However, all the meeting report says is: "Please check back here in the next few days for the meeting summary report.".

The plan appears to be a well researched, but it is no substitute for action. Professionals involved, including ICT professionals, need to keep in mind that failure to act on such a clear and present danger is unethical, and may in addition expose them to civil and criminal prosecution in the event of a disaster.

The complex system of regional, national and local systems does not make for an effective system and may need to be rethought. A system which sends warnings directly from those detecting them, to the citizens may be better. The bureaucrats and politicians who would object to this need to keep in mind they may face a lynch mob in the event of large loss of life.

This Implementation Plan for the North-East Atlantic, the Mediterranean and Connected Seas Tsunami Warning and Mitigation System (NEAMTWS) specifies detailed requirements of the design and implementation of the tsunami warning and mitigation system for the North-East Atlantic, the Mediterranean and Connected Seas. Following its initial phase, the warning system is intended to apply to other marine-related hazards in addition to tsunamis, in particular storm surges, both causing i.e coastal inundation. As the requirements are developing and therefore still are subject to changes or modifications, and as the implementation will progress, this Implementation Plan is a dynamic document. In constant use and development, it will only represent the status of the system at a specific time of viewing. As a living document it will be available on the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC) web site and subsequent versions will be distributed at Intergovernmental Coordination Group (ICG)/NEAMTWS meetings.

The Implementation Plan is structured to reflect the ICG and its Working Groups, WG 1 (Hazard Assessment, Risk and Modelling), WG 2 (Seismic and Geophysical Measurements), WG 3 (Sea Level Data Collection and Exchange, including Offshore Tsunami Detection and Instruments), and WG 4 (Advisory, Mitigation and Public Awareness).

After a status summary, details are condensed in Action Plans for all components of the system. Capacity building is explicitly addressed to highlight the importance of training and extend the basis of the people involved in operating the system at all levels. Reflecting the work as its progresses there are parts that are not yet as detailed as required.

The Implementation Plan is only one of the documents that describe the NEAMTWS and help in managing it. Others are, or will be available.

The NEAMTWS is a complex operation owned and operated by Member States through their designated agencies. Besides the national functions these agencies serve as conduits for information within the system that is amongst all participating partners. These are further augmented into international, mostly regional, functions that serve an agreed regional ensemble of member states. These functions need particular attention for the system to perform as a whole.

The performance of the NEAMTWS depends on the implementation of all its components, their sustained operation and the adherence to agreed common principles of operation, interaction and data policy. This performance needs to be monitored in order to improve the NEAMTWS, identify deficiencies and suggest remedial action. A real test of the NEAMTWS may happen only rarely. But it will then highlight the credibility of the system and all its participating partners. The public will only judge the performance or the success of the system from the impact, the loss of lives and the damages that occurred.

The timely and appropriate implementation of the NEAMTWS is crucial to its success. Recent events have shown that time to prepare, implement and train is short as the events are unpredictable. In its implementation priorities, requirements and details will change or have to be adapted. Member States are therefore asked to prioritize details they feel need special attention on both the national and international level. They also are invited to provide guidance as to further developing governance mechanisms for the NEAMTWS.

From: Implementation Plan, North-East Atlantic, the Mediterranean and Connected Seas Tsunami Warning and Mitigation System, NEAMTWS,
Version 3.2, Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission Technical Series 73, 24 July 2007

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Thursday, February 21, 2008

Tsunami Warning System worked for latest Indonesian Earthquake

Map of earthquake 20 Feb 2008 08:09 UTC Off W Coast of Northern Sumatra from Pacific Tsunami Warning CenterThe Pacific Tsunami Warning Center issued a local tsunami watch for Indonesia 0822Z 20 FEB 2008. The copy forwarded by the interim Indian Ocean Center is timed at one minute later 08:23:21 GMT. The watch was canceled at 0947Z 20 FEB 2008.

The Pacific Tsunami Warning Center's system provided a map and details of the earthquake.

PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 0822Z 20 FEB 2008

THIS BULLETIN IS FOR ALL AREAS OF THE INDIAN OCEAN.

... A LOCAL TSUNAMI WATCH IS IN EFFECT ...

A TSUNAMI WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR

INDONESIA

FOR OTHER AREAS OF THE INDIAN OCEAN REGION...THIS MESSAGE IS FOR
INFORMATION ONLY AT THIS TIME.

THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.

AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS

ORIGIN TIME - 0809Z 20 FEB 2008
COORDINATES - 2.8 NORTH 96.0 EAST
LOCATION - OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA
MAGNITUDE - 7.2

EVALUATION

A DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT DOES NOT EXIST BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.

HOWEVER - THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF A LOCAL TSUNAMI THAT
COULD AFFECT COASTS LOCATED USUALLY NO MORE THAN A HUNDRED
KILOMETERS FROM THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES FOR THE
REGION NEAR THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS POSSIBILITY.
AREAS FURTHER FROM THE EPICENTER COULD EXPERIENCE SMALL SEA
LEVEL CHANGES AND STRONG OR UNUSUAL COASTAL CURRENTS.

DUE TO ONLY LIMITED SEA LEVEL DATA FROM THE REGION IT MAY NOT
BE POSSIBLE FOR THIS CENTER TO RAPIDLY CONFIRM NOR EVALUATE THE
STRENGTH OF A TSUNAMI IF ONE HAS BEEN GENERATED.

ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES AT FORECAST POINTS
WITHIN THE WARNING AND WATCH AREAS ARE GIVEN BELOW. ACTUAL
ARRIVAL TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE
LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN
SUCCESSIVE WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.

LOCATION FORECAST POINT COORDINATES ARRIVAL TIME
-------------------------------- ------------ ------------
INDONESIA SIMEULUE 2.5N 96.0E 0827Z 20 FEB

THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED BY THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI
WARNING CENTER FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.

THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
FOR THIS EVENT. IN THE CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION...
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001

MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.

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Tuesday, January 22, 2008

Biosecurity Challenges for South East Asia

The National Centre for Biosecurity will hold "Biosecurity Challenges for Australia and its Region" at the Australian National University, 11-12 February 2008. Of most interest to me "Communicating with the Public in the Event of a Disease Outbreak", as this is something I have looked at using the web for. Some interesting recent developments in detection are that the Sahana project is considering adding a Bio Surveillance module to its open source disaster management software. This would interface to RODS. Also InSTEDD, a Google funded project to develop disease tracking and disaster response technology, may be of interest.
DAY ONE Monday 11 February 2008

8.30am Registrations open
9am Welcome and introduction
9.30am Session 1.1 Biosecurity: Upgrading the Web of Prevention: A View from the UK. Keynote address by Professor Malcolm Dando
Chair: Bob Wells, Executive Director, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, ANU
10.30am Morning Tea
11am Session 1.2 Laboratories
Chair: Edward Bertram, Head of Scientific Programs, Australian Phenomics Faculty
Establishing an Emerging Infections and Biohazard Response Unit
Names: Greg James, Lyn Gilbert
Organisations: Centre for Infectious Diseases and Microbiology, Institute of Clinical Pathology and Medical Research, Sydney West Area Health Service and University of Sydney
The Application of a Mobile Forensic Laboratory for Real Time Response to CBRNE Incidents in Australia.
Names; Paul Roffey*, Keith Norman and David Royds
Organisation: Australian Federal Police
Third Generation Surveillance Systems: Genomics Assisted Identification and Monitoring Of Biothreats
Names: Vitali Sintchenko,1,2 Jonathan Iredell,1 Lyn Gilbert1
Organisations: 1Centre for Infectious Diseases and Microbiology, Institute of Clinical Pathology and Medical Research, Sydney West Area Health Service and Western Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine, University of Sydney, 2Centre for Health Informatics, University of New South Wales
Rapid Molecular Fingerprinting of Influenza Viruses
Name: Graeme Barnett
Organisation: Chief Executive Officer, BioChip Innovations Pty Ltd

DISCUSSION
12.30pm Lunch
1.15pm Session 1.3 Global surveillance and response to outbreaks of infectious disease: the Role of the WHO Global Outbreak Alert and Response Network as the response arm of the new International Health Regulations.
Keynote address by Professor John MacKenzie
Chair: Alan Dupont, Director, Centre for International Security Studies, University of Sydney
2pm Session 1.4 Science and Technology
Chair: Ian Ramshaw, Director, National Centre for Biosecurity, ANU
Converging Technologies in Biosecurity
Names: Stephen Prowse1 and Greg Tegart2
Organisations’: CEO, Australian Biosecurity CRC for Emerging Infectious Disease, University of Queensland1 and Centre for Strategic Economic Studies, Victoria University, Melbourne2
Nanotechnology and Australia's Biosecurity Policy
Name: Tom Faunce
Organisation: National Centre for Biosecurity, ANU
Enhancing Cross-Disciplinary Problem-Based Biosecurity Research
Name: Gabriele Bammer
Organisations: National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health and National Centre for Biosecurity, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Australian National University, and Hauser Centre for Non-profit Organizations, Harvard University
DISCUSSION
3.15 Afternoon Tea
3.45 Session 1.4 Law and Ethics
Chair: Michael Selgelid, Centre for Applied Philosophy and Public Ethics, ANU
Regulation of Security-Sensitive Biological Agents in Australia
Name: Letitia Toms and Gary Lum
Organisation: Office of Public Health, Department of Health and Ageing
Regulating the Biosecurity Risks Posed by Veterinary Laboratories
Name: Karinne Ludlow
Organisation: Centre for Regulatory Studies, Faculty of Law, Monash University, Victoria
Codes of Conduct in a Web of Prevention: Questions and Choices
Name: Brian Rappert
Organisation: University of Exeter, UK
DISCUSSION
DAY TWO Tuesday 12 February 2008
9am Registrations open
9.30 Session 2.1 Title TBA
Keynote Address by Dr Suwit Wibulpolprasert Senior Adviser on Disease Control Ministry of Public health
Chair: [DFAT]
10.15 Morning tea
10.45 Session 2.2 International Health
Chair: Paul Kelly, National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, ANU
A Model for Networked Laboratory Quality Assurance among Regional Countries: the Animal Health Laboratories
Name: Peter Daniels
Organisation: Australian Animal Health Laboratory, Geelong, Victoria
Emerging Infectious Diseases and Global Health Surveillance
Name: Lorna Weir and Dr. Eric Mykhalovskiy
Organisation: York University, UK
Global Public Health Security: the Pathway to National Biosecurity
Names: Mahomed Patel
Organisation: National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, ANU
DISCUSSION
12.15 Lunch
1pm Session 2.3 Pandemic Influenza
Chair: Mahomed Patel, National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, ANU
Assessing HPAI Health Risks to Humans along the Market Chain in the Philippines
Name: Benigno, C.A., Toribio, J-A.L.M.L. and Webb, R.
Organisation: Faculty of Veterinary Science, University of Sydney
Governance: Managed Access Provisions for Sharing Influenza Viruses and Related Benefit Sharing and Capacity Building Arrangements
Name: Anna George
Organisation: School of Social Sciences and Humanities, Murdoch University, Western Australia
The Waiting Time for Importation of Pandemic Strain Influenza
Name: Peter Caley*, Niels G. Becker and David J. Philp
Organisation: *National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health,
Australian National University
Population Health Intelligence: the Role of Syndromic Surveillance
Names: David Muscatello, Wei Zheng, Tim Churches
Organisation: Centre for Epidemiology and Research, NSW Department of Health
DISCUSSION
2.30 Afternoon tea
3pm Session 2.4 Disease Outbreaks and Society
Chair: Christian Enemark, Centre for International Security Studies, University of Sydney
TBA
Risk Communication for a Possible Pandemic: Lessons from SARS and Other Outbreaks
Name: Claire Hooker Organisation: Centre for Values, Ethics and Law in Medicine, University of Sydney
‘Y2K’ or ‘Watch This Space’: Journalists on Pandemic and Avian Influenza
Names: Julie Leask and Catherine King
Organisation: National Centre for Immunisation Research and Surveillance, University of Sydney
DISCUSSION
4.15pm Close
POSTERS
In Support of the Zoophyte: Strategic Directions for Cross-Sector Biosecurity Research
Name: John Lovett Organisation: CRC for National Plant Biosecurity
Intelligence-Led Responses to the Challenges of Biosecurity
Name: Richard Jones
Organisation: The Distillery Pty Ltd
Surveillance of the Genomic Pool: Moving beyond the Species
Name: Jonathan Iredell, Sally Partridge, Vitali Sintchenko
Organisations: Centre for Infectious Diseases and Microbiology, Sydney West Area Health Service and Western Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine, University of Sydney; Centre for Health Informatics, University of NSW
The white-powder letter - An unidentified risk
Name: Margaret Head
Organisation: TBA
Vaccines, Communicable Disease and Bioterrorism - Is Australia Prepared?
Name: Nathan Rogers
Organisation: Department of Biotechnology, University of Queensland
The Big Picture in Biosecurity – What Happens When the Pixels Drop Out?
Name: Raymond Chan
Organisation: Dept of Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Sydney
Communicating with the Public in the Event of a Disease Outbreak.
Name: Patricia Gray
Organisation: National Centre for Biosecurity, ANU
Hosting a Safe and Secure APEC 2007 Forum – Implications for Public Health
Name: Jan Fizzell
Organisation: Centre for Health Protection, NSW Department of Health
Using Bayesian Nets in Biosecurity Decision-Making
Names: Kerrie Mengersen and Peter Whittle
Organisation: Queensland University of Technology, School of Mathematical

From: Biosecurity Challenges facing Australia and its Region Preliminary Program, National Centre for Biosecurity, ANU, 16 January 2008

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Sunday, December 09, 2007

Designing emergency centers

Architectural Record, October 2007 has a continuing education article on "Safety and Security Without the Fortress Look" by Joann Gonchar. This discusses the design of New York City’s new Office of Emergency Management (OEM) building. The previous center was destroyed 11 September 2001 in the World Trade Center. The new building is a standalone renovation of an existing concrete building into a high tech emergency center.

There is a risk that such buildings can look like a concrete bunker, with plain featureless (and windowless) walls. An extreme example of this is the former Communications Centre, under the John Gorton Building, Parkes (Canberra). This has 450 millimetre thick reinforced concrete and was designed with a single entry point. It had murals and works of art, but was still basically a concrete bunker. It has been refurbished with light wells cut in to let daylight in and is now a successfully office space and conference center.

A second example given in the AR article was the Illinois State Emergency Operations Center (SEOC) in Springfield from 2005. Most usefully the article has a photo and floor plan of the center. As the article notes, such centers feature a large central Incident-response center. These generally have large screens on one wall, rows of desks for different staff and private meeting and support rooms surrounding (Communications center, Data center, Conference center, Support and infrastructure). The back walls of the center may have glass walled meeting rooms, allowing staff to see what is happening while having a private meeting.

Like many similar military operations rooms, the Illinois center has a double height ceiling. But unlike the usual design, the Illinois Incident-response center appears to be a mirror image design, with screens on two walls and operators facing each other across oval shaped tables. This would make better use of the floorspace than the traditional unidirectional design, at the risk of some lack of common focus by staff.

Such incident-response centers have similar designs to flexible learning centers. This is due to the common requirements to have a group of people who have access to computer and telecommunications equipment and can share common data, work in small teams and then collaborate as one group.

It would be interesting to see if, for example, MIT's TEAL 360 degree design could be applied to an incident-response center. Expanding on the Illinois State Emergency Operations Center design, TEAL has screens on all walls and the teacher (equivalent to the incident commander) in the center. This design has less team focus, as people can be looking in all directions, but has the advantage of having the commander in view of the participants, for at least part of their time. It also potentially makes better use of floor space. It also better allows for group working, whereas the traditional design assumes one person per screen and any small group discussions are in ancillary rooms.

Also it would be interesting to design a multi-purpose conference/training and emergency facility. Emergency centers are expensive to build and maintain as they are used for only a few days a year for exercises and real emergencies. The rest of the time a large facility and its computer equipment is idle, using up maintenance budget. An alternative would be to build a facility which could be used day to day for training and for meetings. In an emergency these activities would be cancelled and the facility taken over by emergency personnel. Apart from lowering the cost of maintainace, this would ensure that any faults with the equipment and facilities would be noticed and corrected in day to day use, rather than only becoming apparent during an emergency.

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Thursday, October 25, 2007

Tsunami Warning Spam

The Pacific Tsunami Warning Center Issued a Tsunami Watch for Indonesia at 2114z 24 Oct 2007. Fortunately there was no Tsunami, but the warning message was rated 1.4 by the Spam Assen Spam filter. As I noted previously, there is a risk such messages may be blocked in transmission by Spam filters. The format of such messages need to be changed to make them look less like spam. This could be done at the same time as other changes to make the messages more readable.
Subject: {SPAM 01.4} [Tsunami Message - IOC] Local Tsunami Watch Bulletin
X-Spam: spam
X-Spam-score: 1.4
X-Spam-hits: BAYES_00 -2.599, DCC_CHECK 2.5, UPPERCASE_75_100 1.528, BAYES_USED user
Date: Wed, 24 Oct 2007 21:16:09 GMT
To: iobulletin@ptwc.noaa.gov
From: tsunami-information-ioc@lists.unesco.org
Message-id:
X-Spam-orig-subject: [Tsunami Message - IOC] Local Tsunami Watch Bulletin
Errors-To: tsunami-information-ioc-owner@lists.unesco.org
Precedence: list
X-no-archive: yes
List-Id:
List-Archive: <https://lists.unesco.org/wws/arc/tsunami-information-ioc>
List-Help: <mailto:sympa@lists.unesco.org?subject=help>
List-Owner: <mailto:tsunami-information-ioc-request@lists.unesco.org>
List-Post: <mailto:tsunami-information-ioc@lists.unesco.org>
List-Subscribe: <mailto:sympa@lists.unesco.org?subject=subscribe%20tsunami-information-ioc>
List-Unsubscribe: <mailto:sympa@lists.unesco.org?subject=unsubscribe%20tsunami-information-ioc>
X-Virus-Scanned: by amavisd-new-20030616-p10 (Debian) at ans.com.au

TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 2114Z 24 OCT 2007

THIS BULLETIN IS FOR ALL AREAS OF THE INDIAN OCEAN.

... A LOCAL TSUNAMI WATCH IS IN EFFECT ...

A TSUNAMI WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR

INDONESIA

FOR OTHER AREAS OF THE INDIAN OCEAN REGION, THIS MESSAGE IS AN
ADVISORY ONLY.

AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS

ORIGIN TIME - 2103Z 24 OCT 2007
COORDINATES - 4.1 SOUTH 100.8 EAST
LOCATION - SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA INDONESIA
MAGNITUDE - 7.0

EVALUATION

A DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT DOES NOT EXIST BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.

HOWEVER - THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF A LOCAL TSUNAMI THAT
COULD AFFECT COASTS LOCATED USUALLY NO MORE THAN A HUNDRED
KILOMETERS FROM THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES FOR THE
REGION NEAR THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS POSSIBILITY.
AREAS FURTHER FROM THE EPICENTER COULD EXPERIENCE SMALL SEA
LEVEL CHANGES AND STRONG OR UNUSUAL COASTAL CURRENTS.

DUE TO ONLY LIMITED SEA LEVEL DATA FROM THE REGION IT MAY NOT
BE POSSIBLE FOR THIS CENTER TO RAPIDLY CONFIRM NOR EVALUATE THE
STRENGTH OF A TSUNAMI IF ONE HAS BEEN GENERATED.

ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES. ACTUAL ARRIVAL TIMES
MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE LARGEST. THE TIME
BETWEEN SUCCESSIVE TSUNAMI WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.

LOCATION COORDINATES ARRIVAL TIME
-------------------------------- ------------ ------------
INDONESIA BENGKULU 3.9S 102.0E 2134Z 24 OCT

THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED BY THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI
WARNING CENTER FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.

THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
FOR THIS EVENT.

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Friday, October 05, 2007

Australian Influenza Symposium

Was wondering where the proceedings of the Australian Influenza Symposia were published. I was having lunch in the cafe at the John Curtin School of Medical Research. The 3rd Australian Influenza Symposium is underway there (4 to 5 October 2007). This is sponsored by the Office of Health Protection, Department of Health and Aging, Australian Government; Australian WHO Collaborating Centre for Reference and Research on Influenza; and the Therapeutic Goods Administration.

Some of the topics, such as "Confronting the Next Pandemic", several on H5N1 (avian influenza or "bird flu") and also Equine Influenza ("Horse Flu") sounded interesting, as I have talked on "Dealing with a bird flu pandemic using the wireless web and podcasting". But when I did a web search I found no references to the 2007 symposium and only two references to the 2006 symposium. Perhaps medical people don't call for papers or publish results online?

ps: Also there was a business card "Wanted Epidemic Reporters" from NSW Health, with the web address "flutracking.net". This appears to be a online system for detecting a flu outbreak:
Welcome to the Epidemic Reporter Influenza Tracking Project Web Site

We are looking for people who live in Australia and are 18 years of age or over and have easy access to email and the internet on a weekly basis.

A new health surveillance system to detect epidemics of influenza is being trialed which will require people willing to spend about 10 - 15 seconds per week to respond to an email about symptoms they may have had in the previous week. This trial will help us find ways to detect both seasonal influenza and hopefully pandemic influenza and other diseases so we can better protect the community from epidemics.

Participation is voluntary and your information will be kept confidential. As a participant, you will receive weekly information on influenza-like activity in the region based on our analysis of the data. ...

From: Epidemic Reporter Project, Hunter New England Area Health Service, NSW Health
Some books: